UEFA Nations League·League C - 4·
UEFA Nations League·League C - 4·Predicted match statistics
Goals
55%
24%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction1.751.002.75safe0.78–2.720.15–1.860.93–4.57safer0.53–2.970.00–2.090.45–5.05
Shots on target
66%
22%
homeawaytotalprediction4.843.168.00safe2.98–6.711.41–4.904.39–11.60safer2.49–7.190.95–5.363.44–12.56
Total shots
78%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction13.949.7223.66safe10.02–17.876.16–13.2816.17–31.15safer8.93–18.965.20–14.2414.12–33.20
Shots in box
77%
16%
homeawaytotalprediction9.426.0215.44safe6.48–12.363.34–8.709.82–21.06safer5.65–13.192.60–9.448.25–22.63
Blocked shots
53%
15%
31%
homeawaytotalprediction3.572.856.43safe1.69–5.461.20–4.512.89–9.96safer1.15–6.000.71–5.001.86–11.00
Corners
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.773.949.71safe3.56–7.981.94–5.945.49–13.92safer2.98–8.561.40–6.474.39–15.03
Possession %
60%
36%
homeawayprediction52.6347.47safe45.84–59.4240.68–54.25safer44.17–61.0939.01–55.93
Passes
73%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction492418910safe425–559351–484776–1043safer407–577334–502740–1079
Pass accuracy %
44%
51%
homeawayprediction69.0769.72safe65.04–73.1065.39–74.04safer63.75–74.3964.08–75.35
Fouls
41%
51%
homeawaytotalprediction11.0811.7122.79safe8.25–13.928.77–14.6517.01–28.58safer7.49–14.688.02–15.4015.51–30.08
Offsides
50%
23%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction1.881.333.20safe0.72–3.040.23–2.420.95–5.46safer0.42–3.340.00–2.710.36–6.05
Yellow cards
29%
22%
48%
homeawaytotalprediction1.431.893.31safe0.38–2.480.76–3.021.13–5.49safer0.11–2.740.47–3.310.58–6.05
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.070.110.17safe0.00–0.230.00–0.290.00–0.52safer0.00–0.380.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
31%
17%
52%
homeawaytotalprediction2.393.045.42safe0.95–3.821.48–4.602.43–8.42safer0.56–4.211.06–5.021.62–9.23
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.75 0.78–2.72 0.53–2.97 | 1.00 0.15–1.86 0.00–2.09 | 2.75 0.93–4.57 0.45–5.05 | 55% 24% 22% |
| Shots on target | 4.84 2.98–6.71 2.49–7.19 | 3.16 1.41–4.90 0.95–5.36 | 8.00 4.39–11.60 3.44–12.56 | 66% 22% |
| Total shots | 13.94 10.02–17.87 8.93–18.96 | 9.72 6.16–13.28 5.20–14.24 | 23.66 16.17–31.15 14.12–33.20 | 78% 16% |
| Shots in box | 9.42 6.48–12.36 5.65–13.19 | 6.02 3.34–8.70 2.60–9.44 | 15.44 9.82–21.06 8.25–22.63 | 77% 16% |
| Blocked shots | 3.57 1.69–5.46 1.15–6.00 | 2.85 1.20–4.51 0.71–5.00 | 6.43 2.89–9.96 1.86–11.00 | 53% 15% 31% |
| Corners | 5.77 3.56–7.98 2.98–8.56 | 3.94 1.94–5.94 1.40–6.47 | 9.71 5.49–13.92 4.39–15.03 | 66% 23% |
| Possession % | 52.63 45.84–59.42 44.17–61.09 | 47.47 40.68–54.25 39.01–55.93 | — | 60% 36% |
| Passes | 492 425–559 407–577 | 418 351–484 334–502 | 910 776–1043 740–1079 | 73% 27% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.07 65.04–73.10 63.75–74.39 | 69.72 65.39–74.04 64.08–75.35 | — | 44% 51% |
| Fouls | 11.08 8.25–13.92 7.49–14.68 | 11.71 8.77–14.65 8.02–15.40 | 22.79 17.01–28.58 15.51–30.08 | 41% 51% |
| Offsides | 1.88 0.72–3.04 0.42–3.34 | 1.33 0.23–2.42 0.00–2.71 | 3.20 0.95–5.46 0.36–6.05 | 50% 23% 27% |
| Yellow cards | 1.43 0.38–2.48 0.11–2.74 | 1.89 0.76–3.02 0.47–3.31 | 3.31 1.13–5.49 0.58–6.05 | 29% 22% 48% |
| Red cards | 0.07 0.00–0.23 0.00–0.38 | 0.11 0.00–0.29 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 2.39 0.95–3.82 0.56–4.21 | 3.04 1.48–4.60 1.06–5.02 | 5.42 2.43–8.42 1.62–9.23 | 31% 17% 52% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.