Predicted match statistics
Goals
15%
21%
64%
homeawaytotalprediction0.872.022.89safe0.00–1.841.16–2.871.06–4.71safer0.00–2.090.93–3.100.58–5.19
Shots on target
17%
72%
homeawaytotalprediction3.105.298.39safe1.24–4.963.55–7.034.79–12.00safer0.75–5.453.08–7.503.83–12.95
Total shots
85%
homeawaytotalprediction8.5413.9922.53safe4.62–12.4710.43–17.5515.04–30.02safer3.52–13.569.47–18.5112.99–32.07
Shots in box
81%
homeawaytotalprediction5.619.5015.11safe2.67–8.556.82–12.199.49–20.74safer1.84–9.386.09–12.927.92–22.30
Blocked shots
23%
15%
62%
homeawaytotalprediction2.433.696.12safe0.55–4.312.04–5.342.58–9.65safer0.00–4.851.54–5.831.55–10.69
Corners
23%
65%
homeawaytotalprediction3.555.198.75safe1.34–5.773.19–7.194.54–12.96safer0.77–6.342.66–7.733.43–14.07
Possession %
90%
homeawayprediction39.4761.71safe32.68–46.2654.92–68.49safer31.01–47.9353.25–70.17
Passes
96%
homeawaytotalprediction4106261036safe343–477560–693903–1170safer325–495542–710867–1206
Pass accuracy %
96%
homeawayprediction69.2983.24safe65.26–73.3278.91–87.56safer63.96–74.6177.60–88.87
Fouls
43%
49%
homeawaytotalprediction11.9812.3724.35safe9.15–14.829.42–15.3118.57–30.14safer8.39–15.588.68–16.0617.07–31.64
Offsides
22%
17%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction1.692.754.44safe0.53–2.851.66–3.842.19–6.70safer0.23–3.151.37–4.131.60–7.28
Yellow cards
47%
20%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction2.261.864.12safe1.21–3.310.73–2.991.94–6.30safer0.94–3.570.44–3.281.38–6.86
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.120.070.19safe0.00–0.280.00–0.250.00–0.53safer0.00–0.430.00–0.380.00–0.82
GK saves
61%
15%
24%
homeawaytotalprediction3.442.275.71safe2.01–4.880.72–3.832.72–8.71safer1.62–5.270.29–4.251.91–9.52
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 0.87 0.00–1.84 0.00–2.09 | 2.02 1.16–2.87 0.93–3.10 | 2.89 1.06–4.71 0.58–5.19 | 15% 21% 64% |
| Shots on target | 3.10 1.24–4.96 0.75–5.45 | 5.29 3.55–7.03 3.08–7.50 | 8.39 4.79–12.00 3.83–12.95 | 17% 72% |
| Total shots | 8.54 4.62–12.47 3.52–13.56 | 13.99 10.43–17.55 9.47–18.51 | 22.53 15.04–30.02 12.99–32.07 | 85% |
| Shots in box | 5.61 2.67–8.55 1.84–9.38 | 9.50 6.82–12.19 6.09–12.92 | 15.11 9.49–20.74 7.92–22.30 | 81% |
| Blocked shots | 2.43 0.55–4.31 0.00–4.85 | 3.69 2.04–5.34 1.54–5.83 | 6.12 2.58–9.65 1.55–10.69 | 23% 15% 62% |
| Corners | 3.55 1.34–5.77 0.77–6.34 | 5.19 3.19–7.19 2.66–7.73 | 8.75 4.54–12.96 3.43–14.07 | 23% 65% |
| Possession % | 39.47 32.68–46.26 31.01–47.93 | 61.71 54.92–68.49 53.25–70.17 | — | 90% |
| Passes | 410 343–477 325–495 | 626 560–693 542–710 | 1036 903–1170 867–1206 | 96% |
| Pass accuracy % | 69.29 65.26–73.32 63.96–74.61 | 83.24 78.91–87.56 77.60–88.87 | — | 96% |
| Fouls | 11.98 9.15–14.82 8.39–15.58 | 12.37 9.42–15.31 8.68–16.06 | 24.35 18.57–30.14 17.07–31.64 | 43% 49% |
| Offsides | 1.69 0.53–2.85 0.23–3.15 | 2.75 1.66–3.84 1.37–4.13 | 4.44 2.19–6.70 1.60–7.28 | 22% 17% 60% |
| Yellow cards | 2.26 1.21–3.31 0.94–3.57 | 1.86 0.73–2.99 0.44–3.28 | 4.12 1.94–6.30 1.38–6.86 | 47% 20% 33% |
| Red cards | 0.12 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.43 | 0.07 0.00–0.25 0.00–0.38 | 0.19 0.00–0.53 0.00–0.82 | 84% |
| GK saves | 3.44 2.01–4.88 1.62–5.27 | 2.27 0.72–3.83 0.29–4.25 | 5.71 2.72–8.71 1.91–9.52 | 61% 15% 24% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.