UEFA Nations League·League C - 3·
UEFA Nations League·League C - 3·Predicted match statistics
Goals
56%
26%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction1.540.752.28safe0.57–2.510.00–1.600.46–4.11safer0.32–2.760.00–1.830.00–4.59
Shots on target
79%
homeawaytotalprediction5.392.597.98safe3.53–7.250.85–4.334.37–11.58safer3.04–7.740.38–4.803.42–12.54
Total shots
93%
homeawaytotalprediction16.298.5524.84safe12.37–20.224.99–12.1117.36–32.33safer11.28–21.314.03–13.0715.31–34.38
Shots in box
91%
homeawaytotalprediction10.464.9015.36safe7.52–13.402.22–7.589.74–20.98safer6.69–14.231.48–8.328.17–22.55
Blocked shots
67%
13%
20%
homeawaytotalprediction3.942.346.29safe2.06–5.830.69–4.002.75–9.82safer1.52–6.370.20–4.491.72–10.86
Corners
76%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction6.213.499.70safe4.00–8.431.49–5.495.49–13.92safer3.43–9.000.96–6.024.38–15.02
Possession %
82%
15%
homeawayprediction58.3541.63safe51.56–65.1434.84–48.41safer49.89–66.8133.17–50.08
Passes
93%
homeawaytotalprediction504331835safe437–572265–398702–969safer419–590247–415666–1005
Pass accuracy %
74%
22%
homeawayprediction69.2363.75safe65.20–73.2659.43–68.07safer63.91–74.5558.12–69.38
Fouls
49%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction13.8813.4827.36safe11.04–16.7110.54–16.4321.58–33.14safer10.28–17.479.79–17.1820.07–34.65
Offsides
52%
22%
26%
homeawaytotalprediction1.941.343.28safe0.78–3.100.24–2.431.03–5.53safer0.48–3.410.00–2.720.44–6.12
Yellow cards
33%
20%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction1.902.244.14safe0.85–2.951.11–3.371.96–6.32safer0.58–3.210.82–3.661.40–6.87
Red cards
82%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.110.20safe0.00–0.250.00–0.300.00–0.55safer0.00–0.400.00–0.430.00–0.83
GK saves
18%
14%
68%
homeawaytotalprediction2.073.705.77safe0.63–3.502.14–5.252.77–8.76safer0.24–3.891.72–5.681.96–9.57
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.54 0.57–2.51 0.32–2.76 | 0.75 0.00–1.60 0.00–1.83 | 2.28 0.46–4.11 0.00–4.59 | 56% 26% 18% |
| Shots on target | 5.39 3.53–7.25 3.04–7.74 | 2.59 0.85–4.33 0.38–4.80 | 7.98 4.37–11.58 3.42–12.54 | 79% |
| Total shots | 16.29 12.37–20.22 11.28–21.31 | 8.55 4.99–12.11 4.03–13.07 | 24.84 17.36–32.33 15.31–34.38 | 93% |
| Shots in box | 10.46 7.52–13.40 6.69–14.23 | 4.90 2.22–7.58 1.48–8.32 | 15.36 9.74–20.98 8.17–22.55 | 91% |
| Blocked shots | 3.94 2.06–5.83 1.52–6.37 | 2.34 0.69–4.00 0.20–4.49 | 6.29 2.75–9.82 1.72–10.86 | 67% 13% 20% |
| Corners | 6.21 4.00–8.43 3.43–9.00 | 3.49 1.49–5.49 0.96–6.02 | 9.70 5.49–13.92 4.38–15.02 | 76% 15% |
| Possession % | 58.35 51.56–65.14 49.89–66.81 | 41.63 34.84–48.41 33.17–50.08 | — | 82% 15% |
| Passes | 504 437–572 419–590 | 331 265–398 247–415 | 835 702–969 666–1005 | 93% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.23 65.20–73.26 63.91–74.55 | 63.75 59.43–68.07 58.12–69.38 | — | 74% 22% |
| Fouls | 13.88 11.04–16.71 10.28–17.47 | 13.48 10.54–16.43 9.79–17.18 | 27.36 21.58–33.14 20.07–34.65 | 49% 43% |
| Offsides | 1.94 0.78–3.10 0.48–3.41 | 1.34 0.24–2.43 0.00–2.72 | 3.28 1.03–5.53 0.44–6.12 | 52% 22% 26% |
| Yellow cards | 1.90 0.85–2.95 0.58–3.21 | 2.24 1.11–3.37 0.82–3.66 | 4.14 1.96–6.32 1.40–6.87 | 33% 20% 46% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 82% |
| GK saves | 2.07 0.63–3.50 0.24–3.89 | 3.70 2.14–5.25 1.72–5.68 | 5.77 2.77–8.76 1.96–9.57 | 18% 14% 68% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.