UEFA Nations League·League C - 5·
UEFA Nations League·League C - 5·Predicted match statistics
Goals
30%
29%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction0.971.202.17safe0.00–1.940.35–2.060.35–3.99safer0.00–2.190.12–2.280.00–4.47
Shots on target
31%
14%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction3.564.448.00safe1.70–5.422.70–6.184.39–11.60safer1.21–5.912.23–6.653.44–12.56
Total shots
26%
67%
homeawaytotalprediction10.6913.3624.04safe6.76–14.619.79–16.9216.55–31.53safer5.67–15.708.83–17.8814.50–33.58
Shots in box
25%
66%
homeawaytotalprediction6.748.9015.65safe3.80–9.696.22–11.5810.02–21.27safer2.97–10.525.48–12.328.45–22.84
Blocked shots
39%
17%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction2.722.865.58safe0.84–4.601.21–4.512.05–9.12safer0.29–5.150.72–5.011.01–10.15
Corners
32%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction4.285.179.46safe2.07–6.503.17–7.175.24–13.67safer1.50–7.072.64–7.714.14–14.78
Possession %
28%
68%
homeawayprediction45.0453.97safe38.25–51.8347.19–60.75safer36.58–53.5045.51–62.43
Passes
31%
69%
homeawaytotalprediction375433808safe308–442367–500674–942safer289–460349–517639–977
Pass accuracy %
18%
79%
homeawayprediction64.5671.26safe60.53–68.5966.94–75.58safer59.24–69.8865.63–76.89
Fouls
34%
59%
homeawaytotalprediction14.8216.5831.40safe11.98–17.6613.63–19.5225.62–37.18safer11.23–18.4212.88–20.2724.11–38.68
Offsides
32%
22%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.943.51safe0.41–2.730.84–3.031.26–5.76safer0.11–3.030.56–3.320.67–6.35
Yellow cards
42%
18%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.542.505.04safe1.49–3.591.37–3.632.86–7.22safer1.22–3.861.08–3.922.30–7.77
Red cards
78%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.130.26safe0.00–0.290.00–0.320.00–0.61safer0.00–0.440.00–0.450.00–0.89
GK saves
52%
17%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.072.415.47safe1.63–4.500.85–3.962.48–8.47safer1.24–4.890.43–4.391.67–9.28
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.97 0.00–1.94 0.00–2.19 | 1.20 0.35–2.06 0.12–2.28 | 2.17 0.35–3.99 0.00–4.47 | 30% 29% 41% |
| Shots on target | 3.56 1.70–5.42 1.21–5.91 | 4.44 2.70–6.18 2.23–6.65 | 8.00 4.39–11.60 3.44–12.56 | 31% 14% 55% |
| Total shots | 10.69 6.76–14.61 5.67–15.70 | 13.36 9.79–16.92 8.83–17.88 | 24.04 16.55–31.53 14.50–33.58 | 26% 67% |
| Shots in box | 6.74 3.80–9.69 2.97–10.52 | 8.90 6.22–11.58 5.48–12.32 | 15.65 10.02–21.27 8.45–22.84 | 25% 66% |
| Blocked shots | 2.72 0.84–4.60 0.29–5.15 | 2.86 1.21–4.51 0.72–5.01 | 5.58 2.05–9.12 1.01–10.15 | 39% 17% 44% |
| Corners | 4.28 2.07–6.50 1.50–7.07 | 5.17 3.17–7.17 2.64–7.71 | 9.46 5.24–13.67 4.14–14.78 | 32% 55% |
| Possession % | 45.04 38.25–51.83 36.58–53.50 | 53.97 47.19–60.75 45.51–62.43 | — | 28% 68% |
| Passes | 375 308–442 289–460 | 433 367–500 349–517 | 808 674–942 639–977 | 31% 69% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.56 60.53–68.59 59.24–69.88 | 71.26 66.94–75.58 65.63–76.89 | — | 18% 79% |
| Fouls | 14.82 11.98–17.66 11.23–18.42 | 16.58 13.63–19.52 12.88–20.27 | 31.40 25.62–37.18 24.11–38.68 | 34% 59% |
| Offsides | 1.57 0.41–2.73 0.11–3.03 | 1.94 0.84–3.03 0.56–3.32 | 3.51 1.26–5.76 0.67–6.35 | 32% 22% 47% |
| Yellow cards | 2.54 1.49–3.59 1.22–3.86 | 2.50 1.37–3.63 1.08–3.92 | 5.04 2.86–7.22 2.30–7.77 | 42% 18% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.13 0.00–0.32 0.00–0.45 | 0.26 0.00–0.61 0.00–0.89 | 78% |
| GK saves | 3.07 1.63–4.50 1.24–4.89 | 2.41 0.85–3.96 0.43–4.39 | 5.47 2.48–8.47 1.67–9.28 | 52% 17% 31% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.