Predicted match statistics
Goals
34%
26%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.281.442.71safe0.31–2.250.58–2.290.89–4.54safer0.06–2.500.35–2.520.41–5.02
Shots on target
45%
14%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction4.154.018.17safe2.29–6.012.27–5.764.56–11.77safer1.80–6.501.81–6.223.60–12.73
Total shots
69%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction13.1610.2923.45safe9.23–17.086.73–13.8515.96–30.94safer8.14–18.175.77–14.8113.91–32.99
Shots in box
48%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction8.348.0616.40safe5.40–11.285.37–10.7410.77–22.02safer4.57–12.114.64–11.479.21–23.59
Blocked shots
58%
15%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction3.672.646.32safe1.79–5.560.99–4.292.78–9.85safer1.25–6.100.50–4.791.74–10.89
Corners
48%
13%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction4.834.489.31safe2.62–7.042.48–6.485.10–13.53safer2.04–7.621.95–7.023.99–14.63
Possession %
43%
52%
homeawayprediction49.0750.89safe42.28–55.8644.11–57.68safer40.61–57.5342.44–59.35
Passes
47%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction446454900safe379–513387–520766–1034safer361–532370–538731–1069
Pass accuracy %
25%
71%
homeawayprediction64.8869.64safe60.85–68.9165.32–73.97safer59.56–70.2064.01–75.28
Fouls
33%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0512.7323.78safe8.21–13.889.79–15.6818.00–29.56safer7.45–14.649.04–16.4316.49–31.07
Offsides
42%
24%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction1.571.392.96safe0.41–2.730.29–2.480.70–5.21safer0.11–3.030.00–2.770.11–5.80
Yellow cards
30%
21%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction1.662.173.82safe0.61–2.711.04–3.291.65–6.00safer0.34–2.970.75–3.591.09–6.56
Red cards
86%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.090.16safe0.00–0.230.00–0.280.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.410.00–0.79
GK saves
38%
17%
45%
homeawaytotalprediction2.632.855.48safe1.19–4.061.29–4.412.48–8.47safer0.80–4.450.87–4.831.67–9.28
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.28 0.31–2.25 0.06–2.50 | 1.44 0.58–2.29 0.35–2.52 | 2.71 0.89–4.54 0.41–5.02 | 34% 26% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.15 2.29–6.01 1.80–6.50 | 4.01 2.27–5.76 1.81–6.22 | 8.17 4.56–11.77 3.60–12.73 | 45% 14% 41% |
| Total shots | 13.16 9.23–17.08 8.14–18.17 | 10.29 6.73–13.85 5.77–14.81 | 23.45 15.96–30.94 13.91–32.99 | 69% 24% |
| Shots in box | 8.34 5.40–11.28 4.57–12.11 | 8.06 5.37–10.74 4.64–11.47 | 16.40 10.77–22.02 9.21–23.59 | 48% 42% |
| Blocked shots | 3.67 1.79–5.56 1.25–6.10 | 2.64 0.99–4.29 0.50–4.79 | 6.32 2.78–9.85 1.74–10.89 | 58% 15% 27% |
| Corners | 4.83 2.62–7.04 2.04–7.62 | 4.48 2.48–6.48 1.95–7.02 | 9.31 5.10–13.53 3.99–14.63 | 48% 13% 39% |
| Possession % | 49.07 42.28–55.86 40.61–57.53 | 50.89 44.11–57.68 42.44–59.35 | — | 43% 52% |
| Passes | 446 379–513 361–532 | 454 387–520 370–538 | 900 766–1034 731–1069 | 47% 52% |
| Pass accuracy % | 64.88 60.85–68.91 59.56–70.20 | 69.64 65.32–73.97 64.01–75.28 | — | 25% 71% |
| Fouls | 11.05 8.21–13.88 7.45–14.64 | 12.73 9.79–15.68 9.04–16.43 | 23.78 18.00–29.56 16.49–31.07 | 33% 60% |
| Offsides | 1.57 0.41–2.73 0.11–3.03 | 1.39 0.29–2.48 0.00–2.77 | 2.96 0.70–5.21 0.11–5.80 | 42% 24% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 1.66 0.61–2.71 0.34–2.97 | 2.17 1.04–3.29 0.75–3.59 | 3.82 1.65–6.00 1.09–6.56 | 30% 21% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.09 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.41 | 0.16 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.79 | 86% |
| GK saves | 2.63 1.19–4.06 0.80–4.45 | 2.85 1.29–4.41 0.87–4.83 | 5.48 2.48–8.47 1.67–9.28 | 38% 17% 45% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.