Süper Lig·Etapa 8·
Süper Lig·Etapa 8·Statistici estimate
Goluri
42%
27%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,321,072,39sigur0,35–2,290,22–1,930,57–4,22mai sigur0,10–2,540,00–2,160,09–4,70
Șuturi pe poartă
53%
14%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,413,708,12sigur2,55–6,281,96–5,454,51–11,72mai sigur2,06–6,771,50–5,913,56–12,68
Total șuturi
56%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,9612,7426,70sigur10,04–17,899,17–16,3019,21–34,19mai sigur8,95–18,988,21–17,2617,16–36,24
Șuturi din careu
52%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție8,727,9716,70sigur5,78–11,665,29–10,6511,07–22,32mai sigur4,95–12,494,56–11,399,51–23,89
Șuturi blocate
40%
15%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,513,657,16sigur1,63–5,401,99–5,303,63–10,70mai sigur1,09–5,941,50–5,792,59–11,73
Cornere
51%
37%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,314,7510,06sigur3,10–7,522,75–6,755,85–14,28mai sigur2,52–8,102,22–7,294,74–15,38
Posesie %
84%
gazdeoaspețipredicție59,1040,98sigur52,31–65,8934,20–47,77mai sigur50,64–67,5632,53–49,44
Pase
91%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție458296754sigur391–526230–362621–888mai sigur373–544212–380585–924
Precizie pase %
85%
gazdeoaspețipredicție79,8271,36sigur75,79–83,8567,03–75,68mai sigur74,49–85,1465,72–76,99
Faulturi
17%
78%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,0615,4826,54sigur8,22–13,9012,53–18,4220,76–32,32mai sigur7,47–14,6511,78–19,1719,25–33,82
Ofsaiduri
41%
24%
35%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,561,433,00sigur0,40–2,720,34–2,530,74–5,25mai sigur0,10–3,020,05–2,820,15–5,84
Cartonașe galbene
28%
19%
53%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,812,474,28sigur0,76–2,861,34–3,602,10–6,45mai sigur0,49–3,121,05–3,891,54–7,01
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,100,19sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,290,00–0,54mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,420,00–0,82
Parade portar
38%
17%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,793,015,80sigur1,35–4,221,45–4,562,80–8,79mai sigur0,96–4,611,03–4,991,99–9,60
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,32 0,35–2,29 0,10–2,54 | 1,07 0,22–1,93 0,00–2,16 | 2,39 0,57–4,22 0,09–4,70 | 42% 27% 30% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,41 2,55–6,28 2,06–6,77 | 3,70 1,96–5,45 1,50–5,91 | 8,12 4,51–11,72 3,56–12,68 | 53% 14% 33% |
| Total șuturi | 13,96 10,04–17,89 8,95–18,98 | 12,74 9,17–16,30 8,21–17,26 | 26,70 19,21–34,19 17,16–36,24 | 56% 37% |
| Șuturi din careu | 8,72 5,78–11,66 4,95–12,49 | 7,97 5,29–10,65 4,56–11,39 | 16,70 11,07–22,32 9,51–23,89 | 52% 38% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,51 1,63–5,40 1,09–5,94 | 3,65 1,99–5,30 1,50–5,79 | 7,16 3,63–10,70 2,59–11,73 | 40% 15% 44% |
| Cornere | 5,31 3,10–7,52 2,52–8,10 | 4,75 2,75–6,75 2,22–7,29 | 10,06 5,85–14,28 4,74–15,38 | 51% 37% |
| Posesie % | 59,10 52,31–65,89 50,64–67,56 | 40,98 34,20–47,77 32,53–49,44 | — | 84% |
| Pase | 458 391–526 373–544 | 296 230–362 212–380 | 754 621–888 585–924 | 91% |
| Precizie pase % | 79,82 75,79–83,85 74,49–85,14 | 71,36 67,03–75,68 65,72–76,99 | — | 85% |
| Faulturi | 11,06 8,22–13,90 7,47–14,65 | 15,48 12,53–18,42 11,78–19,17 | 26,54 20,76–32,32 19,25–33,82 | 17% 78% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,56 0,40–2,72 0,10–3,02 | 1,43 0,34–2,53 0,05–2,82 | 3,00 0,74–5,25 0,15–5,84 | 41% 24% 35% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,81 0,76–2,86 0,49–3,12 | 2,47 1,34–3,60 1,05–3,89 | 4,28 2,10–6,45 1,54–7,01 | 28% 19% 53% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,19 0,00–0,54 0,00–0,82 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,79 1,35–4,22 0,96–4,61 | 3,01 1,45–4,56 1,03–4,99 | 5,80 2,80–8,79 1,99–9,60 | 38% 17% 45% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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