Liga Campionilor·Faza ligii - etapa 4·
Liga Campionilor·Faza ligii - etapa 4·Statistici estimate
Goluri
44%
23%
33%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,761,513,27sigur0,79–2,730,66–2,361,45–5,09mai sigur0,54–2,980,43–2,590,97–5,57
Șuturi pe poartă
60%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție6,244,8711,11sigur4,38–8,113,12–6,617,51–14,72mai sigur3,89–8,602,66–7,086,55–15,67
Total șuturi
79%
16%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție17,4312,4629,89sigur13,50–21,358,90–16,0222,40–37,38mai sigur12,41–22,447,94–16,9820,35–39,43
Șuturi din careu
68%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție11,328,7720,09sigur8,37–14,266,09–11,4614,47–25,71mai sigur7,54–15,095,36–12,1912,90–27,28
Șuturi blocate
63%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,063,548,60sigur3,18–6,941,89–5,205,07–12,14mai sigur2,64–7,491,40–5,694,03–13,18
Cornere
57%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,964,8410,81sigur3,75–8,182,84–6,856,59–15,02mai sigur3,17–8,752,31–7,385,49–16,13
Posesie %
71%
25%
gazdeoaspețipredicție54,8444,69sigur48,05–61,6337,91–51,48mai sigur46,38–63,3036,24–53,15
Pase
80%
20%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție532432964sigur464–599366–498830–1097mai sigur446–617348–516794–1133
Precizie pase %
51%
44%
gazdeoaspețipredicție76,3375,60sigur72,30–80,3671,27–79,92mai sigur71,01–81,6569,96–81,23
Faulturi
43%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,659,9319,58sigur6,81–12,496,99–12,8813,80–25,36mai sigur6,06–13,246,24–13,6212,29–26,87
Ofsaiduri
51%
22%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,921,343,26sigur0,76–3,080,25–2,431,00–5,51mai sigur0,45–3,380,00–2,720,41–6,10
Cartonașe galbene
28%
22%
51%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,442,003,44sigur0,39–2,490,87–3,131,26–5,62mai sigur0,12–2,760,58–3,420,70–6,17
Cartonașe roșii
87%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,060,090,15sigur0,00–0,220,00–0,270,00–0,49mai sigur0,00–0,370,00–0,410,00–0,78
Parade portar
28%
14%
57%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,004,017,01sigur1,57–4,442,46–5,574,02–10,01mai sigur1,18–4,832,03–5,993,21–10,82
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,76 0,79–2,73 0,54–2,98 | 1,51 0,66–2,36 0,43–2,59 | 3,27 1,45–5,09 0,97–5,57 | 44% 23% 33% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 6,24 4,38–8,11 3,89–8,60 | 4,87 3,12–6,61 2,66–7,08 | 11,11 7,51–14,72 6,55–15,67 | 60% 29% |
| Total șuturi | 17,43 13,50–21,35 12,41–22,44 | 12,46 8,90–16,02 7,94–16,98 | 29,89 22,40–37,38 20,35–39,43 | 79% 16% |
| Șuturi din careu | 11,32 8,37–14,26 7,54–15,09 | 8,77 6,09–11,46 5,36–12,19 | 20,09 14,47–25,71 12,90–27,28 | 68% 25% |
| Șuturi blocate | 5,06 3,18–6,94 2,64–7,49 | 3,54 1,89–5,20 1,40–5,69 | 8,60 5,07–12,14 4,03–13,18 | 63% 24% |
| Cornere | 5,96 3,75–8,18 3,17–8,75 | 4,84 2,84–6,85 2,31–7,38 | 10,81 6,59–15,02 5,49–16,13 | 57% 31% |
| Posesie % | 54,84 48,05–61,63 46,38–63,30 | 44,69 37,91–51,48 36,24–53,15 | — | 71% 25% |
| Pase | 532 464–599 446–617 | 432 366–498 348–516 | 964 830–1097 794–1133 | 80% 20% |
| Precizie pase % | 76,33 72,30–80,36 71,01–81,65 | 75,60 71,27–79,92 69,96–81,23 | — | 51% 44% |
| Faulturi | 9,65 6,81–12,49 6,06–13,24 | 9,93 6,99–12,88 6,24–13,62 | 19,58 13,80–25,36 12,29–26,87 | 43% 48% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,92 0,76–3,08 0,45–3,38 | 1,34 0,25–2,43 0,00–2,72 | 3,26 1,00–5,51 0,41–6,10 | 51% 22% 27% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,44 0,39–2,49 0,12–2,76 | 2,00 0,87–3,13 0,58–3,42 | 3,44 1,26–5,62 0,70–6,17 | 28% 22% 51% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,06 0,00–0,22 0,00–0,37 | 0,09 0,00–0,27 0,00–0,41 | 0,15 0,00–0,49 0,00–0,78 | 87% |
| Parade portar | 3,00 1,57–4,44 1,18–4,83 | 4,01 2,46–5,57 2,03–5,99 | 7,01 4,02–10,01 3,21–10,82 | 28% 14% 57% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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