Predicted match statistics
Goals
25%
23%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.873.09safe0.25–2.181.02–2.731.27–4.91safer0.00–2.430.79–2.960.79–5.39
Shots on target
31%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction4.215.259.46safe2.35–6.073.51–6.995.86–13.07safer1.86–6.563.04–7.464.90–14.02
Total shots
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction12.1113.1125.22safe8.19–16.049.55–16.6817.74–32.71safer7.10–17.138.59–17.6415.69–34.76
Shots in box
36%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction7.898.8416.72safe4.95–10.836.16–11.5211.10–22.35safer4.12–11.665.42–12.259.53–23.91
Blocked shots
34%
15%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction3.113.716.82safe1.23–4.992.05–5.363.28–10.35safer0.68–5.541.56–5.852.24–11.39
Corners
37%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction4.605.109.70safe2.39–6.813.10–7.105.48–13.91safer1.81–7.392.56–7.634.37–15.02
Possession %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction44.9455.31safe38.15–51.7348.52–62.09safer36.48–53.4046.85–63.77
Passes
24%
76%
homeawaytotalprediction438521959safe371–505455–588825–1093safer352–523437–605790–1128
Pass accuracy %
16%
81%
homeawayprediction69.2776.59safe65.24–73.3072.26–80.91safer63.95–74.5970.95–82.22
Fouls
60%
32%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8610.1822.03safe9.02–14.697.24–13.1216.25–27.82safer8.26–15.456.49–13.8714.75–29.32
Offsides
26%
19%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction1.762.544.30safe0.60–2.921.45–3.642.05–6.55safer0.30–3.221.16–3.921.46–7.14
Yellow cards
46%
21%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.081.723.80safe1.03–3.130.60–2.851.62–5.98safer0.76–3.390.30–3.151.07–6.54
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.060.14safe0.00–0.240.00–0.250.00–0.48safer0.00–0.390.00–0.380.00–0.77
GK saves
47%
16%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction3.302.966.26safe1.86–4.731.40–4.513.26–9.25safer1.47–5.120.98–4.942.45–10.06
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.25–2.18 0.00–2.43 | 1.87 1.02–2.73 0.79–2.96 | 3.09 1.27–4.91 0.79–5.39 | 25% 23% 53% |
| Shots on target | 4.21 2.35–6.07 1.86–6.56 | 5.25 3.51–6.99 3.04–7.46 | 9.46 5.86–13.07 4.90–14.02 | 31% 57% |
| Total shots | 12.11 8.19–16.04 7.10–17.13 | 13.11 9.55–16.68 8.59–17.64 | 25.22 17.74–32.71 15.69–34.76 | 38% 54% |
| Shots in box | 7.89 4.95–10.83 4.12–11.66 | 8.84 6.16–11.52 5.42–12.25 | 16.72 11.10–22.35 9.53–23.91 | 36% 54% |
| Blocked shots | 3.11 1.23–4.99 0.68–5.54 | 3.71 2.05–5.36 1.56–5.85 | 6.82 3.28–10.35 2.24–11.39 | 34% 15% 51% |
| Corners | 4.60 2.39–6.81 1.81–7.39 | 5.10 3.10–7.10 2.56–7.63 | 9.70 5.48–13.91 4.37–15.02 | 37% 50% |
| Possession % | 44.94 38.15–51.73 36.48–53.40 | 55.31 48.52–62.09 46.85–63.77 | — | 25% 71% |
| Passes | 438 371–505 352–523 | 521 455–588 437–605 | 959 825–1093 790–1128 | 24% 76% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.27 65.24–73.30 63.95–74.59 | 76.59 72.26–80.91 70.95–82.22 | — | 16% 81% |
| Fouls | 11.86 9.02–14.69 8.26–15.45 | 10.18 7.24–13.12 6.49–13.87 | 22.03 16.25–27.82 14.75–29.32 | 60% 32% |
| Offsides | 1.76 0.60–2.92 0.30–3.22 | 2.54 1.45–3.64 1.16–3.92 | 4.30 2.05–6.55 1.46–7.14 | 26% 19% 55% |
| Yellow cards | 2.08 1.03–3.13 0.76–3.39 | 1.72 0.60–2.85 0.30–3.15 | 3.80 1.62–5.98 1.07–6.54 | 46% 21% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.06 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 88% |
| GK saves | 3.30 1.86–4.73 1.47–5.12 | 2.96 1.40–4.51 0.98–4.94 | 6.26 3.26–9.25 2.45–10.06 | 47% 16% 37% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+