UEFA Nations League·League B - 5·
UEFA Nations League·League B - 5·Predicted match statistics
Goals
50%
24%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.651.092.75safe0.69–2.620.24–1.950.93–4.57safer0.44–2.870.01–2.180.45–5.05
Shots on target
53%
13%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.814.088.88safe2.94–6.672.33–5.825.28–12.49safer2.46–7.161.87–6.284.32–13.44
Total shots
68%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction13.5810.8324.42safe9.66–17.517.27–14.4016.93–31.90safer8.57–18.606.31–15.3514.88–33.95
Shots in box
62%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction8.646.8915.53safe5.69–11.584.21–9.579.90–21.15safer4.87–12.413.47–10.318.34–22.72
Blocked shots
61%
14%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction3.922.706.62safe2.04–5.801.04–4.353.08–10.15safer1.49–6.340.55–4.842.04–11.19
Corners
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction5.523.749.26safe3.31–7.731.74–5.745.05–13.47safer2.73–8.311.21–6.273.94–14.58
Possession %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction54.5645.73safe47.77–61.3538.94–52.51safer46.10–63.0237.27–54.18
Passes
77%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction508420928safe441–576354–487795–1062safer423–594336–504759–1098
Pass accuracy %
58%
37%
homeawayprediction75.1373.09safe71.10–79.1668.77–77.42safer69.81–80.4567.46–78.73
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction10.8812.6123.50safe8.05–13.729.67–15.5617.71–29.28safer7.29–14.488.92–16.3016.21–30.78
Offsides
46%
21%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.131.803.93safe0.97–3.290.70–2.891.67–6.18safer0.67–3.590.42–3.181.08–6.77
Yellow cards
24%
21%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.382.163.55safe0.33–2.431.03–3.291.37–5.72safer0.07–2.700.74–3.580.81–6.28
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.100.16safe0.00–0.220.00–0.290.00–0.51safer0.00–0.370.00–0.420.00–0.79
GK saves
36%
17%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.773.105.87safe1.33–4.201.55–4.662.88–8.86safer0.94–4.591.12–5.082.06–9.67
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.65 0.69–2.62 0.44–2.87 | 1.09 0.24–1.95 0.01–2.18 | 2.75 0.93–4.57 0.45–5.05 | 50% 24% 25% |
| Shots on target | 4.81 2.94–6.67 2.46–7.16 | 4.08 2.33–5.82 1.87–6.28 | 8.88 5.28–12.49 4.32–13.44 | 53% 13% 34% |
| Total shots | 13.58 9.66–17.51 8.57–18.60 | 10.83 7.27–14.40 6.31–15.35 | 24.42 16.93–31.90 14.88–33.95 | 68% 25% |
| Shots in box | 8.64 5.69–11.58 4.87–12.41 | 6.89 4.21–9.57 3.47–10.31 | 15.53 9.90–21.15 8.34–22.72 | 62% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 3.92 2.04–5.80 1.49–6.34 | 2.70 1.04–4.35 0.55–4.84 | 6.62 3.08–10.15 2.04–11.19 | 61% 14% 25% |
| Corners | 5.52 3.31–7.73 2.73–8.31 | 3.74 1.74–5.74 1.21–6.27 | 9.26 5.05–13.47 3.94–14.58 | 66% 22% |
| Possession % | 54.56 47.77–61.35 46.10–63.02 | 45.73 38.94–52.51 37.27–54.18 | — | 68% 28% |
| Passes | 508 441–576 423–594 | 420 354–487 336–504 | 928 795–1062 759–1098 | 77% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 75.13 71.10–79.16 69.81–80.45 | 73.09 68.77–77.42 67.46–78.73 | — | 58% 37% |
| Fouls | 10.88 8.05–13.72 7.29–14.48 | 12.61 9.67–15.56 8.92–16.30 | 23.50 17.71–29.28 16.21–30.78 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 2.13 0.97–3.29 0.67–3.59 | 1.80 0.70–2.89 0.42–3.18 | 3.93 1.67–6.18 1.08–6.77 | 46% 21% 33% |
| Yellow cards | 1.38 0.33–2.43 0.07–2.70 | 2.16 1.03–3.29 0.74–3.58 | 3.55 1.37–5.72 0.81–6.28 | 24% 21% 55% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.16 0.00–0.51 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.77 1.33–4.20 0.94–4.59 | 3.10 1.55–4.66 1.12–5.08 | 5.87 2.88–8.86 2.06–9.67 | 36% 17% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.