Predicted match statistics
Goals
46%
27%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.022.42safe0.44–2.380.16–1.870.60–4.25safer0.19–2.630.00–2.100.12–4.73
Shots on target
55%
14%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction4.383.497.87safe2.52–6.241.75–5.234.27–11.48safer2.03–6.731.28–5.703.31–12.43
Total shots
66%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction13.0710.5323.61safe9.15–17.006.97–14.1016.12–31.09safer8.06–18.096.01–15.0614.07–33.14
Shots in box
63%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction7.986.2414.22safe5.04–10.923.56–8.928.60–19.85safer4.21–11.752.83–9.667.03–21.41
Blocked shots
56%
15%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction3.632.766.38safe1.74–5.511.10–4.412.85–9.92safer1.20–6.050.61–4.901.81–10.95
Corners
59%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction5.554.349.90safe3.34–7.772.34–6.345.68–14.11safer2.77–8.341.81–6.884.58–15.22
Possession %
54%
42%
homeawayprediction51.8249.26safe45.03–58.6142.47–56.04safer43.36–60.2840.80–57.71
Passes
64%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction452409861safe385–519343–475727–995safer367–537325–493692–1030
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction67.1769.56safe63.14–71.2065.23–73.88safer61.85–72.4963.92–75.19
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1712.5224.70safe9.34–15.019.58–15.4718.91–30.48safer8.58–15.778.83–16.2217.41–31.98
Offsides
47%
23%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.771.363.13safe0.61–2.930.27–2.450.88–5.38safer0.31–3.230.00–2.740.29–5.97
Yellow cards
35%
21%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction1.862.123.98safe0.81–2.900.99–3.251.81–6.15safer0.55–3.170.70–3.541.25–6.70
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
35%
17%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction2.502.885.38safe1.06–3.931.32–4.432.38–8.37safer0.67–4.320.90–4.861.57–9.18
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.41 0.44–2.38 0.19–2.63 | 1.02 0.16–1.87 0.00–2.10 | 2.42 0.60–4.25 0.12–4.73 | 46% 27% 27% |
| Shots on target | 4.38 2.52–6.24 2.03–6.73 | 3.49 1.75–5.23 1.28–5.70 | 7.87 4.27–11.48 3.31–12.43 | 55% 14% 31% |
| Total shots | 13.07 9.15–17.00 8.06–18.09 | 10.53 6.97–14.10 6.01–15.06 | 23.61 16.12–31.09 14.07–33.14 | 66% 27% |
| Shots in box | 7.98 5.04–10.92 4.21–11.75 | 6.24 3.56–8.92 2.83–9.66 | 14.22 8.60–19.85 7.03–21.41 | 63% 28% |
| Blocked shots | 3.63 1.74–5.51 1.20–6.05 | 2.76 1.10–4.41 0.61–4.90 | 6.38 2.85–9.92 1.81–10.95 | 56% 15% 29% |
| Corners | 5.55 3.34–7.77 2.77–8.34 | 4.34 2.34–6.34 1.81–6.88 | 9.90 5.68–14.11 4.58–15.22 | 59% 29% |
| Possession % | 51.82 45.03–58.61 43.36–60.28 | 49.26 42.47–56.04 40.80–57.71 | — | 54% 42% |
| Passes | 452 385–519 367–537 | 409 343–475 325–493 | 861 727–995 692–1030 | 64% 36% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.17 63.14–71.20 61.85–72.49 | 69.56 65.23–73.88 63.92–75.19 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 12.17 9.34–15.01 8.58–15.77 | 12.52 9.58–15.47 8.83–16.22 | 24.70 18.91–30.48 17.41–31.98 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.77 0.61–2.93 0.31–3.23 | 1.36 0.27–2.45 0.00–2.74 | 3.13 0.88–5.38 0.29–5.97 | 47% 23% 30% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.81–2.90 0.55–3.17 | 2.12 0.99–3.25 0.70–3.54 | 3.98 1.81–6.15 1.25–6.70 | 35% 21% 45% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.50 1.06–3.93 0.67–4.32 | 2.88 1.32–4.43 0.90–4.86 | 5.38 2.38–8.37 1.57–9.18 | 35% 17% 48% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.