Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
25%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.401.542.94safe0.43–2.360.69–2.401.11–4.76safer0.18–2.620.46–2.620.63–5.24
Shots on target
40%
13%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction4.474.739.19safe2.61–6.332.98–6.475.59–12.80safer2.12–6.822.52–6.934.63–13.75
Total shots
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction13.9112.8626.76safe9.99–17.839.29–16.4219.28–34.25safer8.89–18.938.33–17.3817.23–36.30
Shots in box
52%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction8.577.9116.48safe5.63–11.515.23–10.5910.86–22.10safer4.80–12.344.49–11.339.29–23.67
Blocked shots
43%
15%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.563.507.06safe1.67–5.441.85–5.163.52–10.59safer1.13–5.981.36–5.652.49–11.63
Corners
44%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction4.994.929.90safe2.77–7.202.92–6.925.69–14.12safer2.20–7.772.38–7.454.58–15.22
Possession %
39%
57%
homeawayprediction47.9851.84safe41.19–54.7745.06–58.63safer39.52–56.4443.39–60.30
Passes
38%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction4965321028safe428–563466–599894–1161safer410–581448–616858–1197
Pass accuracy %
20%
76%
homeawayprediction72.0477.97safe68.01–76.0773.64–82.29safer66.72–77.3672.34–83.60
Fouls
44%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9512.1524.09safe9.11–14.789.20–15.0918.31–29.87safer8.35–15.548.45–15.8416.81–31.38
Offsides
53%
22%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.263.20safe0.78–3.100.17–2.350.94–5.45safer0.47–3.400.00–2.640.35–6.04
Yellow cards
36%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.922.134.04safe0.87–2.971.00–3.251.87–6.22safer0.60–3.230.71–3.551.31–6.78
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.080.17safe0.00–0.250.00–0.260.00–0.52safer0.00–0.400.00–0.400.00–0.80
GK saves
46%
16%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction3.303.076.37safe1.87–4.741.51–4.623.38–9.36safer1.48–5.131.09–5.052.57–10.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.40 0.43–2.36 0.18–2.62 | 1.54 0.69–2.40 0.46–2.62 | 2.94 1.11–4.76 0.63–5.24 | 35% 25% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.47 2.61–6.33 2.12–6.82 | 4.73 2.98–6.47 2.52–6.93 | 9.19 5.59–12.80 4.63–13.75 | 40% 13% 47% |
| Total shots | 13.91 9.99–17.83 8.89–18.93 | 12.86 9.29–16.42 8.33–17.38 | 26.76 19.28–34.25 17.23–36.30 | 54% 38% |
| Shots in box | 8.57 5.63–11.51 4.80–12.34 | 7.91 5.23–10.59 4.49–11.33 | 16.48 10.86–22.10 9.29–23.67 | 52% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 3.56 1.67–5.44 1.13–5.98 | 3.50 1.85–5.16 1.36–5.65 | 7.06 3.52–10.59 2.49–11.63 | 43% 15% 42% |
| Corners | 4.99 2.77–7.20 2.20–7.77 | 4.92 2.92–6.92 2.38–7.45 | 9.90 5.69–14.12 4.58–15.22 | 44% 43% |
| Possession % | 47.98 41.19–54.77 39.52–56.44 | 51.84 45.06–58.63 43.39–60.30 | — | 39% 57% |
| Passes | 496 428–563 410–581 | 532 466–599 448–616 | 1028 894–1161 858–1197 | 38% 62% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.04 68.01–76.07 66.72–77.36 | 77.97 73.64–82.29 72.34–83.60 | — | 20% 76% |
| Fouls | 11.95 9.11–14.78 8.35–15.54 | 12.15 9.20–15.09 8.45–15.84 | 24.09 18.31–29.87 16.81–31.38 | 44% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.94 0.78–3.10 0.47–3.40 | 1.26 0.17–2.35 0.00–2.64 | 3.20 0.94–5.45 0.35–6.04 | 53% 22% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.92 0.87–2.97 0.60–3.23 | 2.13 1.00–3.25 0.71–3.55 | 4.04 1.87–6.22 1.31–6.78 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 3.30 1.87–4.74 1.48–5.13 | 3.07 1.51–4.62 1.09–5.05 | 6.37 3.38–9.36 2.57–10.18 | 46% 16% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.