Süper Lig·Etapa 8·
Süper Lig·Etapa 8·Statistici estimate
Goluri
36%
28%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,171,172,34sigur0,20–2,130,32–2,030,52–4,16mai sigur0,00–2,380,09–2,260,04–4,64
Șuturi pe poartă
45%
14%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,033,877,91sigur2,17–5,902,13–5,624,30–11,51mai sigur1,68–6,391,67–6,083,35–12,47
Total șuturi
58%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,1611,5924,75sigur9,23–17,088,03–15,1517,26–32,24mai sigur8,14–18,187,07–16,1115,21–34,29
Șuturi din careu
55%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție7,596,6214,21sigur4,65–10,533,94–9,308,59–19,84mai sigur3,82–11,363,20–10,047,02–21,40
Șuturi blocate
50%
16%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,402,886,28sigur1,51–5,281,23–4,532,74–9,81mai sigur0,97–5,820,73–5,021,70–10,85
Cornere
52%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,164,529,68sigur2,95–7,372,52–6,525,47–13,90mai sigur2,37–7,951,99–7,064,36–15,00
Posesie %
22%
74%
gazdeoaspețipredicție43,9056,03sigur37,11–50,6949,24–62,81mai sigur35,44–52,3647,57–64,48
Pase
17%
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție383498882sigur316–451432–565748–1016mai sigur298–469414–582712–1051
Precizie pase %
27%
69%
gazdeoaspețipredicție80,3384,61sigur76,30–84,3680,29–88,94mai sigur75,01–85,6578,98–90,25
Faulturi
59%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,2112,5126,72sigur11,37–17,059,56–15,4520,93–32,50mai sigur10,62–17,808,81–16,2019,43–34,00
Ofsaiduri
30%
24%
47%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,331,723,05sigur0,17–2,490,63–2,810,80–5,30mai sigur0,00–2,790,34–3,100,21–5,89
Cartonașe galbene
43%
19%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,502,364,86sigur1,45–3,551,23–3,492,68–7,04mai sigur1,18–3,810,94–3,782,12–7,59
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,110,100,21sigur0,00–0,270,00–0,280,00–0,56mai sigur0,00–0,420,00–0,420,00–0,84
Parade portar
35%
17%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,532,925,45sigur1,09–3,961,36–4,482,46–8,44mai sigur0,70–4,350,94–4,901,64–9,25
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,17 0,20–2,13 0,00–2,38 | 1,17 0,32–2,03 0,09–2,26 | 2,34 0,52–4,16 0,04–4,64 | 36% 28% 36% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,03 2,17–5,90 1,68–6,39 | 3,87 2,13–5,62 1,67–6,08 | 7,91 4,30–11,51 3,35–12,47 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Total șuturi | 13,16 9,23–17,08 8,14–18,18 | 11,59 8,03–15,15 7,07–16,11 | 24,75 17,26–32,24 15,21–34,29 | 58% 34% |
| Șuturi din careu | 7,59 4,65–10,53 3,82–11,36 | 6,62 3,94–9,30 3,20–10,04 | 14,21 8,59–19,84 7,02–21,40 | 55% 35% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,40 1,51–5,28 0,97–5,82 | 2,88 1,23–4,53 0,73–5,02 | 6,28 2,74–9,81 1,70–10,85 | 50% 16% 34% |
| Cornere | 5,16 2,95–7,37 2,37–7,95 | 4,52 2,52–6,52 1,99–7,06 | 9,68 5,47–13,90 4,36–15,00 | 52% 36% |
| Posesie % | 43,90 37,11–50,69 35,44–52,36 | 56,03 49,24–62,81 47,57–64,48 | — | 22% 74% |
| Pase | 383 316–451 298–469 | 498 432–565 414–582 | 882 748–1016 712–1051 | 17% 83% |
| Precizie pase % | 80,33 76,30–84,36 75,01–85,65 | 84,61 80,29–88,94 78,98–90,25 | — | 27% 69% |
| Faulturi | 14,21 11,37–17,05 10,62–17,80 | 12,51 9,56–15,45 8,81–16,20 | 26,72 20,93–32,50 19,43–34,00 | 59% 33% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,33 0,17–2,49 0,00–2,79 | 1,72 0,63–2,81 0,34–3,10 | 3,05 0,80–5,30 0,21–5,89 | 30% 24% 47% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,50 1,45–3,55 1,18–3,81 | 2,36 1,23–3,49 0,94–3,78 | 4,86 2,68–7,04 2,12–7,59 | 43% 19% 38% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,11 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,42 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,21 0,00–0,56 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 2,53 1,09–3,96 0,70–4,35 | 2,92 1,36–4,48 0,94–4,90 | 5,45 2,46–8,44 1,64–9,25 | 35% 17% 48% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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