Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
77%
homeawaytotalprediction0.682.513.19safe0.00–1.641.66–3.361.36–5.01safer0.00–1.901.43–3.590.88–5.49
Shots on target
92%
homeawaytotalprediction2.487.199.67safe0.62–4.345.45–8.936.07–13.28safer0.13–4.834.98–9.405.11–14.23
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction7.3918.3025.70safe3.47–11.3214.74–21.8718.21–33.18safer2.37–12.4113.78–22.8316.16–35.23
Shots in box
96%
homeawaytotalprediction5.0112.5517.56safe2.07–7.959.87–15.2311.94–23.18safer1.24–8.789.13–15.9710.37–24.75
Blocked shots
77%
homeawaytotalprediction2.324.777.10safe0.44–4.203.12–6.433.56–10.63safer0.00–4.752.63–6.922.53–11.67
Corners
81%
homeawaytotalprediction3.046.159.18safe0.82–5.254.15–8.154.97–13.40safer0.25–5.833.61–8.683.86–14.50
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction32.0568.54safe25.26–38.8461.76–75.33safer23.59–40.5160.09–77.00
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction3327091041safe265–399642–775907–1174safer247–417625–793871–1210
Pass accuracy %
100%
homeawayprediction63.9385.00safe59.90–67.9680.67–89.32safer58.61–69.2579.36–90.63
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.5312.6824.21safe8.70–14.379.73–15.6218.43–29.99safer7.94–15.138.98–16.3716.92–31.50
Offsides
31%
20%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.752.193.94safe0.59–2.921.09–3.281.69–6.19safer0.29–3.220.80–3.571.10–6.78
Yellow cards
48%
23%
30%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.423.28safe0.81–2.910.29–2.551.10–5.46safer0.54–3.170.00–2.840.54–6.01
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.130.070.20safe0.00–0.290.00–0.250.00–0.54safer0.00–0.440.00–0.390.00–0.83
GK saves
82%
homeawaytotalprediction4.862.006.86safe3.43–6.300.44–3.563.87–9.86safer3.04–6.690.02–3.983.06–10.67
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.68 0.00–1.64 0.00–1.90 | 2.51 1.66–3.36 1.43–3.59 | 3.19 1.36–5.01 0.88–5.49 | 15% 77% |
| Shots on target | 2.48 0.62–4.34 0.13–4.83 | 7.19 5.45–8.93 4.98–9.40 | 9.67 6.07–13.28 5.11–14.23 | 92% |
| Total shots | 7.39 3.47–11.32 2.37–12.41 | 18.30 14.74–21.87 13.78–22.83 | 25.70 18.21–33.18 16.16–35.23 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 5.01 2.07–7.95 1.24–8.78 | 12.55 9.87–15.23 9.13–15.97 | 17.56 11.94–23.18 10.37–24.75 | 96% |
| Blocked shots | 2.32 0.44–4.20 0.00–4.75 | 4.77 3.12–6.43 2.63–6.92 | 7.10 3.56–10.63 2.53–11.67 | 77% |
| Corners | 3.04 0.82–5.25 0.25–5.83 | 6.15 4.15–8.15 3.61–8.68 | 9.18 4.97–13.40 3.86–14.50 | 81% |
| Possession % | 32.05 25.26–38.84 23.59–40.51 | 68.54 61.76–75.33 60.09–77.00 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 332 265–399 247–417 | 709 642–775 625–793 | 1041 907–1174 871–1210 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 63.93 59.90–67.96 58.61–69.25 | 85.00 80.67–89.32 79.36–90.63 | — | 100% |
| Fouls | 11.53 8.70–14.37 7.94–15.13 | 12.68 9.73–15.62 8.98–16.37 | 24.21 18.43–29.99 16.92–31.50 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.75 0.59–2.92 0.29–3.22 | 2.19 1.09–3.28 0.80–3.57 | 3.94 1.69–6.19 1.10–6.78 | 31% 20% 48% |
| Yellow cards | 1.86 0.81–2.91 0.54–3.17 | 1.42 0.29–2.55 0.00–2.84 | 3.28 1.10–5.46 0.54–6.01 | 48% 23% 30% |
| Red cards | 0.13 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.44 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.20 0.00–0.54 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 4.86 3.43–6.30 3.04–6.69 | 2.00 0.44–3.56 0.02–3.98 | 6.86 3.87–9.86 3.06–10.67 | 82% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+