Süper Lig·Etapa 25·
Süper Lig·Etapa 25·Statistici estimate
Goluri
40%
27%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,291,152,44sigur0,32–2,260,29–2,000,62–4,26mai sigur0,07–2,510,06–2,230,14–4,74
Șuturi pe poartă
52%
14%
34%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,483,808,29sigur2,62–6,352,06–5,544,68–11,89mai sigur2,13–6,841,59–6,013,72–12,85
Total șuturi
66%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție14,4011,8126,21sigur10,48–18,338,25–15,3718,72–33,70mai sigur9,39–19,427,29–16,3316,67–35,75
Șuturi din careu
68%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,657,2616,90sigur6,70–12,594,57–9,9411,28–22,53mai sigur5,88–13,423,84–10,679,71–24,09
Șuturi blocate
48%
15%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,673,286,95sigur1,79–5,561,62–4,933,42–10,49mai sigur1,25–6,101,13–5,422,38–11,52
Cornere
51%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,214,629,83sigur3,00–7,422,62–6,625,62–14,04mai sigur2,42–8,002,09–7,164,51–15,15
Posesie %
24%
72%
gazdeoaspețipredicție44,2855,11sigur37,49–51,0748,32–61,89mai sigur35,82–52,7446,65–63,56
Pase
24%
75%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție320402723sigur253–387336–469589–856mai sigur235–406318–486553–892
Precizie pase %
27%
69%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,0277,37sigur68,99–77,0573,05–81,70mai sigur67,70–78,3471,74–83,01
Faulturi
67%
26%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,1712,3127,48sigur12,34–18,019,36–15,2521,70–33,26mai sigur11,58–18,778,61–16,0020,20–34,77
Ofsaiduri
36%
24%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,441,522,96sigur0,28–2,600,42–2,610,70–5,21mai sigur0,00–2,900,13–2,900,11–5,80
Cartonașe galbene
39%
20%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,012,074,08sigur0,96–3,060,94–3,201,91–6,26mai sigur0,70–3,330,65–3,491,35–6,82
Cartonașe roșii
82%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,090,110,21sigur0,00–0,250,00–0,300,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,400,00–0,430,00–0,84
Parade portar
32%
17%
52%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,513,135,64sigur1,08–3,951,57–4,682,65–8,63mai sigur0,69–4,341,15–5,111,84–9,44
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,29 0,32–2,26 0,07–2,51 | 1,15 0,29–2,00 0,06–2,23 | 2,44 0,62–4,26 0,14–4,74 | 40% 27% 33% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,48 2,62–6,35 2,13–6,84 | 3,80 2,06–5,54 1,59–6,01 | 8,29 4,68–11,89 3,72–12,85 | 52% 14% 34% |
| Total șuturi | 14,40 10,48–18,33 9,39–19,42 | 11,81 8,25–15,37 7,29–16,33 | 26,21 18,72–33,70 16,67–35,75 | 66% 27% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,65 6,70–12,59 5,88–13,42 | 7,26 4,57–9,94 3,84–10,67 | 16,90 11,28–22,53 9,71–24,09 | 68% 24% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,67 1,79–5,56 1,25–6,10 | 3,28 1,62–4,93 1,13–5,42 | 6,95 3,42–10,49 2,38–11,52 | 48% 15% 36% |
| Cornere | 5,21 3,00–7,42 2,42–8,00 | 4,62 2,62–6,62 2,09–7,16 | 9,83 5,62–14,04 4,51–15,15 | 51% 36% |
| Posesie % | 44,28 37,49–51,07 35,82–52,74 | 55,11 48,32–61,89 46,65–63,56 | — | 24% 72% |
| Pase | 320 253–387 235–406 | 402 336–469 318–486 | 723 589–856 553–892 | 24% 75% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,02 68,99–77,05 67,70–78,34 | 77,37 73,05–81,70 71,74–83,01 | — | 27% 69% |
| Faulturi | 15,17 12,34–18,01 11,58–18,77 | 12,31 9,36–15,25 8,61–16,00 | 27,48 21,70–33,26 20,20–34,77 | 67% 26% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,44 0,28–2,60 0,00–2,90 | 1,52 0,42–2,61 0,13–2,90 | 2,96 0,70–5,21 0,11–5,80 | 36% 24% 39% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,01 0,96–3,06 0,70–3,33 | 2,07 0,94–3,20 0,65–3,49 | 4,08 1,91–6,26 1,35–6,82 | 39% 20% 41% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,09 0,00–0,25 0,00–0,40 | 0,11 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,43 | 0,21 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,84 | 82% |
| Parade portar | 2,51 1,08–3,95 0,69–4,34 | 3,13 1,57–4,68 1,15–5,11 | 5,64 2,65–8,63 1,84–9,44 | 32% 17% 52% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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