UEFA Nations League·League B - 3·
UEFA Nations League·League B - 3·Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
29%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.002.23safe0.26–2.200.15–1.860.41–4.05safer0.01–2.450.00–2.090.00–4.53
Shots on target
39%
15%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction3.764.017.77safe1.90–5.622.26–5.754.16–11.37safer1.41–6.111.80–6.213.21–12.33
Total shots
46%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1012.0524.15safe8.17–16.028.49–15.6116.66–31.63safer7.08–17.117.53–16.5714.61–33.68
Shots in box
57%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction8.066.8814.95safe5.12–11.004.20–9.579.32–20.57safer4.29–11.833.47–10.307.76–22.14
Blocked shots
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.533.066.59safe1.65–5.411.41–4.713.05–10.12safer1.10–5.950.92–5.212.02–11.16
Corners
47%
13%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.784.529.31safe2.57–7.002.52–6.525.09–13.52safer2.00–7.571.99–7.063.98–14.63
Possession %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction55.0146.06safe48.22–61.8039.28–52.85safer46.55–63.4737.61–54.52
Passes
77%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction515425940safe448–582358–491806–1074safer430–601341–509771–1109
Pass accuracy %
48%
47%
homeawayprediction70.5770.55safe66.54–74.6066.22–74.87safer65.25–75.8964.92–76.18
Fouls
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0611.7924.85safe10.22–15.898.85–14.7419.07–30.63safer9.46–16.658.10–15.4917.56–32.14
Offsides
37%
25%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.432.85safe0.26–2.580.34–2.520.60–5.10safer0.00–2.890.05–2.810.01–5.69
Yellow cards
36%
20%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.992.184.17safe0.95–3.031.06–3.312.00–6.34safer0.68–3.300.77–3.601.45–6.90
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
45%
17%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction2.842.645.48safe1.40–4.271.09–4.202.49–8.47safer1.01–4.660.66–4.621.67–9.28
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.23 0.26–2.20 0.01–2.45 | 1.00 0.15–1.86 0.00–2.09 | 2.23 0.41–4.05 0.00–4.53 | 41% 29% 30% |
| Shots on target | 3.76 1.90–5.62 1.41–6.11 | 4.01 2.26–5.75 1.80–6.21 | 7.77 4.16–11.37 3.21–12.33 | 39% 15% 46% |
| Total shots | 12.10 8.17–16.02 7.08–17.11 | 12.05 8.49–15.61 7.53–16.57 | 24.15 16.66–31.63 14.61–33.68 | 46% 46% |
| Shots in box | 8.06 5.12–11.00 4.29–11.83 | 6.88 4.20–9.57 3.47–10.30 | 14.95 9.32–20.57 7.76–22.14 | 57% 33% |
| Blocked shots | 3.53 1.65–5.41 1.10–5.95 | 3.06 1.41–4.71 0.92–5.21 | 6.59 3.05–10.12 2.02–11.16 | 49% 16% 35% |
| Corners | 4.78 2.57–7.00 2.00–7.57 | 4.52 2.52–6.52 1.99–7.06 | 9.31 5.09–13.52 3.98–14.63 | 47% 13% 40% |
| Possession % | 55.01 48.22–61.80 46.55–63.47 | 46.06 39.28–52.85 37.61–54.52 | — | 68% 28% |
| Passes | 515 448–582 430–601 | 425 358–491 341–509 | 940 806–1074 771–1109 | 77% 22% |
| Pass accuracy % | 70.57 66.54–74.60 65.25–75.89 | 70.55 66.22–74.87 64.92–76.18 | — | 48% 47% |
| Fouls | 13.06 10.22–15.89 9.46–16.65 | 11.79 8.85–14.74 8.10–15.49 | 24.85 19.07–30.63 17.56–32.14 | 56% 36% |
| Offsides | 1.42 0.26–2.58 0.00–2.89 | 1.43 0.34–2.52 0.05–2.81 | 2.85 0.60–5.10 0.01–5.69 | 37% 25% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.99 0.95–3.03 0.68–3.30 | 2.18 1.06–3.31 0.77–3.60 | 4.17 2.00–6.34 1.45–6.90 | 36% 20% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.84 1.40–4.27 1.01–4.66 | 2.64 1.09–4.20 0.66–4.62 | 5.48 2.49–8.47 1.67–9.28 | 45% 17% 38% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.