UEFA Nations League·League C - 3·
UEFA Nations League·League C - 3·Predicted match statistics
Goals
20%
24%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction0.881.672.55safe0.00–1.840.82–2.530.73–4.37safer0.00–2.100.59–2.760.25–4.85
Shots on target
14%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction2.985.648.62safe1.12–4.853.90–7.385.02–12.23safer0.63–5.343.43–7.854.06–13.18
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction8.6116.5625.16safe4.68–12.5312.99–20.1217.68–32.65safer3.59–13.6212.03–21.0815.63–34.70
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction5.9510.7016.65safe3.00–8.898.02–13.3811.02–22.27safer2.17–9.727.28–14.129.46–23.84
Blocked shots
18%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction2.684.567.25safe0.80–4.562.91–6.223.71–10.78safer0.26–5.112.42–6.712.67–11.82
Corners
14%
78%
homeawaytotalprediction3.556.4810.03safe1.33–5.764.48–8.485.82–14.24safer0.76–6.333.95–9.024.71–15.35
Possession %
97%
homeawayprediction34.3766.71safe27.58–41.1659.93–73.50safer25.91–42.8358.26–75.17
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction338638976safe271–405571–704842–1109safer253–424554–722806–1145
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction63.7981.67safe59.76–67.8277.35–86.00safer58.47–69.1176.04–87.30
Fouls
59%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction12.0110.4322.44safe9.17–14.857.48–13.3716.66–28.22safer8.42–15.616.73–14.1215.15–29.72
Offsides
35%
23%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.521.663.17safe0.36–2.680.57–2.750.92–5.42safer0.06–2.980.28–3.030.33–6.01
Yellow cards
46%
22%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.593.52safe0.89–2.980.46–2.711.35–5.70safer0.63–3.250.17–3.000.80–6.25
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.070.13safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.48safer0.00–0.360.00–0.390.00–0.76
GK saves
61%
15%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.372.215.58safe1.94–4.810.65–3.762.59–8.57safer1.55–5.200.23–4.191.78–9.39
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.88 0.00–1.84 0.00–2.10 | 1.67 0.82–2.53 0.59–2.76 | 2.55 0.73–4.37 0.25–4.85 | 20% 24% 56% |
| Shots on target | 2.98 1.12–4.85 0.63–5.34 | 5.64 3.90–7.38 3.43–7.85 | 8.62 5.02–12.23 4.06–13.18 | 14% 77% |
| Total shots | 8.61 4.68–12.53 3.59–13.62 | 16.56 12.99–20.12 12.03–21.08 | 25.16 17.68–32.65 15.63–34.70 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 5.95 3.00–8.89 2.17–9.72 | 10.70 8.02–13.38 7.28–14.12 | 16.65 11.02–22.27 9.46–23.84 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 2.68 0.80–4.56 0.26–5.11 | 4.56 2.91–6.22 2.42–6.71 | 7.25 3.71–10.78 2.67–11.82 | 18% 70% |
| Corners | 3.55 1.33–5.76 0.76–6.33 | 6.48 4.48–8.48 3.95–9.02 | 10.03 5.82–14.24 4.71–15.35 | 14% 78% |
| Possession % | 34.37 27.58–41.16 25.91–42.83 | 66.71 59.93–73.50 58.26–75.17 | — | 97% |
| Passes | 338 271–405 253–424 | 638 571–704 554–722 | 976 842–1109 806–1145 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.79 59.76–67.82 58.47–69.11 | 81.67 77.35–86.00 76.04–87.30 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 12.01 9.17–14.85 8.42–15.61 | 10.43 7.48–13.37 6.73–14.12 | 22.44 16.66–28.22 15.15–29.72 | 59% 33% |
| Offsides | 1.52 0.36–2.68 0.06–2.98 | 1.66 0.57–2.75 0.28–3.03 | 3.17 0.92–5.42 0.33–6.01 | 35% 23% 41% |
| Yellow cards | 1.94 0.89–2.98 0.63–3.25 | 1.59 0.46–2.71 0.17–3.00 | 3.52 1.35–5.70 0.80–6.25 | 46% 22% 32% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.36 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.13 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.37 1.94–4.81 1.55–5.20 | 2.21 0.65–3.76 0.23–4.19 | 5.58 2.59–8.57 1.78–9.39 | 61% 15% 24% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.