UEFA Nations League·League C - 5·
UEFA Nations League·League C - 5·Predicted match statistics
Goals
74%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction2.350.713.07safe1.39–3.320.00–1.571.25–4.89safer1.14–3.570.00–1.800.77–5.37
Shots on target
91%
homeawaytotalprediction6.712.329.03safe4.85–8.570.58–4.065.43–12.64safer4.36–9.060.11–4.534.47–13.59
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction18.116.8124.93safe14.19–22.043.25–10.3817.44–32.41safer13.10–23.132.29–11.3415.39–34.47
Shots in box
95%
homeawaytotalprediction11.524.6816.20safe8.58–14.462.00–7.3710.58–21.83safer7.75–15.291.27–8.109.01–23.39
Blocked shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction5.342.097.43safe3.46–7.220.44–3.753.90–10.97safer2.92–7.770.00–4.242.86–12.01
Corners
89%
homeawaytotalprediction7.062.779.83safe4.84–9.270.77–4.775.62–14.04safer4.27–9.850.24–5.304.51–15.15
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction68.0731.32safe61.28–74.8624.53–38.10safer59.61–76.5322.86–39.78
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7183161033safe650–785249–382899–1167safer632–803232–400864–1203
Pass accuracy %
95%
homeawayprediction81.9569.01safe77.92–85.9864.68–73.33safer76.63–87.2763.37–74.64
Fouls
33%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9311.5121.44safe7.09–12.778.57–14.4615.66–27.23safer6.34–13.527.82–15.2114.16–28.73
Offsides
48%
23%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction1.741.283.03safe0.58–2.900.19–2.380.77–5.28safer0.28–3.210.00–2.660.18–5.87
Yellow cards
26%
23%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.211.762.98safe0.16–2.260.63–2.890.80–5.15safer0.00–2.530.34–3.180.24–5.71
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.080.13safe0.00–0.200.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.350.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
81%
homeawaytotalprediction1.774.436.20safe0.33–3.202.87–5.993.20–9.19safer0.00–3.592.45–6.412.39–10.00
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.35 1.39–3.32 1.14–3.57 | 0.71 0.00–1.57 0.00–1.80 | 3.07 1.25–4.89 0.77–5.37 | 74% 16% |
| Shots on target | 6.71 4.85–8.57 4.36–9.06 | 2.32 0.58–4.06 0.11–4.53 | 9.03 5.43–12.64 4.47–13.59 | 91% |
| Total shots | 18.11 14.19–22.04 13.10–23.13 | 6.81 3.25–10.38 2.29–11.34 | 24.93 17.44–32.41 15.39–34.47 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 11.52 8.58–14.46 7.75–15.29 | 4.68 2.00–7.37 1.27–8.10 | 16.20 10.58–21.83 9.01–23.39 | 95% |
| Blocked shots | 5.34 3.46–7.22 2.92–7.77 | 2.09 0.44–3.75 0.00–4.24 | 7.43 3.90–10.97 2.86–12.01 | 85% |
| Corners | 7.06 4.84–9.27 4.27–9.85 | 2.77 0.77–4.77 0.24–5.30 | 9.83 5.62–14.04 4.51–15.15 | 89% |
| Possession % | 68.07 61.28–74.86 59.61–76.53 | 31.32 24.53–38.10 22.86–39.78 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 718 650–785 632–803 | 316 249–382 232–400 | 1033 899–1167 864–1203 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 81.95 77.92–85.98 76.63–87.27 | 69.01 64.68–73.33 63.37–74.64 | — | 95% |
| Fouls | 9.93 7.09–12.77 6.34–13.52 | 11.51 8.57–14.46 7.82–15.21 | 21.44 15.66–27.23 14.16–28.73 | 33% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.74 0.58–2.90 0.28–3.21 | 1.28 0.19–2.38 0.00–2.66 | 3.03 0.77–5.28 0.18–5.87 | 48% 23% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.21 0.16–2.26 0.00–2.53 | 1.76 0.63–2.89 0.34–3.18 | 2.98 0.80–5.15 0.24–5.71 | 26% 23% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 1.77 0.33–3.20 0.00–3.59 | 4.43 2.87–5.99 2.45–6.41 | 6.20 3.20–9.19 2.39–10.00 | 81% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.