UEFA Nations League·League C - 4·
UEFA Nations League·League C - 4·Predicted match statistics
Goals
44%
28%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction1.331.032.36safe0.36–2.300.17–1.880.53–4.18safer0.11–2.550.00–2.110.05–4.66
Shots on target
66%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction5.023.368.38safe3.16–6.881.61–5.104.77–11.98safer2.67–7.371.15–5.563.81–12.94
Total shots
84%
homeawaytotalprediction15.199.8225.02safe11.27–19.126.26–13.3817.53–32.50safer10.18–20.215.30–14.3415.48–34.55
Shots in box
71%
21%
homeawaytotalprediction9.266.5515.82safe6.32–12.213.87–9.2310.19–21.44safer5.49–13.033.13–9.978.63–23.01
Blocked shots
56%
14%
29%
homeawaytotalprediction4.103.157.26safe2.22–5.981.50–4.813.72–10.79safer1.68–6.531.01–5.302.68–11.83
Corners
61%
27%
homeawaytotalprediction5.524.139.65safe3.31–7.742.13–6.135.44–13.87safer2.74–8.311.60–6.664.33–14.98
Possession %
77%
19%
homeawayprediction56.4442.88safe49.65–63.2336.10–49.67safer47.98–64.9034.43–51.34
Passes
90%
homeawaytotalprediction522368890safe455–589302–435757–1024safer437–607284–452721–1060
Pass accuracy %
64%
31%
homeawayprediction71.5768.33safe67.54–75.6064.00–72.65safer66.25–76.8962.69–73.96
Fouls
41%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction11.4411.9823.42safe8.60–14.289.03–14.9217.64–29.20safer7.85–15.048.29–15.6716.13–30.71
Offsides
39%
24%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.523.06safe0.38–2.700.42–2.610.80–5.31safer0.08–3.000.13–2.900.21–5.90
Yellow cards
35%
23%
42%
homeawaytotalprediction1.541.723.26safe0.49–2.590.59–2.851.08–5.44safer0.23–2.860.30–3.140.52–6.00
Red cards
87%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.080.14safe0.00–0.220.00–0.260.00–0.49safer0.00–0.370.00–0.400.00–0.77
GK saves
24%
15%
61%
homeawaytotalprediction2.433.636.06safe0.99–3.862.07–5.193.07–9.05safer0.60–4.251.65–5.612.25–9.86
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.33 0.36–2.30 0.11–2.55 | 1.03 0.17–1.88 0.00–2.11 | 2.36 0.53–4.18 0.05–4.66 | 44% 28% 29% |
| Shots on target | 5.02 3.16–6.88 2.67–7.37 | 3.36 1.61–5.10 1.15–5.56 | 8.38 4.77–11.98 3.81–12.94 | 66% 23% |
| Total shots | 15.19 11.27–19.12 10.18–20.21 | 9.82 6.26–13.38 5.30–14.34 | 25.02 17.53–32.50 15.48–34.55 | 84% |
| Shots in box | 9.26 6.32–12.21 5.49–13.03 | 6.55 3.87–9.23 3.13–9.97 | 15.82 10.19–21.44 8.63–23.01 | 71% 21% |
| Blocked shots | 4.10 2.22–5.98 1.68–6.53 | 3.15 1.50–4.81 1.01–5.30 | 7.26 3.72–10.79 2.68–11.83 | 56% 14% 29% |
| Corners | 5.52 3.31–7.74 2.74–8.31 | 4.13 2.13–6.13 1.60–6.66 | 9.65 5.44–13.87 4.33–14.98 | 61% 27% |
| Possession % | 56.44 49.65–63.23 47.98–64.90 | 42.88 36.10–49.67 34.43–51.34 | — | 77% 19% |
| Passes | 522 455–589 437–607 | 368 302–435 284–452 | 890 757–1024 721–1060 | 90% |
| Pass accuracy % | 71.57 67.54–75.60 66.25–76.89 | 68.33 64.00–72.65 62.69–73.96 | — | 64% 31% |
| Fouls | 11.44 8.60–14.28 7.85–15.04 | 11.98 9.03–14.92 8.29–15.67 | 23.42 17.64–29.20 16.13–30.71 | 41% 50% |
| Offsides | 1.54 0.38–2.70 0.08–3.00 | 1.52 0.42–2.61 0.13–2.90 | 3.06 0.80–5.31 0.21–5.90 | 39% 24% 37% |
| Yellow cards | 1.54 0.49–2.59 0.23–2.86 | 1.72 0.59–2.85 0.30–3.14 | 3.26 1.08–5.44 0.52–6.00 | 35% 23% 42% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.08 0.00–0.26 0.00–0.40 | 0.14 0.00–0.49 0.00–0.77 | 87% |
| GK saves | 2.43 0.99–3.86 0.60–4.25 | 3.63 2.07–5.19 1.65–5.61 | 6.06 3.07–9.05 2.25–9.86 | 24% 15% 61% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.