Predicted match statistics
Goals
31%
27%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.101.312.41safe0.13–2.070.46–2.160.58–4.23safer0.00–2.320.23–2.390.11–4.71
Shots on target
48%
14%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.323.998.32safe2.46–6.192.25–5.734.71–11.92safer1.97–6.681.78–6.203.75–12.88
Total shots
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1210.5823.71safe9.20–17.057.02–14.1516.22–31.19safer8.11–18.146.06–15.1114.17–33.24
Shots in box
69%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction8.996.5815.56safe6.04–11.933.90–9.269.94–21.19safer5.21–12.763.16–10.008.37–22.75
Blocked shots
48%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.282.896.16safe1.40–5.161.23–4.542.63–9.70safer0.85–5.700.74–5.031.59–10.73
Corners
56%
13%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.873.948.81safe2.66–7.091.94–5.944.60–13.03safer2.09–7.661.41–6.473.49–14.13
Possession %
21%
75%
homeawayprediction44.2456.87safe37.45–51.0350.09–63.66safer35.78–52.7048.42–65.33
Passes
18%
82%
homeawaytotalprediction436545981safe369–503479–611847–1115safer351–521461–629812–1150
Pass accuracy %
85%
homeawayprediction68.6377.14safe64.60–72.6672.81–81.46safer63.31–73.9671.50–82.77
Fouls
63%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction13.6611.4725.13safe10.82–16.508.52–14.4119.35–30.91safer10.07–17.267.77–15.1617.84–32.42
Offsides
35%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.823.47safe0.49–2.810.73–2.911.22–5.72safer0.19–3.110.44–3.200.63–6.31
Yellow cards
44%
20%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction2.292.114.40safe1.25–3.330.98–3.242.23–6.57safer0.98–3.600.70–3.531.68–7.13
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.19safe0.00–0.260.00–0.280.00–0.54safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.82
GK saves
34%
17%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.512.945.45safe1.07–3.941.38–4.502.46–8.44safer0.68–4.330.96–4.921.64–9.25
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.10 0.13–2.07 0.00–2.32 | 1.31 0.46–2.16 0.23–2.39 | 2.41 0.58–4.23 0.11–4.71 | 31% 27% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.32 2.46–6.19 1.97–6.68 | 3.99 2.25–5.73 1.78–6.20 | 8.32 4.71–11.92 3.75–12.88 | 48% 14% 38% |
| Total shots | 13.12 9.20–17.05 8.11–18.14 | 10.58 7.02–14.15 6.06–15.11 | 23.71 16.22–31.19 14.17–33.24 | 66% 27% |
| Shots in box | 8.99 6.04–11.93 5.21–12.76 | 6.58 3.90–9.26 3.16–10.00 | 15.56 9.94–21.19 8.37–22.75 | 69% 23% |
| Blocked shots | 3.28 1.40–5.16 0.85–5.70 | 2.89 1.23–4.54 0.74–5.03 | 6.16 2.63–9.70 1.59–10.73 | 48% 16% 36% |
| Corners | 4.87 2.66–7.09 2.09–7.66 | 3.94 1.94–5.94 1.41–6.47 | 8.81 4.60–13.03 3.49–14.13 | 56% 13% 31% |
| Possession % | 44.24 37.45–51.03 35.78–52.70 | 56.87 50.09–63.66 48.42–65.33 | — | 21% 75% |
| Passes | 436 369–503 351–521 | 545 479–611 461–629 | 981 847–1115 812–1150 | 18% 82% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.63 64.60–72.66 63.31–73.96 | 77.14 72.81–81.46 71.50–82.77 | — | 85% |
| Fouls | 13.66 10.82–16.50 10.07–17.26 | 11.47 8.52–14.41 7.77–15.16 | 25.13 19.35–30.91 17.84–32.42 | 63% 29% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.81 0.19–3.11 | 1.82 0.73–2.91 0.44–3.20 | 3.47 1.22–5.72 0.63–6.31 | 35% 22% 42% |
| Yellow cards | 2.29 1.25–3.33 0.98–3.60 | 2.11 0.98–3.24 0.70–3.53 | 4.40 2.23–6.57 1.68–7.13 | 44% 20% 37% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.51 1.07–3.94 0.68–4.33 | 2.94 1.38–4.50 0.96–4.92 | 5.45 2.46–8.44 1.64–9.25 | 34% 17% 49% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.