UEFA Nations League·League B - 4·
UEFA Nations League·League B - 4·Predicted match statistics
Goals
38%
27%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction1.291.222.51safe0.32–2.250.37–2.080.69–4.33safer0.07–2.500.14–2.310.21–4.81
Shots on target
38%
14%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction4.144.498.63safe2.27–6.002.75–6.235.02–12.23safer1.79–6.492.28–6.704.06–13.19
Total shots
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction13.3512.3325.68safe9.43–17.288.77–15.8918.19–33.17safer8.34–18.377.81–16.8516.14–35.22
Shots in box
50%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction8.287.7316.00safe5.34–11.225.04–10.4110.38–21.63safer4.51–12.054.31–11.148.81–23.19
Blocked shots
49%
16%
35%
homeawaytotalprediction3.523.076.59safe1.64–5.401.42–4.733.05–10.13safer1.09–5.940.93–5.222.02–11.16
Corners
49%
13%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction4.864.419.27safe2.65–7.082.41–6.415.06–13.48safer2.08–7.651.88–6.943.95–14.59
Possession %
55%
41%
homeawayprediction51.7948.82safe45.00–58.5842.04–55.61safer43.33–60.2540.37–57.28
Passes
63%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction463424887safe396–530357–490753–1020safer377–548340–508717–1056
Pass accuracy %
38%
57%
homeawayprediction69.3071.08safe65.27–73.3366.75–75.40safer63.98–74.6365.44–76.71
Fouls
38%
54%
homeawaytotalprediction12.9213.9326.84safe10.08–15.7510.98–16.8721.06–32.63safer9.32–16.5110.24–17.6219.56–34.13
Offsides
26%
21%
53%
homeawaytotalprediction1.412.103.50safe0.25–2.571.00–3.191.25–5.76safer0.00–2.870.72–3.480.66–6.35
Yellow cards
42%
19%
39%
homeawaytotalprediction2.432.364.79safe1.38–3.481.23–3.492.61–6.97safer1.11–3.740.94–3.782.05–7.52
Red cards
83%
homeawaytotalprediction0.100.100.20safe0.00–0.260.00–0.290.00–0.55safer0.00–0.410.00–0.420.00–0.83
GK saves
43%
17%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction2.962.895.84safe1.52–4.391.33–4.442.85–8.83safer1.13–4.780.90–4.872.04–9.65
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.29 0.32–2.25 0.07–2.50 | 1.22 0.37–2.08 0.14–2.31 | 2.51 0.69–4.33 0.21–4.81 | 38% 27% 35% |
| Shots on target | 4.14 2.27–6.00 1.79–6.49 | 4.49 2.75–6.23 2.28–6.70 | 8.63 5.02–12.23 4.06–13.19 | 38% 14% 48% |
| Total shots | 13.35 9.43–17.28 8.34–18.37 | 12.33 8.77–15.89 7.81–16.85 | 25.68 18.19–33.17 16.14–35.22 | 54% 38% |
| Shots in box | 8.28 5.34–11.22 4.51–12.05 | 7.73 5.04–10.41 4.31–11.14 | 16.00 10.38–21.63 8.81–23.19 | 50% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 3.52 1.64–5.40 1.09–5.94 | 3.07 1.42–4.73 0.93–5.22 | 6.59 3.05–10.13 2.02–11.16 | 49% 16% 35% |
| Corners | 4.86 2.65–7.08 2.08–7.65 | 4.41 2.41–6.41 1.88–6.94 | 9.27 5.06–13.48 3.95–14.59 | 49% 13% 38% |
| Possession % | 51.79 45.00–58.58 43.33–60.25 | 48.82 42.04–55.61 40.37–57.28 | — | 55% 41% |
| Passes | 463 396–530 377–548 | 424 357–490 340–508 | 887 753–1020 717–1056 | 63% 37% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.30 65.27–73.33 63.98–74.63 | 71.08 66.75–75.40 65.44–76.71 | — | 38% 57% |
| Fouls | 12.92 10.08–15.75 9.32–16.51 | 13.93 10.98–16.87 10.24–17.62 | 26.84 21.06–32.63 19.56–34.13 | 38% 54% |
| Offsides | 1.41 0.25–2.57 0.00–2.87 | 2.10 1.00–3.19 0.72–3.48 | 3.50 1.25–5.76 0.66–6.35 | 26% 21% 53% |
| Yellow cards | 2.43 1.38–3.48 1.11–3.74 | 2.36 1.23–3.49 0.94–3.78 | 4.79 2.61–6.97 2.05–7.52 | 42% 19% 39% |
| Red cards | 0.10 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.41 | 0.10 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.42 | 0.20 0.00–0.55 0.00–0.83 | 83% |
| GK saves | 2.96 1.52–4.39 1.13–4.78 | 2.89 1.33–4.44 0.90–4.87 | 5.84 2.85–8.83 2.04–9.65 | 43% 17% 40% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.