UEFA Nations League·League B - 4·
UEFA Nations League·League B - 4·Predicted match statistics
Goals
52%
26%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.500.882.38safe0.53–2.470.03–1.740.56–4.21safer0.28–2.720.00–1.970.08–4.69
Shots on target
63%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction4.883.438.32safe3.02–6.751.69–5.184.71–11.92safer2.53–7.241.23–5.643.76–12.88
Total shots
78%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction14.099.8023.89safe10.16–18.016.24–13.3716.41–31.38safer9.07–19.105.28–14.3314.35–33.43
Shots in box
81%
homeawaytotalprediction9.945.9215.86safe7.00–12.883.24–8.6010.24–21.48safer6.17–13.712.50–9.348.67–23.05
Blocked shots
65%
13%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction4.202.656.85safe2.32–6.081.00–4.313.32–10.39safer1.77–6.620.51–4.802.28–11.42
Corners
69%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction5.973.919.89safe3.76–8.191.91–5.915.67–14.10safer3.19–8.761.38–6.444.57–15.21
Possession %
56%
39%
homeawayprediction52.2648.53safe45.47–59.0541.75–55.32safer43.80–60.7240.07–56.99
Passes
61%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction478442920safe411–545376–509787–1054safer393–563358–526751–1090
Pass accuracy %
35%
60%
homeawayprediction69.8772.39safe65.84–73.9068.07–76.71safer64.55–75.1966.76–78.02
Fouls
43%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction11.1911.4722.66safe8.35–14.028.53–14.4216.88–28.44safer7.59–14.787.78–15.1715.37–29.95
Offsides
47%
24%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.711.293.00safe0.55–2.870.20–2.390.75–5.25safer0.24–3.170.00–2.670.16–5.84
Yellow cards
35%
22%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.641.803.44safe0.59–2.690.67–2.931.26–5.62safer0.32–2.960.38–3.220.70–6.18
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.080.12safe0.00–0.200.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.350.00–0.400.00–0.75
GK saves
31%
17%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction2.473.155.62safe1.04–3.911.59–4.702.63–8.61safer0.65–4.291.17–5.131.81–9.42
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.50 0.53–2.47 0.28–2.72 | 0.88 0.03–1.74 0.00–1.97 | 2.38 0.56–4.21 0.08–4.69 | 52% 26% 22% |
| Shots on target | 4.88 3.02–6.75 2.53–7.24 | 3.43 1.69–5.18 1.23–5.64 | 8.32 4.71–11.92 3.76–12.88 | 63% 25% |
| Total shots | 14.09 10.16–18.01 9.07–19.10 | 9.80 6.24–13.37 5.28–14.33 | 23.89 16.41–31.38 14.35–33.43 | 78% 16% |
| Shots in box | 9.94 7.00–12.88 6.17–13.71 | 5.92 3.24–8.60 2.50–9.34 | 15.86 10.24–21.48 8.67–23.05 | 81% |
| Blocked shots | 4.20 2.32–6.08 1.77–6.62 | 2.65 1.00–4.31 0.51–4.80 | 6.85 3.32–10.39 2.28–11.42 | 65% 13% 21% |
| Corners | 5.97 3.76–8.19 3.19–8.76 | 3.91 1.91–5.91 1.38–6.44 | 9.89 5.67–14.10 4.57–15.21 | 69% 21% |
| Possession % | 52.26 45.47–59.05 43.80–60.72 | 48.53 41.75–55.32 40.07–56.99 | — | 56% 39% |
| Passes | 478 411–545 393–563 | 442 376–509 358–526 | 920 787–1054 751–1090 | 61% 38% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.87 65.84–73.90 64.55–75.19 | 72.39 68.07–76.71 66.76–78.02 | — | 35% 60% |
| Fouls | 11.19 8.35–14.02 7.59–14.78 | 11.47 8.53–14.42 7.78–15.17 | 22.66 16.88–28.44 15.37–29.95 | 43% 48% |
| Offsides | 1.71 0.55–2.87 0.24–3.17 | 1.29 0.20–2.39 0.00–2.67 | 3.00 0.75–5.25 0.16–5.84 | 47% 24% 29% |
| Yellow cards | 1.64 0.59–2.69 0.32–2.96 | 1.80 0.67–2.93 0.38–3.22 | 3.44 1.26–5.62 0.70–6.18 | 35% 22% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.47 1.04–3.91 0.65–4.29 | 3.15 1.59–4.70 1.17–5.13 | 5.62 2.63–8.61 1.81–9.42 | 31% 17% 53% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.