UEFA Nations League·League C - 3·
UEFA Nations League·League C - 3·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
26%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.152.58safe0.47–2.400.29–2.000.76–4.41safer0.21–2.650.07–2.230.28–4.89
Shots on target
53%
13%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.834.088.91safe2.97–6.692.34–5.825.30–12.51safer2.48–7.181.87–6.294.35–13.47
Total shots
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3611.5524.91safe9.44–17.297.98–15.1117.42–32.40safer8.35–18.387.02–16.0715.37–34.45
Shots in box
55%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction8.197.2415.43safe5.25–11.134.56–9.929.81–21.05safer4.42–11.963.82–10.668.24–22.62
Blocked shots
46%
15%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction3.623.407.02safe1.74–5.501.74–5.053.48–10.55safer1.20–6.051.25–5.542.45–11.59
Corners
51%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction5.174.569.74safe2.96–7.392.56–6.565.52–13.95safer2.39–7.962.03–7.104.42–15.06
Possession %
55%
41%
homeawayprediction51.2548.32safe44.46–58.0441.53–55.10safer42.79–59.7139.86–56.78
Passes
66%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction464416880safe397–531349–482746–1013safer379–549332–500710–1049
Pass accuracy %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction67.6768.81safe63.64–71.7064.49–73.13safer62.35–72.9963.18–74.44
Fouls
40%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction12.4413.1625.59safe9.60–15.2710.21–16.1019.81–31.38safer8.84–16.039.46–16.8518.31–32.88
Offsides
34%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.481.683.16safe0.32–2.640.59–2.770.91–5.41safer0.02–2.940.30–3.060.32–6.00
Yellow cards
31%
21%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.752.173.92safe0.70–2.791.05–3.301.75–6.09safer0.44–3.050.76–3.591.19–6.64
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
36%
16%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.873.276.14safe1.43–4.311.72–4.833.15–9.14safer1.05–4.691.29–5.252.34–9.95
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.43 0.47–2.40 0.21–2.65 | 1.15 0.29–2.00 0.07–2.23 | 2.58 0.76–4.41 0.28–4.89 | 44% 26% 30% |
| Shots on target | 4.83 2.97–6.69 2.48–7.18 | 4.08 2.34–5.82 1.87–6.29 | 8.91 5.30–12.51 4.35–13.47 | 53% 13% 34% |
| Total shots | 13.36 9.44–17.29 8.35–18.38 | 11.55 7.98–15.11 7.02–16.07 | 24.91 17.42–32.40 15.37–34.45 | 60% 32% |
| Shots in box | 8.19 5.25–11.13 4.42–11.96 | 7.24 4.56–9.92 3.82–10.66 | 15.43 9.81–21.05 8.24–22.62 | 55% 35% |
| Blocked shots | 3.62 1.74–5.50 1.20–6.05 | 3.40 1.74–5.05 1.25–5.54 | 7.02 3.48–10.55 2.45–11.59 | 46% 15% 39% |
| Corners | 5.17 2.96–7.39 2.39–7.96 | 4.56 2.56–6.56 2.03–7.10 | 9.74 5.52–13.95 4.42–15.06 | 51% 36% |
| Possession % | 51.25 44.46–58.04 42.79–59.71 | 48.32 41.53–55.10 39.86–56.78 | — | 55% 41% |
| Passes | 464 397–531 379–549 | 416 349–482 332–500 | 880 746–1013 710–1049 | 66% 34% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.67 63.64–71.70 62.35–72.99 | 68.81 64.49–73.13 63.18–74.44 | — | 42% 53% |
| Fouls | 12.44 9.60–15.27 8.84–16.03 | 13.16 10.21–16.10 9.46–16.85 | 25.59 19.81–31.38 18.31–32.88 | 40% 52% |
| Offsides | 1.48 0.32–2.64 0.02–2.94 | 1.68 0.59–2.77 0.30–3.06 | 3.16 0.91–5.41 0.32–6.00 | 34% 23% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 1.75 0.70–2.79 0.44–3.05 | 2.17 1.05–3.30 0.76–3.59 | 3.92 1.75–6.09 1.19–6.64 | 31% 21% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.87 1.43–4.31 1.05–4.69 | 3.27 1.72–4.83 1.29–5.25 | 6.14 3.15–9.14 2.34–9.95 | 36% 16% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.