Liga Campionilor·Faza ligii - etapa 3·
Liga Campionilor·Faza ligii - etapa 3·Statistici estimate
Goluri
63%
19%
18%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,251,123,37sigur1,28–3,210,27–1,981,55–5,19mai sigur1,03–3,470,04–2,211,07–5,67
Șuturi pe poartă
71%
19%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,694,3511,04sigur4,83–8,552,60–6,097,43–14,64mai sigur4,34–9,042,14–6,556,48–15,60
Total șuturi
82%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,2311,7528,98sigur13,30–21,158,19–15,3121,49–36,47mai sigur12,21–22,247,23–16,2719,44–38,52
Șuturi din careu
79%
15%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,967,9319,90sigur9,02–14,915,25–10,6114,27–25,52mai sigur8,19–15,744,51–11,3512,71–27,09
Șuturi blocate
68%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,622,827,43sigur2,73–6,501,16–4,473,90–10,97mai sigur2,19–7,040,67–4,962,86–12,00
Cornere
79%
13%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,803,7210,53sigur4,59–9,011,72–5,736,31–14,74mai sigur4,01–9,591,19–6,265,21–15,85
Posesie %
84%
13%
gazdeoaspețipredicție58,9441,18sigur52,15–65,7334,39–47,96mai sigur50,48–67,4032,72–49,63
Pase
95%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5974031000sigur530–665336–469866–1134mai sigur512–683319–487831–1169
Precizie pase %
80%
16%
gazdeoaspețipredicție77,9470,83sigur73,91–81,9766,51–75,16mai sigur72,62–83,2765,20–76,47
Faulturi
40%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,7711,4422,21sigur7,93–13,608,50–14,3916,43–27,99mai sigur7,17–14,367,75–15,1414,92–29,50
Ofsaiduri
39%
21%
39%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,931,933,85sigur0,77–3,090,84–3,021,60–6,11mai sigur0,46–3,390,55–3,311,01–6,70
Cartonașe galbene
25%
21%
54%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,342,043,39sigur0,29–2,390,92–3,171,21–5,57mai sigur0,03–2,660,62–3,460,65–6,12
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,040,100,14sigur0,00–0,200,00–0,280,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,350,00–0,420,00–0,77
Parade portar
24%
13%
63%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,934,317,25sigur1,50–4,372,76–5,874,25–10,24mai sigur1,11–4,762,33–6,303,44–11,05
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 2,25 1,28–3,21 1,03–3,47 | 1,12 0,27–1,98 0,04–2,21 | 3,37 1,55–5,19 1,07–5,67 | 63% 19% 18% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,69 4,83–8,55 4,34–9,04 | 4,35 2,60–6,09 2,14–6,55 | 11,04 7,43–14,64 6,48–15,60 | 71% 19% |
| Total șuturi | 17,23 13,30–21,15 12,21–22,24 | 11,75 8,19–15,31 7,23–16,27 | 28,98 21,49–36,47 19,44–38,52 | 82% 13% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,96 9,02–14,91 8,19–15,74 | 7,93 5,25–10,61 4,51–11,35 | 19,90 14,27–25,52 12,71–27,09 | 79% 15% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,62 2,73–6,50 2,19–7,04 | 2,82 1,16–4,47 0,67–4,96 | 7,43 3,90–10,97 2,86–12,00 | 68% 20% |
| Cornere | 6,80 4,59–9,01 4,01–9,59 | 3,72 1,72–5,73 1,19–6,26 | 10,53 6,31–14,74 5,21–15,85 | 79% 13% |
| Posesie % | 58,94 52,15–65,73 50,48–67,40 | 41,18 34,39–47,96 32,72–49,63 | — | 84% 13% |
| Pase | 597 530–665 512–683 | 403 336–469 319–487 | 1000 866–1134 831–1169 | 95% |
| Precizie pase % | 77,94 73,91–81,97 72,62–83,27 | 70,83 66,51–75,16 65,20–76,47 | — | 80% 16% |
| Faulturi | 10,77 7,93–13,60 7,17–14,36 | 11,44 8,50–14,39 7,75–15,14 | 22,21 16,43–27,99 14,92–29,50 | 40% 51% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,93 0,77–3,09 0,46–3,39 | 1,93 0,84–3,02 0,55–3,31 | 3,85 1,60–6,11 1,01–6,70 | 39% 21% 39% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,34 0,29–2,39 0,03–2,66 | 2,04 0,92–3,17 0,62–3,46 | 3,39 1,21–5,57 0,65–6,12 | 25% 21% 54% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,04 0,00–0,20 0,00–0,35 | 0,10 0,00–0,28 0,00–0,42 | 0,14 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,77 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 2,93 1,50–4,37 1,11–4,76 | 4,31 2,76–5,87 2,33–6,30 | 7,25 4,25–10,24 3,44–11,05 | 24% 13% 63% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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