Predicted match statistics
Goals
42%
26%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.391.172.55safe0.42–2.350.31–2.020.73–4.38safer0.17–2.610.09–2.250.25–4.86
Shots on target
51%
14%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.553.958.49safe2.68–6.412.20–5.694.89–12.10safer2.20–6.901.74–6.153.93–13.05
Total shots
61%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1711.3324.50safe9.24–17.097.77–14.9017.01–31.99safer8.15–18.186.81–15.8514.96–34.04
Shots in box
53%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction7.787.0014.77safe4.83–10.724.32–9.689.15–20.40safer4.00–11.553.58–10.427.58–21.96
Blocked shots
55%
16%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.342.525.86safe1.46–5.220.86–4.172.32–9.39safer0.91–5.760.37–4.661.29–10.43
Corners
60%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.053.788.83safe2.84–7.271.78–5.784.61–13.04safer2.27–7.841.24–6.313.51–14.15
Possession %
72%
24%
homeawayprediction55.4444.69safe48.65–62.2337.91–51.48safer46.98–63.9036.24–53.15
Passes
84%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction523404927safe456–590337–470793–1061safer438–608320–488758–1096
Pass accuracy %
51%
44%
homeawayprediction72.1671.51safe68.13–76.1967.19–75.83safer66.84–77.4865.88–77.14
Fouls
39%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1013.0525.15safe9.26–14.9410.11–16.0019.37–30.93safer8.51–15.699.36–16.7517.87–32.44
Offsides
36%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.631.753.38safe0.47–2.790.66–2.841.13–5.64safer0.17–3.090.37–3.130.54–6.22
Yellow cards
32%
19%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction1.952.414.37safe0.90–3.001.28–3.542.19–6.54safer0.64–3.270.99–3.831.63–7.10
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.100.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.420.00–0.80
GK saves
39%
16%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.973.136.09safe1.53–4.401.57–4.683.10–9.09safer1.14–4.791.15–5.112.29–9.90
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.39 0.42–2.35 0.17–2.61 | 1.17 0.31–2.02 0.09–2.25 | 2.55 0.73–4.38 0.25–4.86 | 42% 26% 32% |
| Shots on target | 4.55 2.68–6.41 2.20–6.90 | 3.95 2.20–5.69 1.74–6.15 | 8.49 4.89–12.10 3.93–13.05 | 51% 14% 35% |
| Total shots | 13.17 9.24–17.09 8.15–18.18 | 11.33 7.77–14.90 6.81–15.85 | 24.50 17.01–31.99 14.96–34.04 | 61% 32% |
| Shots in box | 7.78 4.83–10.72 4.00–11.55 | 7.00 4.32–9.68 3.58–10.42 | 14.77 9.15–20.40 7.58–21.96 | 53% 37% |
| Blocked shots | 3.34 1.46–5.22 0.91–5.76 | 2.52 0.86–4.17 0.37–4.66 | 5.86 2.32–9.39 1.29–10.43 | 55% 16% 29% |
| Corners | 5.05 2.84–7.27 2.27–7.84 | 3.78 1.78–5.78 1.24–6.31 | 8.83 4.61–13.04 3.51–14.15 | 60% 27% |
| Possession % | 55.44 48.65–62.23 46.98–63.90 | 44.69 37.91–51.48 36.24–53.15 | — | 72% 24% |
| Passes | 523 456–590 438–608 | 404 337–470 320–488 | 927 793–1061 758–1096 | 84% 16% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.16 68.13–76.19 66.84–77.48 | 71.51 67.19–75.83 65.88–77.14 | — | 51% 44% |
| Fouls | 12.10 9.26–14.94 8.51–15.69 | 13.05 10.11–16.00 9.36–16.75 | 25.15 19.37–30.93 17.87–32.44 | 39% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.63 0.47–2.79 0.17–3.09 | 1.75 0.66–2.84 0.37–3.13 | 3.38 1.13–5.64 0.54–6.22 | 36% 23% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.95 0.90–3.00 0.64–3.27 | 2.41 1.28–3.54 0.99–3.83 | 4.37 2.19–6.54 1.63–7.10 | 32% 19% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.97 1.53–4.40 1.14–4.79 | 3.13 1.57–4.68 1.15–5.11 | 6.09 3.10–9.09 2.29–9.90 | 39% 16% 44% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.