UEFA Nations League·League B - 4·
UEFA Nations League·League B - 4·Predicted match statistics
Goals
37%
28%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.221.192.41safe0.25–2.190.33–2.040.59–4.23safer0.00–2.440.10–2.270.11–4.71
Shots on target
43%
14%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction3.963.927.88safe2.09–5.822.18–5.674.27–11.48safer1.60–6.311.72–6.133.32–12.44
Total shots
51%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction11.8911.3123.20safe7.96–15.817.75–14.8715.71–30.69safer6.87–16.916.79–15.8313.66–32.74
Shots in box
49%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction7.186.7913.97safe4.24–10.124.11–9.478.35–19.60safer3.41–10.953.37–10.216.78–21.16
Blocked shots
37%
17%
46%
homeawaytotalprediction2.853.156.00safe0.97–4.741.50–4.802.47–9.54safer0.43–5.281.01–5.301.43–10.57
Corners
52%
13%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction4.754.088.84safe2.54–6.972.08–6.084.63–13.05safer1.97–7.541.55–6.623.52–14.16
Possession %
14%
83%
homeawayprediction41.1658.21safe34.37–47.9551.42–64.99safer32.70–49.6249.75–66.67
Passes
89%
homeawaytotalprediction407551958safe339–474485–617824–1091safer321–492467–635788–1127
Pass accuracy %
92%
homeawayprediction67.3578.99safe63.32–71.3874.66–83.31safer62.03–72.6773.35–84.62
Fouls
58%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7311.2323.97safe9.90–15.578.29–14.1818.19–29.75safer9.14–16.337.54–14.9316.68–31.26
Offsides
51%
23%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.861.293.15safe0.70–3.020.20–2.380.90–5.41safer0.40–3.320.00–2.670.31–6.00
Yellow cards
46%
20%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.241.904.14safe1.19–3.290.77–3.031.96–6.31safer0.92–3.560.48–3.321.40–6.87
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.080.15safe0.00–0.230.00–0.260.00–0.50safer0.00–0.380.00–0.400.00–0.78
GK saves
43%
18%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.642.535.17safe1.20–4.080.98–4.092.18–8.17safer0.82–4.460.55–4.511.37–8.98
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.22 0.25–2.19 0.00–2.44 | 1.19 0.33–2.04 0.10–2.27 | 2.41 0.59–4.23 0.11–4.71 | 37% 28% 35% |
| Shots on target | 3.96 2.09–5.82 1.60–6.31 | 3.92 2.18–5.67 1.72–6.13 | 7.88 4.27–11.48 3.32–12.44 | 43% 14% 42% |
| Total shots | 11.89 7.96–15.81 6.87–16.91 | 11.31 7.75–14.87 6.79–15.83 | 23.20 15.71–30.69 13.66–32.74 | 51% 41% |
| Shots in box | 7.18 4.24–10.12 3.41–10.95 | 6.79 4.11–9.47 3.37–10.21 | 13.97 8.35–19.60 6.78–21.16 | 49% 41% |
| Blocked shots | 2.85 0.97–4.74 0.43–5.28 | 3.15 1.50–4.80 1.01–5.30 | 6.00 2.47–9.54 1.43–10.57 | 37% 17% 46% |
| Corners | 4.75 2.54–6.97 1.97–7.54 | 4.08 2.08–6.08 1.55–6.62 | 8.84 4.63–13.05 3.52–14.16 | 52% 13% 35% |
| Possession % | 41.16 34.37–47.95 32.70–49.62 | 58.21 51.42–64.99 49.75–66.67 | — | 14% 83% |
| Passes | 407 339–474 321–492 | 551 485–617 467–635 | 958 824–1091 788–1127 | 89% |
| Pass accuracy % | 67.35 63.32–71.38 62.03–72.67 | 78.99 74.66–83.31 73.35–84.62 | — | 92% |
| Fouls | 12.73 9.90–15.57 9.14–16.33 | 11.23 8.29–14.18 7.54–14.93 | 23.97 18.19–29.75 16.68–31.26 | 58% 34% |
| Offsides | 1.86 0.70–3.02 0.40–3.32 | 1.29 0.20–2.38 0.00–2.67 | 3.15 0.90–5.41 0.31–6.00 | 51% 23% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 2.24 1.19–3.29 0.92–3.56 | 1.90 0.77–3.03 0.48–3.32 | 4.14 1.96–6.31 1.40–6.87 | 46% 20% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.15 0.00–0.50 0.00–0.78 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.64 1.20–4.08 0.82–4.46 | 2.53 0.98–4.09 0.55–4.51 | 5.17 2.18–8.17 1.37–8.98 | 43% 18% 39% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.