Predicted match statistics
Goals
85%
homeawaytotalprediction3.000.573.58safe2.03–3.970.00–1.431.75–5.40safer1.78–4.220.00–1.661.27–5.88
Shots on target
96%
homeawaytotalprediction8.042.2910.33safe6.17–9.900.55–4.036.72–13.93safer5.69–10.390.08–4.505.77–14.89
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction21.256.5827.83safe17.33–25.183.02–10.1420.34–35.32safer16.23–26.272.06–11.1018.29–37.37
Shots in box
99%
homeawaytotalprediction13.913.7317.64safe10.97–16.851.05–6.4112.02–23.27safer10.14–17.680.32–7.1510.45–24.83
Blocked shots
91%
homeawaytotalprediction5.821.797.61safe3.94–7.710.13–3.444.07–11.15safer3.40–8.250.00–3.933.04–12.18
Corners
95%
homeawaytotalprediction8.392.5410.93safe6.18–10.610.54–4.546.72–15.14safer5.61–11.180.00–5.075.61–16.25
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction68.3630.81safe61.57–75.1524.02–37.59safer59.90–76.8222.35–39.26
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction7363231058safe669–803256–389925–1192safer650–821239–407889–1228
Pass accuracy %
99%
homeawayprediction84.1565.57safe80.12–88.1861.24–69.89safer78.82–89.4759.93–71.20
Fouls
53%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4310.5421.97safe8.60–14.277.60–13.4816.19–27.75safer7.84–15.036.85–14.2314.69–29.26
Offsides
54%
20%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction2.181.463.64safe1.02–3.340.36–2.551.39–5.90safer0.72–3.650.08–2.840.80–6.48
Yellow cards
20%
22%
58%
homeawaytotalprediction1.051.932.97safe0.00–2.100.80–3.050.79–5.15safer0.00–2.360.51–3.350.24–5.71
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.100.14safe0.00–0.200.00–0.280.00–0.48safer0.00–0.350.00–0.410.00–0.77
GK saves
91%
homeawaytotalprediction1.585.557.13safe0.14–3.013.99–7.114.14–10.12safer0.00–3.403.57–7.533.32–10.93
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.00 2.03–3.97 1.78–4.22 | 0.57 0.00–1.43 0.00–1.66 | 3.58 1.75–5.40 1.27–5.88 | 85% |
| Shots on target | 8.04 6.17–9.90 5.69–10.39 | 2.29 0.55–4.03 0.08–4.50 | 10.33 6.72–13.93 5.77–14.89 | 96% |
| Total shots | 21.25 17.33–25.18 16.23–26.27 | 6.58 3.02–10.14 2.06–11.10 | 27.83 20.34–35.32 18.29–37.37 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 13.91 10.97–16.85 10.14–17.68 | 3.73 1.05–6.41 0.32–7.15 | 17.64 12.02–23.27 10.45–24.83 | 99% |
| Blocked shots | 5.82 3.94–7.71 3.40–8.25 | 1.79 0.13–3.44 0.00–3.93 | 7.61 4.07–11.15 3.04–12.18 | 91% |
| Corners | 8.39 6.18–10.61 5.61–11.18 | 2.54 0.54–4.54 0.00–5.07 | 10.93 6.72–15.14 5.61–16.25 | 95% |
| Possession % | 68.36 61.57–75.15 59.90–76.82 | 30.81 24.02–37.59 22.35–39.26 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 736 669–803 650–821 | 323 256–389 239–407 | 1058 925–1192 889–1228 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 84.15 80.12–88.18 78.82–89.47 | 65.57 61.24–69.89 59.93–71.20 | — | 99% |
| Fouls | 11.43 8.60–14.27 7.84–15.03 | 10.54 7.60–13.48 6.85–14.23 | 21.97 16.19–27.75 14.69–29.26 | 53% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.18 1.02–3.34 0.72–3.65 | 1.46 0.36–2.55 0.08–2.84 | 3.64 1.39–5.90 0.80–6.48 | 54% 20% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.05 0.00–2.10 0.00–2.36 | 1.93 0.80–3.05 0.51–3.35 | 2.97 0.79–5.15 0.24–5.71 | 20% 22% 58% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.14 0.00–0.48 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 1.58 0.14–3.01 0.00–3.40 | 5.55 3.99–7.11 3.57–7.53 | 7.13 4.14–10.12 3.32–10.93 | 91% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.