Predicted match statistics
Goals
61%
21%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.051.013.06safe1.08–3.010.16–1.871.24–4.88safer0.83–3.270.00–2.100.76–5.36
Shots on target
71%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction5.983.779.74safe4.11–7.842.02–5.516.14–13.35safer3.62–8.331.56–5.985.18–14.30
Total shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction17.3810.2427.61safe13.45–21.306.67–13.8020.12–35.10safer12.36–22.395.71–14.7618.07–37.15
Shots in box
80%
14%
homeawaytotalprediction11.437.3218.76safe8.49–14.384.64–10.0013.13–24.38safer7.66–15.213.91–10.7411.57–25.95
Blocked shots
61%
14%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.212.957.16safe2.33–6.101.30–4.603.63–10.70safer1.79–6.640.80–5.092.59–11.73
Corners
73%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction6.624.1310.75safe4.40–8.832.13–6.136.53–14.96safer3.83–9.401.60–6.665.43–16.07
Possession %
68%
28%
homeawayprediction54.3745.63safe47.58–61.1638.84–52.41safer45.91–62.8337.17–54.08
Passes
77%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5584691027safe491–625403–536893–1161safer473–643385–553858–1196
Pass accuracy %
46%
49%
homeawayprediction72.1372.45safe68.10–76.1668.13–76.78safer66.81–77.4566.82–78.09
Fouls
44%
47%
homeawaytotalprediction9.9110.1320.04safe7.07–12.757.18–13.0714.26–25.82safer6.32–13.506.43–13.8212.75–27.32
Offsides
52%
20%
28%
homeawaytotalprediction2.251.643.89safe1.09–3.410.55–2.731.63–6.14safer0.78–3.710.26–3.021.04–6.73
Yellow cards
45%
22%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction1.891.613.50safe0.85–2.940.48–2.741.32–5.68safer0.58–3.210.19–3.030.77–6.24
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.050.070.12safe0.00–0.210.00–0.250.00–0.46safer0.00–0.360.00–0.390.00–0.75
GK saves
21%
14%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction2.524.016.53safe1.08–3.952.46–5.573.54–9.52safer0.69–4.342.03–5.992.73–10.33
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.05 1.08–3.01 0.83–3.27 | 1.01 0.16–1.87 0.00–2.10 | 3.06 1.24–4.88 0.76–5.36 | 61% 21% 18% |
| Shots on target | 5.98 4.11–7.84 3.62–8.33 | 3.77 2.02–5.51 1.56–5.98 | 9.74 6.14–13.35 5.18–14.30 | 71% 19% |
| Total shots | 17.38 13.45–21.30 12.36–22.39 | 10.24 6.67–13.80 5.71–14.76 | 27.61 20.12–35.10 18.07–37.15 | 90% |
| Shots in box | 11.43 8.49–14.38 7.66–15.21 | 7.32 4.64–10.00 3.91–10.74 | 18.76 13.13–24.38 11.57–25.95 | 80% 14% |
| Blocked shots | 4.21 2.33–6.10 1.79–6.64 | 2.95 1.30–4.60 0.80–5.09 | 7.16 3.63–10.70 2.59–11.73 | 61% 14% 25% |
| Corners | 6.62 4.40–8.83 3.83–9.40 | 4.13 2.13–6.13 1.60–6.66 | 10.75 6.53–14.96 5.43–16.07 | 73% 18% |
| Possession % | 54.37 47.58–61.16 45.91–62.83 | 45.63 38.84–52.41 37.17–54.08 | — | 68% 28% |
| Passes | 558 491–625 473–643 | 469 403–536 385–553 | 1027 893–1161 858–1196 | 77% 23% |
| Pass accuracy % | 72.13 68.10–76.16 66.81–77.45 | 72.45 68.13–76.78 66.82–78.09 | — | 46% 49% |
| Fouls | 9.91 7.07–12.75 6.32–13.50 | 10.13 7.18–13.07 6.43–13.82 | 20.04 14.26–25.82 12.75–27.32 | 44% 47% |
| Offsides | 2.25 1.09–3.41 0.78–3.71 | 1.64 0.55–2.73 0.26–3.02 | 3.89 1.63–6.14 1.04–6.73 | 52% 20% 28% |
| Yellow cards | 1.89 0.85–2.94 0.58–3.21 | 1.61 0.48–2.74 0.19–3.03 | 3.50 1.32–5.68 0.77–6.24 | 45% 22% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.05 0.00–0.21 0.00–0.36 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.39 | 0.12 0.00–0.46 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.52 1.08–3.95 0.69–4.34 | 4.01 2.46–5.57 2.03–5.99 | 6.53 3.54–9.52 2.73–10.33 | 21% 14% 65% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.