Liga Europa·Faza ligii - etapa 4·
Liga Europa·Faza ligii - etapa 4·Statistici estimate
Goluri
56%
23%
21%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,790,992,78sigur0,82–2,750,14–1,850,96–4,60mai sigur0,57–3,000,00–2,080,48–5,08
Șuturi pe poartă
64%
25%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,363,809,16sigur3,50–7,222,06–5,545,56–12,77mai sigur3,01–7,711,59–6,014,60–13,72
Total șuturi
61%
32%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,6611,7825,45sigur9,74–17,598,22–15,3517,96–32,93mai sigur8,65–18,687,26–16,3115,91–34,98
Șuturi din careu
67%
24%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție9,577,2416,80sigur6,62–12,514,55–9,9211,18–22,42mai sigur5,79–13,343,82–10,659,61–23,99
Șuturi blocate
55%
15%
31%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție3,873,056,92sigur1,99–5,761,40–4,703,39–10,46mai sigur1,45–6,300,90–5,192,35–11,50
Cornere
60%
28%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție5,914,5510,47sigur3,70–8,132,55–6,556,25–14,68mai sigur3,13–8,702,02–7,095,15–15,79
Posesie %
59%
36%
gazdeoaspețipredicție52,9848,03sigur46,19–59,7741,25–54,82mai sigur44,52–61,4439,58–56,49
Pase
58%
42%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție433408840sigur365–500341–474707–974mai sigur347–518324–492671–1010
Precizie pase %
37%
58%
gazdeoaspețipredicție73,0575,19sigur69,02–77,0870,87–79,51mai sigur67,73–78,3869,56–80,82
Faulturi
48%
45%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție13,0812,8825,96sigur10,24–15,929,94–15,8320,18–31,74mai sigur9,49–16,679,19–16,5718,67–33,25
Ofsaiduri
49%
22%
29%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,981,503,48sigur0,82–3,140,41–2,591,23–5,74mai sigur0,52–3,440,12–2,880,64–6,32
Cartonașe galbene
32%
20%
48%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție1,822,234,05sigur0,77–2,871,10–3,361,87–6,23mai sigur0,51–3,140,81–3,651,32–6,79
Cartonașe roșii
84%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție0,080,110,18sigur0,00–0,240,00–0,290,00–0,53mai sigur0,00–0,390,00–0,430,00–0,81
Parade portar
35%
16%
49%
gazdeoaspețitotalpredicție2,943,416,36sigur1,51–4,381,86–4,973,36–9,35mai sigur1,12–4,771,43–5,392,55–10,16
| Statistică | Gazdepred. / sigur / mai sigur | Oaspețipred. / sigur / mai sigur | Totalpred. / sigur / mai sigur | Cine are mai mult |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goluri | 1,79 0,82–2,75 0,57–3,00 | 0,99 0,14–1,85 0,00–2,08 | 2,78 0,96–4,60 0,48–5,08 | 56% 23% 21% |
| Șuturi pe poartă | 5,36 3,50–7,22 3,01–7,71 | 3,80 2,06–5,54 1,59–6,01 | 9,16 5,56–12,77 4,60–13,72 | 64% 25% |
| Total șuturi | 13,66 9,74–17,59 8,65–18,68 | 11,78 8,22–15,35 7,26–16,31 | 25,45 17,96–32,93 15,91–34,98 | 61% 32% |
| Șuturi din careu | 9,57 6,62–12,51 5,79–13,34 | 7,24 4,55–9,92 3,82–10,65 | 16,80 11,18–22,42 9,61–23,99 | 67% 24% |
| Șuturi blocate | 3,87 1,99–5,76 1,45–6,30 | 3,05 1,40–4,70 0,90–5,19 | 6,92 3,39–10,46 2,35–11,50 | 55% 15% 31% |
| Cornere | 5,91 3,70–8,13 3,13–8,70 | 4,55 2,55–6,55 2,02–7,09 | 10,47 6,25–14,68 5,15–15,79 | 60% 28% |
| Posesie % | 52,98 46,19–59,77 44,52–61,44 | 48,03 41,25–54,82 39,58–56,49 | — | 59% 36% |
| Pase | 433 365–500 347–518 | 408 341–474 324–492 | 840 707–974 671–1010 | 58% 42% |
| Precizie pase % | 73,05 69,02–77,08 67,73–78,38 | 75,19 70,87–79,51 69,56–80,82 | — | 37% 58% |
| Faulturi | 13,08 10,24–15,92 9,49–16,67 | 12,88 9,94–15,83 9,19–16,57 | 25,96 20,18–31,74 18,67–33,25 | 48% 45% |
| Ofsaiduri | 1,98 0,82–3,14 0,52–3,44 | 1,50 0,41–2,59 0,12–2,88 | 3,48 1,23–5,74 0,64–6,32 | 49% 22% 29% |
| Cartonașe galbene | 1,82 0,77–2,87 0,51–3,14 | 2,23 1,10–3,36 0,81–3,65 | 4,05 1,87–6,23 1,32–6,79 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Cartonașe roșii | 0,08 0,00–0,24 0,00–0,39 | 0,11 0,00–0,29 0,00–0,43 | 0,18 0,00–0,53 0,00–0,81 | 84% |
| Parade portar | 2,94 1,51–4,38 1,12–4,77 | 3,41 1,86–4,97 1,43–5,39 | 6,36 3,36–9,35 2,55–10,16 | 35% 16% 49% |
sigur = predicție ± MAE · mai sigur = ± RMSE ale modelului folosit pentru acea statistică. Barele arată șansa, după model, ca fiecare echipă să aibă mai mult la acea statistică: o aproximare Poisson pornind de la valorile estimate, cu cele două echipe tratate ca independente
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