Predicted match statistics
Goals
57%
24%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction1.680.852.53safe0.71–2.650.00–1.700.70–4.35safer0.46–2.900.00–1.930.22–4.83
Shots on target
59%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction4.813.618.42safe2.95–6.671.86–5.354.81–12.02safer2.46–7.161.40–5.823.86–12.98
Total shots
72%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction14.0310.5724.60safe10.10–17.957.01–14.1317.11–32.09safer9.01–19.046.05–15.0915.06–34.14
Shots in box
76%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction9.646.3516.00safe6.70–12.583.67–9.0310.37–21.62safer5.87–13.412.93–9.778.80–23.19
Blocked shots
48%
16%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction3.342.966.31safe1.46–5.231.31–4.622.77–9.84safer0.92–5.770.82–5.111.74–10.88
Corners
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.363.999.35safe3.15–7.581.99–5.995.14–13.57safer2.57–8.151.46–6.524.03–14.67
Possession %
54%
42%
homeawayprediction52.0149.53safe45.22–58.8142.74–56.31safer43.55–60.4741.07–57.98
Passes
60%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction465435899safe397–532368–501766–1033safer379–550351–519730–1069
Pass accuracy %
32%
63%
homeawayprediction69.2872.45safe65.25–73.3168.12–76.77safer63.96–74.6066.81–78.08
Fouls
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction14.2811.2925.57safe11.44–17.128.35–14.2319.79–31.35safer10.69–17.887.60–14.9818.29–32.86
Offsides
62%
19%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.431.313.74safe1.27–3.590.22–2.401.49–5.99safer0.97–3.890.00–2.690.90–6.58
Yellow cards
40%
20%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.192.194.38safe1.14–3.241.06–3.322.21–6.56safer0.88–3.510.77–3.611.65–7.12
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.120.19safe0.00–0.230.00–0.310.00–0.54safer0.00–0.380.00–0.440.00–0.82
GK saves
27%
16%
57%
homeawaytotalprediction2.443.405.84safe1.00–3.881.84–4.952.84–8.83safer0.62–4.261.41–5.382.03–9.64
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.68 0.71–2.65 0.46–2.90 | 0.85 0.00–1.70 0.00–1.93 | 2.53 0.70–4.35 0.22–4.83 | 57% 24% 19% |
| Shots on target | 4.81 2.95–6.67 2.46–7.16 | 3.61 1.86–5.35 1.40–5.82 | 8.42 4.81–12.02 3.86–12.98 | 59% 28% |
| Total shots | 14.03 10.10–17.95 9.01–19.04 | 10.57 7.01–14.13 6.05–15.09 | 24.60 17.11–32.09 15.06–34.14 | 72% 21% |
| Shots in box | 9.64 6.70–12.58 5.87–13.41 | 6.35 3.67–9.03 2.93–9.77 | 16.00 10.37–21.62 8.80–23.19 | 76% 17% |
| Blocked shots | 3.34 1.46–5.23 0.92–5.77 | 2.96 1.31–4.62 0.82–5.11 | 6.31 2.77–9.84 1.74–10.88 | 48% 16% 36% |
| Corners | 5.36 3.15–7.58 2.57–8.15 | 3.99 1.99–5.99 1.46–6.52 | 9.35 5.14–13.57 4.03–14.67 | 61% 27% |
| Possession % | 52.01 45.22–58.81 43.55–60.47 | 49.53 42.74–56.31 41.07–57.98 | — | 54% 42% |
| Passes | 465 397–532 379–550 | 435 368–501 351–519 | 899 766–1033 730–1069 | 60% 40% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.28 65.25–73.31 63.96–74.60 | 72.45 68.12–76.77 66.81–78.08 | — | 32% 63% |
| Fouls | 14.28 11.44–17.12 10.69–17.88 | 11.29 8.35–14.23 7.60–14.98 | 25.57 19.79–31.35 18.29–32.86 | 69% 24% |
| Offsides | 2.43 1.27–3.59 0.97–3.89 | 1.31 0.22–2.40 0.00–2.69 | 3.74 1.49–5.99 0.90–6.58 | 62% 19% 19% |
| Yellow cards | 2.19 1.14–3.24 0.88–3.51 | 2.19 1.06–3.32 0.77–3.61 | 4.38 2.21–6.56 1.65–7.12 | 40% 20% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.12 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.44 | 0.19 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.82 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.44 1.00–3.88 0.62–4.26 | 3.40 1.84–4.95 1.41–5.38 | 5.84 2.84–8.83 2.03–9.64 | 27% 16% 57% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+