Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
27%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.192.43safe0.26–2.200.34–2.050.60–4.25safer0.01–2.450.11–2.280.12–4.73
Shots on target
56%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.893.938.81safe3.02–6.752.18–5.675.21–12.42safer2.53–7.241.72–6.134.25–13.37
Total shots
74%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3010.6224.92safe10.38–18.237.05–14.1817.43–32.41safer9.29–19.326.09–15.1415.38–34.46
Shots in box
62%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction9.027.2616.28safe6.08–11.964.58–9.9410.66–21.90safer5.25–12.793.84–10.689.09–23.47
Blocked shots
57%
15%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction3.842.876.71safe1.96–5.721.22–4.533.18–10.25safer1.42–6.270.73–5.022.14–11.28
Corners
62%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction5.233.829.06safe3.02–7.451.82–5.824.84–13.27safer2.45–8.021.29–6.363.74–14.38
Possession %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction49.3451.31safe42.55–56.1344.52–58.09safer40.88–57.8042.85–59.76
Passes
49%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction459463922safe392–527396–529789–1056safer374–545379–547753–1092
Pass accuracy %
32%
63%
homeawayprediction68.2671.33safe64.23–72.2967.01–75.66safer62.94–73.5965.70–76.97
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction12.3012.9425.24safe9.46–15.1310.00–15.8919.45–31.02safer8.70–15.899.25–16.6317.95–32.52
Offsides
47%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.573.50safe0.77–3.100.48–2.661.25–5.76safer0.47–3.400.19–2.950.66–6.34
Yellow cards
36%
19%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.122.344.46safe1.07–3.161.21–3.472.29–6.63safer0.81–3.430.92–3.751.73–7.18
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.270.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
29%
16%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction2.613.486.09safe1.17–4.051.92–5.043.10–9.08safer0.79–4.431.50–5.462.29–9.89
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.23 0.26–2.20 0.01–2.45 | 1.19 0.34–2.05 0.11–2.28 | 2.43 0.60–4.25 0.12–4.73 | 37% 27% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.89 3.02–6.75 2.53–7.24 | 3.93 2.18–5.67 1.72–6.13 | 8.81 5.21–12.42 4.25–13.37 | 56% 31% |
| Total shots | 14.30 10.38–18.23 9.29–19.32 | 10.62 7.05–14.18 6.09–15.14 | 24.92 17.43–32.41 15.38–34.46 | 74% 20% |
| Shots in box | 9.02 6.08–11.96 5.25–12.79 | 7.26 4.58–9.94 3.84–10.68 | 16.28 10.66–21.90 9.09–23.47 | 62% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 3.84 1.96–5.72 1.42–6.27 | 2.87 1.22–4.53 0.73–5.02 | 6.71 3.18–10.25 2.14–11.28 | 57% 15% 28% |
| Corners | 5.23 3.02–7.45 2.45–8.02 | 3.82 1.82–5.82 1.29–6.36 | 9.06 4.84–13.27 3.74–14.38 | 62% 26% |
| Possession % | 49.34 42.55–56.13 40.88–57.80 | 51.31 44.52–58.09 42.85–59.76 | — | 43% 52% |
| Passes | 459 392–527 374–545 | 463 396–529 379–547 | 922 789–1056 753–1092 | 49% 51% |
| Pass accuracy % | 68.26 64.23–72.29 62.94–73.59 | 71.33 67.01–75.66 65.70–76.97 | — | 32% 63% |
| Fouls | 12.30 9.46–15.13 8.70–15.89 | 12.94 10.00–15.89 9.25–16.63 | 25.24 19.45–31.02 17.95–32.52 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.94 0.77–3.10 0.47–3.40 | 1.57 0.48–2.66 0.19–2.95 | 3.50 1.25–5.76 0.66–6.34 | 47% 22% 32% |
| Yellow cards | 2.12 1.07–3.16 0.81–3.43 | 2.34 1.21–3.47 0.92–3.75 | 4.46 2.29–6.63 1.73–7.18 | 36% 19% 44% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.61 1.17–4.05 0.79–4.43 | 3.48 1.92–5.04 1.50–5.46 | 6.09 3.10–9.08 2.29–9.89 | 29% 16% 56% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.