UEFA Nations League·League B - 5·
UEFA Nations League·League B - 5·Predicted match statistics
Goals
47%
28%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.320.902.22safe0.35–2.290.04–1.750.40–4.04safer0.10–2.540.00–1.980.00–4.52
Shots on target
65%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.512.977.49safe2.65–6.381.23–4.713.88–11.09safer2.16–6.870.76–5.182.93–12.05
Total shots
79%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction13.429.0722.49safe9.50–17.355.51–12.6315.01–29.98safer8.41–18.444.55–13.5912.95–32.03
Shots in box
67%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction8.115.9814.08safe5.16–11.053.29–8.668.46–19.70safer4.33–11.882.56–9.396.89–21.27
Blocked shots
66%
14%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction3.992.456.44safe2.10–5.870.80–4.112.91–9.98safer1.56–6.410.31–4.601.87–11.01
Corners
70%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction5.793.709.49safe3.58–8.001.70–5.705.28–13.70safer3.00–8.581.17–6.234.17–14.81
Possession %
41%
54%
homeawayprediction48.9851.71safe42.19–55.7744.92–58.49safer40.52–57.4443.25–60.16
Passes
53%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction458450908safe391–525383–516774–1042safer373–543366–534739–1077
Pass accuracy %
33%
62%
homeawayprediction69.2072.15safe65.17–73.2367.83–76.48safer63.88–74.5266.52–77.79
Fouls
29%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction11.3313.6124.94safe8.49–14.1710.67–16.5619.16–30.72safer7.74–14.929.92–17.3117.66–32.23
Offsides
44%
24%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.373.00safe0.47–2.790.27–2.460.75–5.25safer0.17–3.100.00–2.750.16–5.84
Yellow cards
32%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.762.183.94safe0.71–2.811.05–3.311.76–6.12safer0.45–3.080.76–3.601.21–6.68
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.090.17safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.51safer0.00–0.390.00–0.410.00–0.80
GK saves
24%
17%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction1.963.004.96safe0.53–3.401.44–4.561.97–7.96safer0.14–3.791.02–4.981.16–8.77
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.32 0.35–2.29 0.10–2.54 | 0.90 0.04–1.75 0.00–1.98 | 2.22 0.40–4.04 0.00–4.52 | 47% 28% 25% |
| Shots on target | 4.51 2.65–6.38 2.16–6.87 | 2.97 1.23–4.71 0.76–5.18 | 7.49 3.88–11.09 2.93–12.05 | 65% 22% |
| Total shots | 13.42 9.50–17.35 8.41–18.44 | 9.07 5.51–12.63 4.55–13.59 | 22.49 15.01–29.98 12.95–32.03 | 79% 15% |
| Shots in box | 8.11 5.16–11.05 4.33–11.88 | 5.98 3.29–8.66 2.56–9.39 | 14.08 8.46–19.70 6.89–21.27 | 67% 24% |
| Blocked shots | 3.99 2.10–5.87 1.56–6.41 | 2.45 0.80–4.11 0.31–4.60 | 6.44 2.91–9.98 1.87–11.01 | 66% 14% 21% |
| Corners | 5.79 3.58–8.00 3.00–8.58 | 3.70 1.70–5.70 1.17–6.23 | 9.49 5.28–13.70 4.17–14.81 | 70% 20% |
| Possession % | 48.98 42.19–55.77 40.52–57.44 | 51.71 44.92–58.49 43.25–60.16 | — | 41% 54% |
| Passes | 458 391–525 373–543 | 450 383–516 366–534 | 908 774–1042 739–1077 | 53% 47% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.20 65.17–73.23 63.88–74.52 | 72.15 67.83–76.48 66.52–77.79 | — | 33% 62% |
| Fouls | 11.33 8.49–14.17 7.74–14.92 | 13.61 10.67–16.56 9.92–17.31 | 24.94 19.16–30.72 17.66–32.23 | 29% 64% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.17–3.10 | 1.37 0.27–2.46 0.00–2.75 | 3.00 0.75–5.25 0.16–5.84 | 44% 24% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 1.76 0.71–2.81 0.45–3.08 | 2.18 1.05–3.31 0.76–3.60 | 3.94 1.76–6.12 1.21–6.68 | 32% 20% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.17 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 1.96 0.53–3.40 0.14–3.79 | 3.00 1.44–4.56 1.02–4.98 | 4.96 1.97–7.96 1.16–8.77 | 24% 17% 59% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.