Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
21%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.031.213.24safe1.06–3.000.35–2.061.41–5.06safer0.81–3.250.12–2.290.93–5.54
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction6.093.889.97safe4.23–7.962.14–5.626.37–13.58safer3.74–8.451.67–6.095.41–14.53
Total shots
83%
homeawaytotalprediction16.5611.1527.71safe12.63–20.487.59–14.7220.22–35.20safer11.54–21.576.63–15.6818.17–37.25
Shots in box
73%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction10.407.3617.76safe7.46–13.354.68–10.0412.14–23.39safer6.63–14.183.94–10.7810.57–24.95
Blocked shots
63%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.523.077.58safe2.63–6.401.42–4.724.05–11.12safer2.09–6.940.92–5.213.01–12.16
Corners
63%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.894.3110.20safe3.68–8.102.31–6.315.99–14.42safer3.10–8.681.78–6.854.88–15.52
Possession %
63%
33%
homeawayprediction53.3446.85safe46.55–60.1340.07–53.64safer44.88–61.8038.40–55.31
Passes
79%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5544571011safe487–621391–524877–1145safer469–639373–541842–1181
Pass accuracy %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction75.4173.29safe71.38–79.4468.97–77.62safer70.09–80.7367.66–78.93
Fouls
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0512.1024.15safe9.21–14.899.15–15.0418.37–29.93safer8.46–15.658.40–15.7916.86–31.44
Offsides
28%
22%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.371.883.25safe0.21–2.530.79–2.971.00–5.50safer0.00–2.830.50–3.260.41–6.09
Yellow cards
39%
20%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction2.172.244.42safe1.13–3.221.12–3.372.25–6.59safer0.86–3.480.83–3.661.69–7.14
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.080.16safe0.00–0.240.00–0.270.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.400.00–0.79
GK saves
22%
14%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction2.604.056.65safe1.16–4.042.50–5.613.66–9.64safer0.78–4.422.07–6.032.85–10.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.03 1.06–3.00 0.81–3.25 | 1.21 0.35–2.06 0.12–2.29 | 3.24 1.41–5.06 0.93–5.54 | 56% 21% 22% |
| Shots on target | 6.09 4.23–7.96 3.74–8.45 | 3.88 2.14–5.62 1.67–6.09 | 9.97 6.37–13.58 5.41–14.53 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 16.56 12.63–20.48 11.54–21.57 | 11.15 7.59–14.72 6.63–15.68 | 27.71 20.22–35.20 18.17–37.25 | 83% |
| Shots in box | 10.40 7.46–13.35 6.63–14.18 | 7.36 4.68–10.04 3.94–10.78 | 17.76 12.14–23.39 10.57–24.95 | 73% 20% |
| Blocked shots | 4.52 2.63–6.40 2.09–6.94 | 3.07 1.42–4.72 0.92–5.21 | 7.58 4.05–11.12 3.01–12.16 | 63% 24% |
| Corners | 5.89 3.68–8.10 3.10–8.68 | 4.31 2.31–6.31 1.78–6.85 | 10.20 5.99–14.42 4.88–15.52 | 63% 26% |
| Possession % | 53.34 46.55–60.13 44.88–61.80 | 46.85 40.07–53.64 38.40–55.31 | — | 63% 33% |
| Passes | 554 487–621 469–639 | 457 391–524 373–541 | 1011 877–1145 842–1181 | 79% 21% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.41 71.38–79.44 70.09–80.73 | 73.29 68.97–77.62 67.66–78.93 | — | 58% 37% |
| Fouls | 12.05 9.21–14.89 8.46–15.65 | 12.10 9.15–15.04 8.40–15.79 | 24.15 18.37–29.93 16.86–31.44 | 46% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.37 0.21–2.53 0.00–2.83 | 1.88 0.79–2.97 0.50–3.26 | 3.25 1.00–5.50 0.41–6.09 | 28% 22% 49% |
| Yellow cards | 2.17 1.13–3.22 0.86–3.48 | 2.24 1.12–3.37 0.83–3.66 | 4.42 2.25–6.59 1.69–7.14 | 39% 20% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.60 1.16–4.04 0.78–4.42 | 4.05 2.50–5.61 2.07–6.03 | 6.65 3.66–9.64 2.85–10.46 | 22% 14% 64% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.