Predicted match statistics
Goals
48%
24%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.272.98safe0.74–2.680.42–2.131.16–4.80safer0.49–2.930.19–2.350.68–5.28
Shots on target
54%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction5.254.429.67safe3.38–7.112.68–6.166.06–13.27safer2.89–7.602.21–6.635.11–14.23
Total shots
52%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3513.6327.98safe10.43–18.2810.06–17.1920.49–35.47safer9.34–19.379.11–18.1518.44–37.52
Shots in box
60%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction9.928.3518.27safe6.98–12.865.67–11.0312.65–23.89safer6.15–13.694.93–11.7711.08–25.46
Blocked shots
51%
15%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction3.913.327.23safe2.03–5.791.66–4.973.69–10.76safer1.48–6.341.17–5.462.66–11.80
Corners
56%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction5.604.6010.21safe3.39–7.822.60–6.605.99–14.42safer2.81–8.392.07–7.144.89–15.53
Possession %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction50.0149.93safe43.22–56.8043.15–56.72safer41.55–58.4741.48–58.39
Passes
46%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction492505998safe425–560439–572864–1131safer407–578421–589828–1167
Pass accuracy %
31%
64%
homeawayprediction71.2374.60safe67.20–75.2670.28–78.92safer65.91–76.5568.97–80.23
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction12.2611.8424.09safe9.42–15.098.89–14.7818.31–29.88safer8.66–15.858.14–15.5316.81–31.38
Offsides
52%
20%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.301.653.95safe1.14–3.460.56–2.741.70–6.20safer0.84–3.760.27–3.031.11–6.79
Yellow cards
32%
20%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.792.183.97safe0.74–2.831.06–3.311.80–6.14safer0.48–3.100.77–3.601.25–6.70
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
37%
16%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction3.073.396.46safe1.64–4.511.83–4.943.47–9.45safer1.25–4.901.41–5.372.66–10.26
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.71 0.74–2.68 0.49–2.93 | 1.27 0.42–2.13 0.19–2.35 | 2.98 1.16–4.80 0.68–5.28 | 48% 24% 29% |
| Shots on target | 5.25 3.38–7.11 2.89–7.60 | 4.42 2.68–6.16 2.21–6.63 | 9.67 6.06–13.27 5.11–14.23 | 54% 33% |
| Total shots | 14.35 10.43–18.28 9.34–19.37 | 13.63 10.06–17.19 9.11–18.15 | 27.98 20.49–35.47 18.44–37.52 | 52% 41% |
| Shots in box | 9.92 6.98–12.86 6.15–13.69 | 8.35 5.67–11.03 4.93–11.77 | 18.27 12.65–23.89 11.08–25.46 | 60% 31% |
| Blocked shots | 3.91 2.03–5.79 1.48–6.34 | 3.32 1.66–4.97 1.17–5.46 | 7.23 3.69–10.76 2.66–11.80 | 51% 15% 34% |
| Corners | 5.60 3.39–7.82 2.81–8.39 | 4.60 2.60–6.60 2.07–7.14 | 10.21 5.99–14.42 4.89–15.53 | 56% 32% |
| Possession % | 50.01 43.22–56.80 41.55–58.47 | 49.93 43.15–56.72 41.48–58.39 | — | 48% 47% |
| Passes | 492 425–560 407–578 | 505 439–572 421–589 | 998 864–1131 828–1167 | 46% 54% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.23 67.20–75.26 65.91–76.55 | 74.60 70.28–78.92 68.97–80.23 | — | 31% 64% |
| Fouls | 12.26 9.42–15.09 8.66–15.85 | 11.84 8.89–14.78 8.14–15.53 | 24.09 18.31–29.88 16.81–31.38 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 2.30 1.14–3.46 0.84–3.76 | 1.65 0.56–2.74 0.27–3.03 | 3.95 1.70–6.20 1.11–6.79 | 52% 20% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.79 0.74–2.83 0.48–3.10 | 2.18 1.06–3.31 0.77–3.60 | 3.97 1.80–6.14 1.25–6.70 | 32% 20% 47% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 3.07 1.64–4.51 1.25–4.90 | 3.39 1.83–4.94 1.41–5.37 | 6.46 3.47–9.45 2.66–10.26 | 37% 16% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.