Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
26%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.540.912.46safe0.58–2.510.06–1.770.64–4.28safer0.32–2.760.00–2.000.16–4.76
Shots on target
61%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction4.973.638.60safe3.10–6.831.89–5.374.99–12.20safer2.61–7.321.42–5.844.04–13.16
Total shots
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5210.9123.43safe8.60–16.447.34–14.4715.94–30.91safer7.50–17.546.39–15.4313.89–32.97
Shots in box
51%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction7.727.1014.82safe4.77–10.664.42–9.789.20–20.44safer3.95–11.493.68–10.527.63–22.01
Blocked shots
58%
16%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction3.152.185.33safe1.27–5.030.53–3.841.80–8.87safer0.72–5.580.04–4.330.76–9.90
Corners
54%
13%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction4.743.928.66safe2.53–6.951.92–5.924.44–12.87safer1.95–7.531.38–6.453.34–13.98
Possession %
85%
homeawayprediction59.4641.07safe52.67–66.2534.28–47.85safer51.00–67.9232.61–49.52
Passes
95%
homeawaytotalprediction598397995safe530–665330–463861–1128safer512–683313–481825–1164
Pass accuracy %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction77.8073.11safe73.77–81.8368.78–77.43safer72.48–83.1267.48–78.74
Fouls
25%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2114.1725.37safe8.37–14.0411.22–17.1119.59–31.16safer7.61–14.8010.47–17.8618.09–32.66
Offsides
53%
20%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction2.341.653.99safe1.18–3.500.56–2.741.74–6.25safer0.88–3.800.27–3.031.15–6.83
Yellow cards
28%
19%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.832.514.34safe0.78–2.881.38–3.642.16–6.52safer0.52–3.151.09–3.931.61–7.08
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.130.22safe0.00–0.250.00–0.320.00–0.56safer0.00–0.390.00–0.450.00–0.85
GK saves
32%
17%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction2.533.125.65safe1.10–3.971.57–4.682.66–8.65safer0.71–4.361.14–5.101.85–9.46
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.54 0.58–2.51 0.32–2.76 | 0.91 0.06–1.77 0.00–2.00 | 2.46 0.64–4.28 0.16–4.76 | 52% 26% 22% |
| Shots on target | 4.97 3.10–6.83 2.61–7.32 | 3.63 1.89–5.37 1.42–5.84 | 8.60 4.99–12.20 4.04–13.16 | 61% 26% |
| Total shots | 12.52 8.60–16.44 7.50–17.54 | 10.91 7.34–14.47 6.39–15.43 | 23.43 15.94–30.91 13.89–32.97 | 59% 33% |
| Shots in box | 7.72 4.77–10.66 3.95–11.49 | 7.10 4.42–9.78 3.68–10.52 | 14.82 9.20–20.44 7.63–22.01 | 51% 39% |
| Blocked shots | 3.15 1.27–5.03 0.72–5.58 | 2.18 0.53–3.84 0.04–4.33 | 5.33 1.80–8.87 0.76–9.90 | 58% 16% 26% |
| Corners | 4.74 2.53–6.95 1.95–7.53 | 3.92 1.92–5.92 1.38–6.45 | 8.66 4.44–12.87 3.34–13.98 | 54% 13% 33% |
| Possession % | 59.46 52.67–66.25 51.00–67.92 | 41.07 34.28–47.85 32.61–49.52 | — | 85% |
| Passes | 598 530–665 512–683 | 397 330–463 313–481 | 995 861–1128 825–1164 | 95% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.80 73.77–81.83 72.48–83.12 | 73.11 68.78–77.43 67.48–78.74 | — | 71% 25% |
| Fouls | 11.21 8.37–14.04 7.61–14.80 | 14.17 11.22–17.11 10.47–17.86 | 25.37 19.59–31.16 18.09–32.66 | 25% 69% |
| Offsides | 2.34 1.18–3.50 0.88–3.80 | 1.65 0.56–2.74 0.27–3.03 | 3.99 1.74–6.25 1.15–6.83 | 53% 20% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.83 0.78–2.88 0.52–3.15 | 2.51 1.38–3.64 1.09–3.93 | 4.34 2.16–6.52 1.61–7.08 | 28% 19% 53% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.22 0.00–0.56 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.53 1.10–3.97 0.71–4.36 | 3.12 1.57–4.68 1.14–5.10 | 5.65 2.66–8.65 1.85–9.46 | 32% 17% 51% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.