Süper Lig·Etapa 9·
Süper Lig·Etapa 9·Statistici estimate
Goluri
47%
24%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,681,272,95sigur0,71–2,650,41–2,121,12–4,77mai sigur0,46–2,900,19–2,350,64–5,25
Șuturi pe poartă
60%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,183,949,11sigur3,32–7,042,19–5,685,51–12,72mai sigur2,83–7,531,73–6,144,55–13,67
Total șuturi
81%
14%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,5210,4826,00sigur11,60–19,456,92–14,0418,52–33,49mai sigur10,50–20,545,96–15,0016,46–35,54
Șuturi din careu
71%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,907,0716,97sigur6,95–12,844,39–9,7511,34–22,59mai sigur6,12–13,673,65–10,499,78–24,16
Șuturi blocate
63%
13%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,232,847,06sigur2,34–6,111,19–4,493,53–10,60mai sigur1,80–6,650,69–4,982,49–11,64
Cornere
70%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,833,679,50sigur3,61–8,041,67–5,675,29–13,71mai sigur3,04–8,611,14–6,214,18–14,82
Posesie %
58%
38%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,4248,05sigur45,63–59,2141,26–54,83mai sigur43,96–60,8839,59–56,50
Pase
61%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție419386805sigur352–486319–452671–938mai sigur334–504302–470635–974
Precizie pase %
69%
27%
gazdeoaspețipredicție81,0376,68sigur77,00–85,0672,36–81,00mai sigur75,71–86,3571,05–82,31
Faulturi
48%
44%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,9112,6625,57sigur10,07–15,759,72–15,6119,79–31,35mai sigur9,31–16,508,97–16,3618,29–32,86
Ofsaiduri
22%
18%
59%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,542,534,07sigur0,38–2,701,44–3,621,82–6,32mai sigur0,08–3,001,15–3,911,23–6,91
Cartonașe galbene
28%
17%
55%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,102,874,97sigur1,05–3,151,74–4,002,79–7,15mai sigur0,78–3,411,45–4,292,23–7,70
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,140,23sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,330,00–0,57mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,460,00–0,86
Parade portar
30%
16%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,663,436,09sigur1,23–4,101,87–4,983,10–9,08mai sigur0,84–4,491,45–5,412,29–9,89
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,68 0,71–2,65 0,46–2,90 | 1,27 0,41–2,12 0,19–2,35 | 2,95 1,12–4,77 0,64–5,25 | 47% 24% 29% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,18 3,32–7,04 2,83–7,53 | 3,94 2,19–5,68 1,73–6,14 | 9,11 5,51–12,72 4,55–13,67 | 60% 28% |
| Total șuturi | 15,52 11,60–19,45 10,50–20,54 | 10,48 6,92–14,04 5,96–15,00 | 26,00 18,52–33,49 16,46–35,54 | 81% 14% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,90 6,95–12,84 6,12–13,67 | 7,07 4,39–9,75 3,65–10,49 | 16,97 11,34–22,59 9,78–24,16 | 71% 21% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,23 2,34–6,11 1,80–6,65 | 2,84 1,19–4,49 0,69–4,98 | 7,06 3,53–10,60 2,49–11,64 | 63% 13% 24% |
| Cornere | 5,83 3,61–8,04 3,04–8,61 | 3,67 1,67–5,67 1,14–6,21 | 9,50 5,29–13,71 4,18–14,82 | 70% 19% |
| Posesie % | 52,42 45,63–59,21 43,96–60,88 | 48,05 41,26–54,83 39,59–56,50 | — | 58% 38% |
| Pase | 419 352–486 334–504 | 386 319–452 302–470 | 805 671–938 635–974 | 61% 39% |
| Precizie pase % | 81,03 77,00–85,06 75,71–86,35 | 76,68 72,36–81,00 71,05–82,31 | — | 69% 27% |
| Faulturi | 12,91 10,07–15,75 9,31–16,50 | 12,66 9,72–15,61 8,97–16,36 | 25,57 19,79–31,35 18,29–32,86 | 48% 44% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,54 0,38–2,70 0,08–3,00 | 2,53 1,44–3,62 1,15–3,91 | 4,07 1,82–6,32 1,23–6,91 | 22% 18% 59% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,10 1,05–3,15 0,78–3,41 | 2,87 1,74–4,00 1,45–4,29 | 4,97 2,79–7,15 2,23–7,70 | 28% 17% 55% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,14 0,00–0,33 0,00–0,46 | 0,23 0,00–0,57 0,00–0,86 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 2,66 1,23–4,10 0,84–4,49 | 3,43 1,87–4,98 1,45–5,41 | 6,09 3,10–9,08 2,29–9,89 | 30% 16% 54% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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