UEFA Nations League·League C - 5·
UEFA Nations League·League C - 5·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
27%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.390.972.36safe0.43–2.360.11–1.820.54–4.19safer0.17–2.610.00–2.050.06–4.67
Shots on target
57%
13%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.613.568.17safe2.74–6.471.82–5.304.56–11.77safer2.25–6.961.35–5.773.61–12.73
Total shots
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2611.6725.93safe10.34–18.198.11–15.2318.44–33.42safer9.25–19.287.15–16.1916.39–35.47
Shots in box
62%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction8.767.0415.80safe5.82–11.704.35–9.7210.17–21.42safer4.99–12.533.62–10.458.60–22.99
Blocked shots
55%
15%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction3.602.786.39safe1.72–5.491.13–4.442.85–9.92safer1.18–6.030.64–4.931.82–10.96
Corners
54%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction5.124.339.45safe2.91–7.342.33–6.335.24–13.66safer2.34–7.911.79–6.864.13–14.77
Possession %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction49.3450.82safe42.55–56.1344.03–57.60safer40.88–57.8042.36–59.27
Passes
58%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction459434893safe392–526368–501759–1027safer374–544350–518724–1062
Pass accuracy %
37%
58%
homeawayprediction68.0670.09safe64.03–72.0965.77–74.41safer62.74–73.3864.46–75.72
Fouls
47%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9612.8325.79safe10.12–15.809.89–15.7820.01–31.58safer9.37–16.569.14–16.5318.51–33.08
Offsides
53%
22%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.901.243.14safe0.74–3.060.15–2.330.88–5.39safer0.44–3.360.00–2.620.29–5.98
Yellow cards
38%
21%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.953.83safe0.83–2.930.82–3.081.65–6.01safer0.57–3.200.53–3.371.10–6.57
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.100.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
28%
16%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction2.423.255.67safe0.98–3.861.70–4.812.68–8.67safer0.60–4.241.27–5.231.87–9.48
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.39 0.43–2.36 0.17–2.61 | 0.97 0.11–1.82 0.00–2.05 | 2.36 0.54–4.19 0.06–4.67 | 47% 27% 26% |
| Shots on target | 4.61 2.74–6.47 2.25–6.96 | 3.56 1.82–5.30 1.35–5.77 | 8.17 4.56–11.77 3.61–12.73 | 57% 13% 29% |
| Total shots | 14.26 10.34–18.19 9.25–19.28 | 11.67 8.11–15.23 7.15–16.19 | 25.93 18.44–33.42 16.39–35.47 | 66% 27% |
| Shots in box | 8.76 5.82–11.70 4.99–12.53 | 7.04 4.35–9.72 3.62–10.45 | 15.80 10.17–21.42 8.60–22.99 | 62% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 3.60 1.72–5.49 1.18–6.03 | 2.78 1.13–4.44 0.64–4.93 | 6.39 2.85–9.92 1.82–10.96 | 55% 15% 30% |
| Corners | 5.12 2.91–7.34 2.34–7.91 | 4.33 2.33–6.33 1.79–6.86 | 9.45 5.24–13.66 4.13–14.77 | 54% 34% |
| Possession % | 49.34 42.55–56.13 40.88–57.80 | 50.82 44.03–57.60 42.36–59.27 | — | 44% 51% |
| Passes | 459 392–526 374–544 | 434 368–501 350–518 | 893 759–1027 724–1062 | 58% 42% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.06 64.03–72.09 62.74–73.38 | 70.09 65.77–74.41 64.46–75.72 | — | 37% 58% |
| Fouls | 12.96 10.12–15.80 9.37–16.56 | 12.83 9.89–15.78 9.14–16.53 | 25.79 20.01–31.58 18.51–33.08 | 47% 45% |
| Offsides | 1.90 0.74–3.06 0.44–3.36 | 1.24 0.15–2.33 0.00–2.62 | 3.14 0.88–5.39 0.29–5.98 | 53% 22% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.88 0.83–2.93 0.57–3.20 | 1.95 0.82–3.08 0.53–3.37 | 3.83 1.65–6.01 1.10–6.57 | 38% 21% 41% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.42 0.98–3.86 0.60–4.24 | 3.25 1.70–4.81 1.27–5.23 | 5.67 2.68–8.67 1.87–9.48 | 28% 16% 55% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.