Predicted match statistics
Goals
66%
19%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.170.923.10safe1.20–3.140.07–1.781.27–4.92safer0.95–3.390.00–2.010.80–5.40
Shots on target
80%
homeawaytotalprediction6.313.279.58safe4.45–8.171.52–5.015.97–13.18safer3.96–8.661.06–5.485.02–14.14
Total shots
82%
13%
homeawaytotalprediction14.849.7924.63safe10.91–18.766.23–13.3517.14–32.11safer9.82–19.855.27–14.3115.09–34.16
Shots in box
85%
homeawaytotalprediction11.206.4217.63safe8.26–14.143.74–9.1012.00–23.25safer7.43–14.973.01–9.8410.44–24.82
Blocked shots
70%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.142.286.43safe2.26–6.030.63–3.942.89–9.96safer1.72–6.570.14–4.431.86–11.00
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.343.609.94safe4.12–8.551.60–5.605.72–14.15safer3.55–9.131.06–6.134.62–15.26
Possession %
80%
17%
homeawayprediction57.6042.63safe50.81–64.3935.84–49.41safer49.14–66.0634.17–51.08
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction5764301006safe509–644363–496872–1140safer491–662346–514837–1175
Pass accuracy %
65%
30%
homeawayprediction76.4972.92safe72.46–80.5268.60–77.24safer71.17–81.8167.29–78.55
Fouls
34%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction10.7112.1922.89safe7.87–13.549.24–15.1317.11–28.68safer7.11–14.308.49–15.8815.61–30.18
Offsides
62%
17%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction2.891.744.63safe1.73–4.050.64–2.832.38–6.89safer1.43–4.360.36–3.121.79–7.48
Yellow cards
24%
22%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction1.241.963.20safe0.19–2.290.83–3.091.03–5.38safer0.00–2.560.54–3.380.47–5.94
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.090.14safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.49safer0.00–0.360.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
19%
13%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.283.926.19safe0.84–3.712.36–5.473.20–9.19safer0.45–4.101.94–5.902.39–10.00
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.17 1.20–3.14 0.95–3.39 | 0.92 0.07–1.78 0.00–2.01 | 3.10 1.27–4.92 0.80–5.40 | 66% 19% 15% |
| Shots on target | 6.31 4.45–8.17 3.96–8.66 | 3.27 1.52–5.01 1.06–5.48 | 9.58 5.97–13.18 5.02–14.14 | 80% |
| Total shots | 14.84 10.91–18.76 9.82–19.85 | 9.79 6.23–13.35 5.27–14.31 | 24.63 17.14–32.11 15.09–34.16 | 82% 13% |
| Shots in box | 11.20 8.26–14.14 7.43–14.97 | 6.42 3.74–9.10 3.01–9.84 | 17.63 12.00–23.25 10.44–24.82 | 85% |
| Blocked shots | 4.14 2.26–6.03 1.72–6.57 | 2.28 0.63–3.94 0.14–4.43 | 6.43 2.89–9.96 1.86–11.00 | 70% 17% |
| Corners | 6.34 4.12–8.55 3.55–9.13 | 3.60 1.60–5.60 1.06–6.13 | 9.94 5.72–14.15 4.62–15.26 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 57.60 50.81–64.39 49.14–66.06 | 42.63 35.84–49.41 34.17–51.08 | — | 80% 17% |
| Passes | 576 509–644 491–662 | 430 363–496 346–514 | 1006 872–1140 837–1175 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 76.49 72.46–80.52 71.17–81.81 | 72.92 68.60–77.24 67.29–78.55 | — | 65% 30% |
| Fouls | 10.71 7.87–13.54 7.11–14.30 | 12.19 9.24–15.13 8.49–15.88 | 22.89 17.11–28.68 15.61–30.18 | 34% 58% |
| Offsides | 2.89 1.73–4.05 1.43–4.36 | 1.74 0.64–2.83 0.36–3.12 | 4.63 2.38–6.89 1.79–7.48 | 62% 17% 22% |
| Yellow cards | 1.24 0.19–2.29 0.00–2.56 | 1.96 0.83–3.09 0.54–3.38 | 3.20 1.03–5.38 0.47–5.94 | 24% 22% 54% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.09 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.28 0.84–3.71 0.45–4.10 | 3.92 2.36–5.47 1.94–5.90 | 6.19 3.20–9.19 2.39–10.00 | 19% 13% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.