Predicted match statistics
Goals
35%
27%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.251.322.58safe0.29–2.220.47–2.180.75–4.40safer0.03–2.470.24–2.410.27–4.88
Shots on target
42%
14%
44%
homeawaytotalprediction3.924.017.93safe2.06–5.792.27–5.754.33–11.54safer1.57–6.281.80–6.223.37–12.49
Total shots
58%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction12.6011.1723.77safe8.68–16.537.61–14.7316.29–31.26safer7.59–17.626.65–15.6914.24–33.31
Shots in box
35%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction6.917.8614.77safe3.97–9.855.18–10.549.15–20.39safer3.14–10.684.44–11.287.58–21.96
Blocked shots
52%
16%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.212.565.76safe1.33–5.090.90–4.212.23–9.30safer0.78–5.630.41–4.701.19–10.33
Corners
52%
13%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.824.148.96safe2.61–7.042.14–6.144.75–13.18safer2.04–7.611.61–6.673.64–14.29
Possession %
55%
41%
homeawayprediction52.0749.11safe45.28–58.8642.33–55.90safer43.61–60.5340.66–57.57
Passes
63%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction476435911safe409–543369–502778–1045safer391–561351–519742–1081
Pass accuracy %
39%
56%
homeawayprediction71.2472.99safe67.21–75.2768.66–77.31safer65.92–76.5667.36–78.62
Fouls
23%
70%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5214.7726.29safe8.68–14.3611.83–17.7220.51–32.07safer7.93–15.1111.08–18.4619.01–33.58
Offsides
29%
20%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.652.213.86safe0.49–2.811.11–3.301.61–6.11safer0.19–3.120.83–3.591.02–6.70
Yellow cards
32%
19%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction2.122.584.70safe1.07–3.161.45–3.712.52–6.88safer0.80–3.431.16–4.001.96–7.43
Red cards
81%
homeawaytotalprediction0.090.130.22safe0.00–0.250.00–0.310.00–0.57safer0.00–0.400.00–0.450.00–0.85
GK saves
36%
18%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction2.492.835.32safe1.05–3.921.27–4.382.32–8.31safer0.66–4.310.85–4.811.51–9.12
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.25 0.29–2.22 0.03–2.47 | 1.32 0.47–2.18 0.24–2.41 | 2.58 0.75–4.40 0.27–4.88 | 35% 27% 38% |
| Shots on target | 3.92 2.06–5.79 1.57–6.28 | 4.01 2.27–5.75 1.80–6.22 | 7.93 4.33–11.54 3.37–12.49 | 42% 14% 44% |
| Total shots | 12.60 8.68–16.53 7.59–17.62 | 11.17 7.61–14.73 6.65–15.69 | 23.77 16.29–31.26 14.24–33.31 | 58% 35% |
| Shots in box | 6.91 3.97–9.85 3.14–10.68 | 7.86 5.18–10.54 4.44–11.28 | 14.77 9.15–20.39 7.58–21.96 | 35% 55% |
| Blocked shots | 3.21 1.33–5.09 0.78–5.63 | 2.56 0.90–4.21 0.41–4.70 | 5.76 2.23–9.30 1.19–10.33 | 52% 16% 31% |
| Corners | 4.82 2.61–7.04 2.04–7.61 | 4.14 2.14–6.14 1.61–6.67 | 8.96 4.75–13.18 3.64–14.29 | 52% 13% 35% |
| Possession % | 52.07 45.28–58.86 43.61–60.53 | 49.11 42.33–55.90 40.66–57.57 | — | 55% 41% |
| Passes | 476 409–543 391–561 | 435 369–502 351–519 | 911 778–1045 742–1081 | 63% 37% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.24 67.21–75.27 65.92–76.56 | 72.99 68.66–77.31 67.36–78.62 | — | 39% 56% |
| Fouls | 11.52 8.68–14.36 7.93–15.11 | 14.77 11.83–17.72 11.08–18.46 | 26.29 20.51–32.07 19.01–33.58 | 23% 70% |
| Offsides | 1.65 0.49–2.81 0.19–3.12 | 2.21 1.11–3.30 0.83–3.59 | 3.86 1.61–6.11 1.02–6.70 | 29% 20% 51% |
| Yellow cards | 2.12 1.07–3.16 0.80–3.43 | 2.58 1.45–3.71 1.16–4.00 | 4.70 2.52–6.88 1.96–7.43 | 32% 19% 49% |
| Red cards | 0.09 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.31 0.00–0.45 | 0.22 0.00–0.57 0.00–0.85 | 81% |
| GK saves | 2.49 1.05–3.92 0.66–4.31 | 2.83 1.27–4.38 0.85–4.81 | 5.32 2.32–8.31 1.51–9.12 | 36% 18% 47% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+