Predicted match statistics
Goals
41%
28%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.032.27safe0.27–2.210.18–1.890.45–4.10safer0.02–2.460.00–2.120.00–4.58
Shots on target
52%
14%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction4.243.597.83safe2.38–6.101.85–5.334.23–11.44safer1.89–6.591.38–5.803.27–12.39
Total shots
61%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7910.9123.71safe8.87–16.727.35–14.4816.22–31.19safer7.78–17.816.39–15.4314.17–33.24
Shots in box
61%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction8.016.4314.44safe5.07–10.953.75–9.118.82–20.07safer4.24–11.783.01–9.857.25–21.63
Blocked shots
47%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.322.986.30safe1.44–5.201.32–4.632.76–9.83safer0.89–5.750.83–5.121.73–10.87
Corners
57%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction5.264.189.44safe3.05–7.482.18–6.185.23–13.65safer2.48–8.051.64–6.714.12–14.76
Possession %
59%
37%
homeawayprediction52.6547.90safe45.86–59.4441.11–54.68safer44.19–61.1139.44–56.36
Passes
65%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction472426898safe405–539360–493765–1032safer387–557342–510729–1068
Pass accuracy %
42%
53%
homeawayprediction69.7970.92safe65.76–73.8266.60–75.25safer64.47–75.1165.29–76.55
Fouls
47%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1313.0526.18safe10.29–15.9610.11–16.0020.40–31.96safer9.53–16.729.36–16.7518.89–33.47
Offsides
33%
24%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction1.411.663.08safe0.25–2.570.57–2.760.82–5.33safer0.00–2.880.28–3.050.24–5.92
Yellow cards
36%
21%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction1.852.053.90safe0.80–2.900.92–3.181.72–6.08safer0.54–3.170.63–3.471.17–6.64
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.18safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.81
GK saves
36%
17%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.582.895.47safe1.15–4.021.34–4.452.48–8.47safer0.76–4.410.91–4.871.67–9.28
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.24 0.27–2.21 0.02–2.46 | 1.03 0.18–1.89 0.00–2.12 | 2.27 0.45–4.10 0.00–4.58 | 41% 28% 31% |
| Shots on target | 4.24 2.38–6.10 1.89–6.59 | 3.59 1.85–5.33 1.38–5.80 | 7.83 4.23–11.44 3.27–12.39 | 52% 14% 34% |
| Total shots | 12.79 8.87–16.72 7.78–17.81 | 10.91 7.35–14.48 6.39–15.43 | 23.71 16.22–31.19 14.17–33.24 | 61% 31% |
| Shots in box | 8.01 5.07–10.95 4.24–11.78 | 6.43 3.75–9.11 3.01–9.85 | 14.44 8.82–20.07 7.25–21.63 | 61% 29% |
| Blocked shots | 3.32 1.44–5.20 0.89–5.75 | 2.98 1.32–4.63 0.83–5.12 | 6.30 2.76–9.83 1.73–10.87 | 47% 16% 37% |
| Corners | 5.26 3.05–7.48 2.48–8.05 | 4.18 2.18–6.18 1.64–6.71 | 9.44 5.23–13.65 4.12–14.76 | 57% 30% |
| Possession % | 52.65 45.86–59.44 44.19–61.11 | 47.90 41.11–54.68 39.44–56.36 | — | 59% 37% |
| Passes | 472 405–539 387–557 | 426 360–493 342–510 | 898 765–1032 729–1068 | 65% 35% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.79 65.76–73.82 64.47–75.11 | 70.92 66.60–75.25 65.29–76.55 | — | 42% 53% |
| Fouls | 13.13 10.29–15.96 9.53–16.72 | 13.05 10.11–16.00 9.36–16.75 | 26.18 20.40–31.96 18.89–33.47 | 47% 46% |
| Offsides | 1.41 0.25–2.57 0.00–2.88 | 1.66 0.57–2.76 0.28–3.05 | 3.08 0.82–5.33 0.24–5.92 | 33% 24% 44% |
| Yellow cards | 1.85 0.80–2.90 0.54–3.17 | 2.05 0.92–3.18 0.63–3.47 | 3.90 1.72–6.08 1.17–6.64 | 36% 21% 43% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.58 1.15–4.02 0.76–4.41 | 2.89 1.34–4.45 0.91–4.87 | 5.47 2.48–8.47 1.67–9.28 | 36% 17% 46% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.