Süper Lig·Etapa 26·
Süper Lig·Etapa 26·Statistici estimate
Goluri
38%
26%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,391,342,72sigur0,42–2,360,48–2,190,90–4,55mai sigur0,17–2,610,25–2,420,42–5,03
Șuturi pe poartă
44%
13%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,554,489,04sigur2,69–6,422,74–6,225,43–12,64mai sigur2,20–6,912,27–6,694,48–13,60
Total șuturi
51%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,5212,8926,41sigur9,59–17,449,32–16,4518,92–33,89mai sigur8,50–18,538,37–17,4116,87–35,94
Șuturi din careu
55%
36%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,228,2117,43sigur6,27–12,165,53–10,9011,81–23,05mai sigur5,44–12,994,80–11,6310,24–24,62
Șuturi blocate
45%
15%
40%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,663,517,17sigur1,78–5,541,85–5,163,63–10,70mai sigur1,24–6,091,36–5,652,60–11,74
Cornere
49%
38%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,054,639,68sigur2,83–7,262,63–6,635,46–13,89mai sigur2,26–7,832,10–7,174,36–15,00
Posesie %
54%
42%
gazdeoaspețipredicție51,7049,21sigur44,91–58,4942,42–55,99mai sigur43,24–60,1640,75–57,66
Pase
54%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție419405823sigur351–486338–471690–957mai sigur333–504321–489654–993
Precizie pase %
42%
53%
gazdeoaspețipredicție78,0279,11sigur73,99–82,0574,79–83,44mai sigur72,70–83,3473,48–84,75
Faulturi
31%
62%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție12,1014,1326,23sigur9,26–14,9311,19–17,0820,44–32,01mai sigur8,50–15,6910,44–17,8218,94–33,51
Ofsaiduri
63%
17%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,891,644,53sigur1,72–4,050,55–2,732,27–6,78mai sigur1,42–4,350,26–3,021,68–7,37
Cartonașe galbene
40%
19%
41%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,322,334,65sigur1,27–3,371,20–3,462,47–6,83mai sigur1,01–3,640,91–3,751,92–7,39
Cartonașe roșii
81%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,120,100,22sigur0,00–0,280,00–0,290,00–0,57mai sigur0,00–0,430,00–0,420,00–0,85
Parade portar
41%
16%
43%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,203,246,44sigur1,77–4,641,68–4,793,45–9,43mai sigur1,38–5,031,26–5,222,64–10,24
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,39 0,42–2,36 0,17–2,61 | 1,34 0,48–2,19 0,25–2,42 | 2,72 0,90–4,55 0,42–5,03 | 38% 26% 36% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 4,55 2,69–6,42 2,20–6,91 | 4,48 2,74–6,22 2,27–6,69 | 9,04 5,43–12,64 4,48–13,60 | 44% 13% 42% |
| Total șuturi | 13,52 9,59–17,44 8,50–18,53 | 12,89 9,32–16,45 8,37–17,41 | 26,41 18,92–33,89 16,87–35,94 | 51% 41% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,22 6,27–12,16 5,44–12,99 | 8,21 5,53–10,90 4,80–11,63 | 17,43 11,81–23,05 10,24–24,62 | 55% 36% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,66 1,78–5,54 1,24–6,09 | 3,51 1,85–5,16 1,36–5,65 | 7,17 3,63–10,70 2,60–11,74 | 45% 15% 40% |
| Cornere | 5,05 2,83–7,26 2,26–7,83 | 4,63 2,63–6,63 2,10–7,17 | 9,68 5,46–13,89 4,36–15,00 | 49% 38% |
| Posesie % | 51,70 44,91–58,49 43,24–60,16 | 49,21 42,42–55,99 40,75–57,66 | — | 54% 42% |
| Pase | 419 351–486 333–504 | 405 338–471 321–489 | 823 690–957 654–993 | 54% 45% |
| Precizie pase % | 78,02 73,99–82,05 72,70–83,34 | 79,11 74,79–83,44 73,48–84,75 | — | 42% 53% |
| Faulturi | 12,10 9,26–14,93 8,50–15,69 | 14,13 11,19–17,08 10,44–17,82 | 26,23 20,44–32,01 18,94–33,51 | 31% 62% |
| Ofsaiduri | 2,89 1,72–4,05 1,42–4,35 | 1,64 0,55–2,73 0,26–3,02 | 4,53 2,27–6,78 1,68–7,37 | 63% 17% 20% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,32 1,27–3,37 1,01–3,64 | 2,33 1,20–3,46 0,91–3,75 | 4,65 2,47–6,83 1,92–7,39 | 40% 19% 41% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,12 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,43 | 0,10 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,42 | 0,22 0,00–0,57 0,00–0,85 | 81% |
| Parade portar | 3,20 1,77–4,64 1,38–5,03 | 3,24 1,68–4,79 1,26–5,22 | 6,44 3,45–9,43 2,64–10,24 | 41% 16% 43% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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