Süper Lig·Etapa 25·
Süper Lig·Etapa 25·Statistici estimate
Goluri
25%
23%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,171,782,95sigur0,20–2,140,93–2,631,13–4,77mai sigur0,00–2,390,70–2,860,65–5,25
Șuturi pe poartă
30%
58%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,904,978,87sigur2,04–5,763,23–6,725,27–12,48mai sigur1,55–6,252,77–7,184,31–13,43
Total șuturi
23%
71%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,6514,9926,64sigur7,73–15,5811,43–18,5519,15–34,13mai sigur6,64–16,6710,47–19,5117,10–36,18
Șuturi din careu
25%
67%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,389,6917,07sigur4,44–10,327,00–12,3711,44–22,69mai sigur3,61–11,156,27–13,109,88–24,26
Șuturi blocate
33%
15%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,153,796,95sigur1,27–5,042,14–5,453,41–10,48mai sigur0,73–5,581,65–5,942,38–11,52
Cornere
32%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,165,099,25sigur1,95–6,373,09–7,095,03–13,46mai sigur1,37–6,952,55–7,623,93–14,57
Posesie %
17%
80%
gazdeoaspețipredicție42,1957,32sigur35,40–48,9850,53–64,10mai sigur33,73–50,6548,86–65,78
Pase
17%
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție357470826sigur289–424403–536692–960mai sigur271–442386–554657–995
Precizie pase %
20%
76%
gazdeoaspețipredicție79,5985,62sigur75,56–83,6281,30–89,94mai sigur74,26–84,9179,99–91,25
Faulturi
39%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,1213,0125,13sigur9,28–14,9610,07–15,9619,35–30,91mai sigur8,53–15,719,32–16,7017,84–32,42
Ofsaiduri
65%
17%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,721,434,15sigur1,56–3,880,34–2,531,90–6,41mai sigur1,26–4,180,05–2,811,31–7,00
Cartonașe galbene
42%
20%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,142,014,15sigur1,09–3,190,89–3,141,97–6,33mai sigur0,82–3,450,59–3,431,42–6,89
Cartonașe roșii
79%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,140,120,26sigur0,00–0,300,00–0,310,00–0,60mai sigur0,00–0,450,00–0,440,00–0,89
Parade portar
51%
16%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,252,705,95sigur1,82–4,691,14–4,252,96–8,94mai sigur1,43–5,080,71–4,682,14–9,75
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,17 0,20–2,14 0,00–2,39 | 1,78 0,93–2,63 0,70–2,86 | 2,95 1,13–4,77 0,65–5,25 | 25% 23% 52% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 3,90 2,04–5,76 1,55–6,25 | 4,97 3,23–6,72 2,77–7,18 | 8,87 5,27–12,48 4,31–13,43 | 30% 58% |
| Total șuturi | 11,65 7,73–15,58 6,64–16,67 | 14,99 11,43–18,55 10,47–19,51 | 26,64 19,15–34,13 17,10–36,18 | 23% 71% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,38 4,44–10,32 3,61–11,15 | 9,69 7,00–12,37 6,27–13,10 | 17,07 11,44–22,69 9,88–24,26 | 25% 67% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,15 1,27–5,04 0,73–5,58 | 3,79 2,14–5,45 1,65–5,94 | 6,95 3,41–10,48 2,38–11,52 | 33% 15% 52% |
| Cornere | 4,16 1,95–6,37 1,37–6,95 | 5,09 3,09–7,09 2,55–7,62 | 9,25 5,03–13,46 3,93–14,57 | 32% 55% |
| Posesie % | 42,19 35,40–48,98 33,73–50,65 | 57,32 50,53–64,10 48,86–65,78 | — | 17% 80% |
| Pase | 357 289–424 271–442 | 470 403–536 386–554 | 826 692–960 657–995 | 17% 83% |
| Precizie pase % | 79,59 75,56–83,62 74,26–84,91 | 85,62 81,30–89,94 79,99–91,25 | — | 20% 76% |
| Faulturi | 12,12 9,28–14,96 8,53–15,71 | 13,01 10,07–15,96 9,32–16,70 | 25,13 19,35–30,91 17,84–32,42 | 39% 53% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,72 1,56–3,88 1,26–4,18 | 1,43 0,34–2,53 0,05–2,81 | 4,15 1,90–6,41 1,31–7,00 | 65% 17% 18% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,14 1,09–3,19 0,82–3,45 | 2,01 0,89–3,14 0,59–3,43 | 4,15 1,97–6,33 1,42–6,89 | 42% 20% 38% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,14 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,45 | 0,12 0,00–0,31 0,00–0,44 | 0,26 0,00–0,60 0,00–0,89 | 79% |
| Parade portar | 3,25 1,82–4,69 1,43–5,08 | 2,70 1,14–4,25 0,71–4,68 | 5,95 2,96–8,94 2,14–9,75 | 51% 16% 33% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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