Süper Lig·Etapa 25·
Süper Lig·Etapa 25·Statistici estimate
Goluri
45%
27%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,381,032,41sigur0,41–2,340,18–1,890,59–4,23mai sigur0,16–2,600,00–2,120,11–4,71
Șuturi pe poartă
56%
14%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,483,528,00sigur2,61–6,341,78–5,274,39–11,60mai sigur2,12–6,831,32–5,733,44–12,56
Total șuturi
67%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,8911,1725,05sigur9,96–17,817,60–14,7317,56–32,54mai sigur8,87–18,906,64–15,6915,51–34,59
Șuturi din careu
67%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,706,4815,19sigur5,76–11,653,80–9,179,56–20,81mai sigur4,93–12,473,07–9,908,00–22,38
Șuturi blocate
54%
15%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,712,976,68sigur1,83–5,591,31–4,623,14–10,22mai sigur1,29–6,140,82–5,112,11–11,25
Cornere
62%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,534,059,58sigur3,32–7,742,05–6,055,36–13,79mai sigur2,74–8,321,52–6,584,26–14,90
Posesie %
79%
18%
gazdeoaspețipredicție57,3242,65sigur50,53–64,1135,87–49,44mai sigur48,86–65,7834,20–51,11
Pase
86%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție508380887sigur440–575313–446754–1021mai sigur422–593296–464718–1057
Precizie pase %
71%
25%
gazdeoaspețipredicție85,2280,44sigur81,19–89,2576,12–84,77mai sigur79,90–90,5474,81–86,08
Faulturi
35%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,7114,1826,89sigur9,87–15,5511,24–17,1321,11–32,67mai sigur9,11–16,3010,49–17,8719,60–34,18
Ofsaiduri
53%
22%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,891,233,11sigur0,73–3,050,13–2,320,86–5,37mai sigur0,43–3,350,00–2,610,27–5,96
Cartonașe galbene
32%
19%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,982,464,44sigur0,93–3,031,33–3,582,26–6,62mai sigur0,67–3,301,04–3,881,70–7,17
Cartonașe roșii
80%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,120,24sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,300,00–0,58mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,440,00–0,87
Parade portar
33%
17%
50%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,523,045,56sigur1,08–3,961,48–4,602,57–8,55mai sigur0,70–4,341,06–5,021,75–9,36
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,38 0,41–2,34 0,16–2,60 | 1,03 0,18–1,89 0,00–2,12 | 2,41 0,59–4,23 0,11–4,71 | 45% 27% 28% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,48 2,61–6,34 2,12–6,83 | 3,52 1,78–5,27 1,32–5,73 | 8,00 4,39–11,60 3,44–12,56 | 56% 14% 30% |
| Total șuturi | 13,89 9,96–17,81 8,87–18,90 | 11,17 7,60–14,73 6,64–15,69 | 25,05 17,56–32,54 15,51–34,59 | 67% 26% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,70 5,76–11,65 4,93–12,47 | 6,48 3,80–9,17 3,07–9,90 | 15,19 9,56–20,81 8,00–22,38 | 67% 24% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,71 1,83–5,59 1,29–6,14 | 2,97 1,31–4,62 0,82–5,11 | 6,68 3,14–10,22 2,11–11,25 | 54% 15% 31% |
| Cornere | 5,53 3,32–7,74 2,74–8,32 | 4,05 2,05–6,05 1,52–6,58 | 9,58 5,36–13,79 4,26–14,90 | 62% 26% |
| Posesie % | 57,32 50,53–64,11 48,86–65,78 | 42,65 35,87–49,44 34,20–51,11 | — | 79% 18% |
| Pase | 508 440–575 422–593 | 380 313–446 296–464 | 887 754–1021 718–1057 | 86% 14% |
| Precizie pase % | 85,22 81,19–89,25 79,90–90,54 | 80,44 76,12–84,77 74,81–86,08 | — | 71% 25% |
| Faulturi | 12,71 9,87–15,55 9,11–16,30 | 14,18 11,24–17,13 10,49–17,87 | 26,89 21,11–32,67 19,60–34,18 | 35% 57% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,89 0,73–3,05 0,43–3,35 | 1,23 0,13–2,32 0,00–2,61 | 3,11 0,86–5,37 0,27–5,96 | 53% 22% 25% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,98 0,93–3,03 0,67–3,30 | 2,46 1,33–3,58 1,04–3,88 | 4,44 2,26–6,62 1,70–7,17 | 32% 19% 49% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,12 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,44 | 0,24 0,00–0,58 0,00–0,87 | 80% |
| Parade portar | 2,52 1,08–3,96 0,70–4,34 | 3,04 1,48–4,60 1,06–5,02 | 5,56 2,57–8,55 1,75–9,36 | 33% 17% 50% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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