Predicted match statistics
Goals
60%
21%
19%
homeawaytotalprediction2.021.063.08safe1.05–2.990.21–1.921.26–4.91safer0.80–3.240.00–2.150.78–5.39
Shots on target
75%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction6.293.679.96safe4.42–8.151.93–5.416.35–13.56safer3.93–8.641.46–5.885.40–14.52
Total shots
88%
homeawaytotalprediction17.1110.4627.58safe13.19–21.046.90–14.0320.09–35.06safer12.09–22.135.94–14.9918.04–37.11
Shots in box
84%
homeawaytotalprediction11.676.9118.58safe8.73–14.614.23–9.5912.95–24.20safer7.90–15.443.49–10.3211.39–25.77
Blocked shots
63%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction4.643.207.84safe2.76–6.531.55–4.854.31–11.38safer2.22–7.071.05–5.343.27–12.41
Corners
74%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction6.473.8910.36safe4.26–8.681.89–5.896.15–14.58safer3.68–9.261.36–6.435.04–15.68
Possession %
71%
25%
homeawayprediction55.0344.57safe48.24–61.8337.79–51.36safer46.57–63.4936.12–53.03
Passes
84%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction5744561031safe507–642390–523897–1164safer489–660372–540861–1200
Pass accuracy %
62%
33%
homeawayprediction77.0674.26safe73.03–81.0969.93–78.58safer71.74–82.3868.62–79.89
Fouls
38%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction10.3311.1821.51safe7.49–13.168.23–14.1215.72–27.29safer6.73–13.927.49–14.8714.22–28.79
Offsides
40%
22%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction1.781.733.52safe0.62–2.940.64–2.831.26–5.77safer0.32–3.250.35–3.120.68–6.36
Yellow cards
29%
21%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction1.592.153.74safe0.54–2.641.02–3.281.56–5.92safer0.27–2.900.73–3.571.00–6.47
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.070.14safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.380.00–0.390.00–0.77
GK saves
24%
14%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.603.906.50safe1.16–4.032.34–5.463.50–9.49safer0.77–4.421.92–5.882.69–10.30
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.02 1.05–2.99 0.80–3.24 | 1.06 0.21–1.92 0.00–2.15 | 3.08 1.26–4.91 0.78–5.39 | 60% 21% 19% |
| Shots on target | 6.29 4.42–8.15 3.93–8.64 | 3.67 1.93–5.41 1.46–5.88 | 9.96 6.35–13.56 5.40–14.52 | 75% 16% |
| Total shots | 17.11 13.19–21.04 12.09–22.13 | 10.46 6.90–14.03 5.94–14.99 | 27.58 20.09–35.06 18.04–37.11 | 88% |
| Shots in box | 11.67 8.73–14.61 7.90–15.44 | 6.91 4.23–9.59 3.49–10.32 | 18.58 12.95–24.20 11.39–25.77 | 84% |
| Blocked shots | 4.64 2.76–6.53 2.22–7.07 | 3.20 1.55–4.85 1.05–5.34 | 7.84 4.31–11.38 3.27–12.41 | 63% 24% |
| Corners | 6.47 4.26–8.68 3.68–9.26 | 3.89 1.89–5.89 1.36–6.43 | 10.36 6.15–14.58 5.04–15.68 | 74% 17% |
| Possession % | 55.03 48.24–61.83 46.57–63.49 | 44.57 37.79–51.36 36.12–53.03 | — | 71% 25% |
| Passes | 574 507–642 489–660 | 456 390–523 372–540 | 1031 897–1164 861–1200 | 84% 16% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.06 73.03–81.09 71.74–82.38 | 74.26 69.93–78.58 68.62–79.89 | — | 62% 33% |
| Fouls | 10.33 7.49–13.16 6.73–13.92 | 11.18 8.23–14.12 7.49–14.87 | 21.51 15.72–27.29 14.22–28.79 | 38% 53% |
| Offsides | 1.78 0.62–2.94 0.32–3.25 | 1.73 0.64–2.83 0.35–3.12 | 3.52 1.26–5.77 0.68–6.36 | 40% 22% 38% |
| Yellow cards | 1.59 0.54–2.64 0.27–2.90 | 2.15 1.02–3.28 0.73–3.57 | 3.74 1.56–5.92 1.00–6.47 | 29% 21% 51% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.07 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.39 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.60 1.16–4.03 0.77–4.42 | 3.90 2.34–5.46 1.92–5.88 | 6.50 3.50–9.49 2.69–10.30 | 24% 14% 62% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.18+