Predicted match statistics
Goals
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.551.523.07safe0.58–2.520.66–2.371.25–4.89safer0.33–2.770.43–2.600.77–5.37
Shots on target
52%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction5.354.649.99safe3.48–7.212.90–6.386.38–13.59safer2.99–7.702.43–6.855.43–14.55
Total shots
76%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction16.2411.9728.21safe12.32–20.178.41–15.5420.73–35.70safer11.23–21.267.45–16.5018.68–37.75
Shots in box
63%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction10.438.5318.96safe7.49–13.375.85–11.2113.34–24.58safer6.66–14.205.11–11.9511.77–26.15
Blocked shots
60%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction4.743.478.21safe2.85–6.621.82–5.124.67–11.74safer2.31–7.161.33–5.623.64–12.78
Corners
60%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction5.654.319.96safe3.44–7.872.31–6.315.75–14.17safer2.87–8.441.77–6.844.64–15.28
Possession %
54%
41%
homeawayprediction51.3748.48safe44.58–58.1641.70–55.27safer42.91–59.8340.03–56.94
Passes
61%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction515481996safe448–583414–547863–1130safer430–601397–565827–1166
Pass accuracy %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction73.2973.95safe69.26–77.3269.63–78.28safer67.97–78.6168.32–79.59
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2012.6423.84safe8.36–14.039.70–15.5818.05–29.62safer7.60–14.798.95–16.3316.55–31.12
Offsides
33%
21%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.702.033.74safe0.54–2.860.94–3.131.48–5.99safer0.24–3.170.65–3.410.89–6.58
Yellow cards
34%
22%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.701.963.67safe0.65–2.750.83–3.091.49–5.84safer0.39–3.020.54–3.380.93–6.40
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.090.18safe0.00–0.250.00–0.280.00–0.53safer0.00–0.400.00–0.410.00–0.81
GK saves
35%
15%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction3.183.656.84safe1.75–4.622.10–5.213.84–9.83safer1.36–5.011.67–5.633.03–10.64
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.55 0.58–2.52 0.33–2.77 | 1.52 0.66–2.37 0.43–2.60 | 3.07 1.25–4.89 0.77–5.37 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Shots on target | 5.35 3.48–7.21 2.99–7.70 | 4.64 2.90–6.38 2.43–6.85 | 9.99 6.38–13.59 5.43–14.55 | 52% 35% |
| Total shots | 16.24 12.32–20.17 11.23–21.26 | 11.97 8.41–15.54 7.45–16.50 | 28.21 20.73–35.70 18.68–37.75 | 76% 18% |
| Shots in box | 10.43 7.49–13.37 6.66–14.20 | 8.53 5.85–11.21 5.11–11.95 | 18.96 13.34–24.58 11.77–26.15 | 63% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 4.74 2.85–6.62 2.31–7.16 | 3.47 1.82–5.12 1.33–5.62 | 8.21 4.67–11.74 3.64–12.78 | 60% 27% |
| Corners | 5.65 3.44–7.87 2.87–8.44 | 4.31 2.31–6.31 1.77–6.84 | 9.96 5.75–14.17 4.64–15.28 | 60% 28% |
| Possession % | 51.37 44.58–58.16 42.91–59.83 | 48.48 41.70–55.27 40.03–56.94 | — | 54% 41% |
| Passes | 515 448–583 430–601 | 481 414–547 397–565 | 996 863–1130 827–1166 | 61% 39% |
| Pass accuracy % | 73.29 69.26–77.32 67.97–78.61 | 73.95 69.63–78.28 68.32–79.59 | — | 44% 51% |
| Fouls | 11.20 8.36–14.03 7.60–14.79 | 12.64 9.70–15.58 8.95–16.33 | 23.84 18.05–29.62 16.55–31.12 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 1.70 0.54–2.86 0.24–3.17 | 2.03 0.94–3.13 0.65–3.41 | 3.74 1.48–5.99 0.89–6.58 | 33% 21% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.70 0.65–2.75 0.39–3.02 | 1.96 0.83–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 3.67 1.49–5.84 0.93–6.40 | 34% 22% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.18 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.18 1.75–4.62 1.36–5.01 | 3.65 2.10–5.21 1.67–5.63 | 6.84 3.84–9.83 3.03–10.64 | 35% 15% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+