UEFA Nations League·League B - 3·
UEFA Nations League·League B - 3·Predicted match statistics
Goals
36%
27%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.231.272.51safe0.27–2.200.42–2.130.68–4.33safer0.02–2.450.19–2.350.20–4.81
Shots on target
49%
14%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.544.078.61safe2.68–6.402.33–5.825.01–12.22safer2.19–6.891.86–6.284.05–13.17
Total shots
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction14.3711.7626.14safe10.45–18.308.20–15.3218.65–33.62safer9.36–19.397.24–16.2816.60–35.67
Shots in box
59%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction8.887.4716.35safe5.94–11.824.79–10.1510.73–21.97safer5.11–12.654.05–10.899.16–23.54
Blocked shots
51%
15%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.963.407.36safe2.08–5.841.75–5.063.83–10.90safer1.53–6.391.26–5.552.79–11.93
Corners
50%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction5.144.669.80safe2.93–7.362.65–6.665.59–14.01safer2.36–7.932.12–7.194.48–15.12
Possession %
41%
55%
homeawayprediction48.6751.70safe41.88–55.4644.92–58.49safer40.21–57.1343.25–60.16
Passes
45%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction441456897safe374–508390–523763–1031safer355–526372–540727–1066
Pass accuracy %
30%
66%
homeawayprediction69.2672.85safe65.23–73.2968.53–77.17safer63.94–74.5867.22–78.48
Fouls
56%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction12.5911.3423.93safe9.75–15.438.39–14.2818.15–29.71safer9.00–16.197.64–15.0316.64–31.21
Offsides
34%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.852.174.02safe0.69–3.011.08–3.261.77–6.27safer0.39–3.310.79–3.551.18–6.86
Yellow cards
48%
22%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.931.513.44safe0.89–2.970.39–2.641.27–5.61safer0.62–3.240.10–2.930.72–6.17
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.13safe0.00–0.230.00–0.250.00–0.48safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
37%
17%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.813.115.92safe1.37–4.241.55–4.672.92–8.91safer0.98–4.631.13–5.092.11–9.72
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.23 0.27–2.20 0.02–2.45 | 1.27 0.42–2.13 0.19–2.35 | 2.51 0.68–4.33 0.20–4.81 | 36% 27% 37% |
| Shots on target | 4.54 2.68–6.40 2.19–6.89 | 4.07 2.33–5.82 1.86–6.28 | 8.61 5.01–12.22 4.05–13.17 | 49% 14% 37% |
| Total shots | 14.37 10.45–18.30 9.36–19.39 | 11.76 8.20–15.32 7.24–16.28 | 26.14 18.65–33.62 16.60–35.67 | 66% 27% |
| Shots in box | 8.88 5.94–11.82 5.11–12.65 | 7.47 4.79–10.15 4.05–10.89 | 16.35 10.73–21.97 9.16–23.54 | 59% 32% |
| Blocked shots | 3.96 2.08–5.84 1.53–6.39 | 3.40 1.75–5.06 1.26–5.55 | 7.36 3.83–10.90 2.79–11.93 | 51% 15% 35% |
| Corners | 5.14 2.93–7.36 2.36–7.93 | 4.66 2.65–6.66 2.12–7.19 | 9.80 5.59–14.01 4.48–15.12 | 50% 37% |
| Possession % | 48.67 41.88–55.46 40.21–57.13 | 51.70 44.92–58.49 43.25–60.16 | — | 41% 55% |
| Passes | 441 374–508 355–526 | 456 390–523 372–540 | 897 763–1031 727–1066 | 45% 55% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.26 65.23–73.29 63.94–74.58 | 72.85 68.53–77.17 67.22–78.48 | — | 30% 66% |
| Fouls | 12.59 9.75–15.43 9.00–16.19 | 11.34 8.39–14.28 7.64–15.03 | 23.93 18.15–29.71 16.64–31.21 | 56% 36% |
| Offsides | 1.85 0.69–3.01 0.39–3.31 | 2.17 1.08–3.26 0.79–3.55 | 4.02 1.77–6.27 1.18–6.86 | 34% 20% 46% |
| Yellow cards | 1.93 0.89–2.97 0.62–3.24 | 1.51 0.39–2.64 0.10–2.93 | 3.44 1.27–5.61 0.72–6.17 | 48% 22% 30% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.81 1.37–4.24 0.98–4.63 | 3.11 1.55–4.67 1.13–5.09 | 5.92 2.92–8.91 2.11–9.72 | 37% 17% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.