Liga Europa·Faza ligii - etapa 4·
Liga Europa·Faza ligii - etapa 4·Statistici estimate
Goluri
47%
26%
27%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,521,102,62sigur0,56–2,490,24–1,950,80–4,45mai sigur0,30–2,740,02–2,180,32–4,93
Șuturi pe poartă
59%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,153,979,12sigur3,28–7,012,23–5,725,52–12,73mai sigur2,79–7,501,77–6,184,56–13,68
Total șuturi
77%
17%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție15,9011,4727,37sigur11,97–19,827,91–15,0319,88–34,85mai sigur10,88–20,916,95–15,9917,83–36,90
Șuturi din careu
72%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție10,227,2917,51sigur7,28–13,164,61–9,9711,89–23,14mai sigur6,45–13,993,87–10,7110,32–24,70
Șuturi blocate
55%
14%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție4,323,487,80sigur2,44–6,201,82–5,134,26–11,33mai sigur1,89–6,741,33–5,623,23–12,37
Cornere
65%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,854,119,97sigur3,64–8,072,11–6,115,75–14,18mai sigur3,07–8,641,58–6,654,65–15,29
Posesie %
44%
52%
gazdeoaspețipredicție49,9251,67sigur43,13–56,7244,88–58,45mai sigur41,46–58,3843,21–60,12
Pase
35%
64%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție420464884sigur352–487398–531750–1018mai sigur334–505380–548715–1053
Precizie pase %
23%
73%
gazdeoaspețipredicție71,8177,01sigur67,78–75,8472,69–81,34mai sigur66,49–77,1471,38–82,65
Faulturi
63%
30%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,1211,0224,14sigur10,28–15,968,08–13,9718,36–29,92mai sigur9,53–16,717,33–14,7216,86–31,43
Ofsaiduri
33%
22%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,581,873,45sigur0,42–2,740,78–2,971,20–5,71mai sigur0,12–3,040,49–3,260,61–6,30
Cartonașe galbene
37%
20%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,002,124,12sigur0,95–3,040,99–3,251,94–6,29mai sigur0,68–3,310,70–3,541,38–6,85
Cartonașe roșii
83%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,120,20sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,300,00–0,55mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,440,00–0,83
Parade portar
29%
15%
56%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,663,556,22sigur1,23–4,102,00–5,113,23–9,21mai sigur0,84–4,491,57–5,532,41–10,02
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,52 0,56–2,49 0,30–2,74 | 1,10 0,24–1,95 0,02–2,18 | 2,62 0,80–4,45 0,32–4,93 | 47% 26% 27% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,15 3,28–7,01 2,79–7,50 | 3,97 2,23–5,72 1,77–6,18 | 9,12 5,52–12,73 4,56–13,68 | 59% 29% |
| Total șuturi | 15,90 11,97–19,82 10,88–20,91 | 11,47 7,91–15,03 6,95–15,99 | 27,37 19,88–34,85 17,83–36,90 | 77% 17% |
| Șuturi din careu | 10,22 7,28–13,16 6,45–13,99 | 7,29 4,61–9,97 3,87–10,71 | 17,51 11,89–23,14 10,32–24,70 | 72% 21% |
| Șuturi blocate | 4,32 2,44–6,20 1,89–6,74 | 3,48 1,82–5,13 1,33–5,62 | 7,80 4,26–11,33 3,23–12,37 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Cornere | 5,85 3,64–8,07 3,07–8,64 | 4,11 2,11–6,11 1,58–6,65 | 9,97 5,75–14,18 4,65–15,29 | 65% 24% |
| Posesie % | 49,92 43,13–56,72 41,46–58,38 | 51,67 44,88–58,45 43,21–60,12 | — | 44% 52% |
| Pase | 420 352–487 334–505 | 464 398–531 380–548 | 884 750–1018 715–1053 | 35% 64% |
| Precizie pase % | 71,81 67,78–75,84 66,49–77,14 | 77,01 72,69–81,34 71,38–82,65 | — | 23% 73% |
| Faulturi | 13,12 10,28–15,96 9,53–16,71 | 11,02 8,08–13,97 7,33–14,72 | 24,14 18,36–29,92 16,86–31,43 | 63% 30% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,58 0,42–2,74 0,12–3,04 | 1,87 0,78–2,97 0,49–3,26 | 3,45 1,20–5,71 0,61–6,30 | 33% 22% 45% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 2,00 0,95–3,04 0,68–3,31 | 2,12 0,99–3,25 0,70–3,54 | 4,12 1,94–6,29 1,38–6,85 | 37% 20% 42% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,12 0,00–0,30 0,00–0,44 | 0,20 0,00–0,55 0,00–0,83 | 83% |
| Parade portar | 2,66 1,23–4,10 0,84–4,49 | 3,55 2,00–5,11 1,57–5,53 | 6,22 3,23–9,21 2,41–10,02 | 29% 15% 56% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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