UEFA Nations League·League A - 4·
UEFA Nations League·League A - 4·Predicted match statistics
Goals
77%
15%
homeawaytotalprediction2.560.703.26safe1.59–3.520.00–1.561.44–5.08safer1.34–3.780.00–1.790.96–5.56
Shots on target
91%
homeawaytotalprediction7.332.7110.04safe5.47–9.200.97–4.456.44–13.65safer4.98–9.680.50–4.925.48–14.60
Total shots
100%
homeawaytotalprediction21.976.9628.93safe18.05–25.903.40–10.5221.44–36.42safer16.95–26.992.44–11.4819.39–38.47
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction14.045.1619.20safe11.09–16.982.48–7.8513.58–24.82safer10.26–17.811.75–8.5812.01–26.39
Blocked shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction5.811.897.69safe3.92–7.690.23–3.544.16–11.23safer3.38–8.230.00–4.033.12–12.26
Corners
93%
homeawaytotalprediction8.002.8510.85safe5.78–10.210.85–4.856.63–15.06safer5.21–10.780.32–5.385.53–16.17
Possession %
98%
homeawayprediction66.7732.45safe59.98–73.5625.67–39.24safer58.31–75.2324.00–40.91
Passes
100%
homeawaytotalprediction647289936safe579–714223–356802–1070safer561–732205–373767–1105
Pass accuracy %
97%
homeawayprediction77.6462.49safe73.61–81.6758.17–66.81safer72.32–82.9756.86–68.12
Fouls
39%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction9.8510.6520.50safe7.01–12.687.71–13.6014.72–26.28safer6.25–13.446.96–14.3513.21–27.79
Offsides
44%
20%
36%
homeawaytotalprediction2.151.954.10safe0.99–3.310.85–3.041.84–6.35safer0.69–3.610.56–3.331.25–6.94
Yellow cards
28%
22%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.421.993.41safe0.38–2.470.86–3.121.24–5.59safer0.11–2.740.57–3.410.68–6.15
Red cards
88%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.080.13safe0.00–0.210.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.360.00–0.400.00–0.76
GK saves
85%
homeawaytotalprediction2.025.257.27safe0.59–3.463.69–6.804.28–10.26safer0.20–3.853.27–7.233.47–11.07
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.56 1.59–3.52 1.34–3.78 | 0.70 0.00–1.56 0.00–1.79 | 3.26 1.44–5.08 0.96–5.56 | 77% 15% |
| Shots on target | 7.33 5.47–9.20 4.98–9.68 | 2.71 0.97–4.45 0.50–4.92 | 10.04 6.44–13.65 5.48–14.60 | 91% |
| Total shots | 21.97 18.05–25.90 16.95–26.99 | 6.96 3.40–10.52 2.44–11.48 | 28.93 21.44–36.42 19.39–38.47 | 100% |
| Shots in box | 14.04 11.09–16.98 10.26–17.81 | 5.16 2.48–7.85 1.75–8.58 | 19.20 13.58–24.82 12.01–26.39 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 5.81 3.92–7.69 3.38–8.23 | 1.89 0.23–3.54 0.00–4.03 | 7.69 4.16–11.23 3.12–12.26 | 90% |
| Corners | 8.00 5.78–10.21 5.21–10.78 | 2.85 0.85–4.85 0.32–5.38 | 10.85 6.63–15.06 5.53–16.17 | 93% |
| Possession % | 66.77 59.98–73.56 58.31–75.23 | 32.45 25.67–39.24 24.00–40.91 | — | 98% |
| Passes | 647 579–714 561–732 | 289 223–356 205–373 | 936 802–1070 767–1105 | 100% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.64 73.61–81.67 72.32–82.97 | 62.49 58.17–66.81 56.86–68.12 | — | 97% |
| Fouls | 9.85 7.01–12.68 6.25–13.44 | 10.65 7.71–13.60 6.96–14.35 | 20.50 14.72–26.28 13.21–27.79 | 39% 53% |
| Offsides | 2.15 0.99–3.31 0.69–3.61 | 1.95 0.85–3.04 0.56–3.33 | 4.10 1.84–6.35 1.25–6.94 | 44% 20% 36% |
| Yellow cards | 1.42 0.38–2.47 0.11–2.74 | 1.99 0.86–3.12 0.57–3.41 | 3.41 1.24–5.59 0.68–6.15 | 28% 22% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.13 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.76 | 88% |
| GK saves | 2.02 0.59–3.46 0.20–3.85 | 5.25 3.69–6.80 3.27–7.23 | 7.27 4.28–10.26 3.47–11.07 | 85% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+