Predicted match statistics
Goals
85%
homeawaytotalprediction3.160.673.83safe2.19–4.130.00–1.522.01–5.65safer1.94–4.380.00–1.751.53–6.13
Shots on target
95%
homeawaytotalprediction8.572.6511.21safe6.70–10.430.90–4.397.61–14.82safer6.21–10.920.44–4.856.65–15.77
Total shots
99%
homeawaytotalprediction21.998.0830.06safe18.06–25.914.51–11.6422.58–37.55safer16.97–27.003.56–12.6020.53–39.60
Shots in box
98%
homeawaytotalprediction14.875.1720.04safe11.93–17.812.49–7.8514.42–25.66safer11.10–18.641.75–8.5912.85–27.23
Blocked shots
90%
homeawaytotalprediction5.851.937.78safe3.97–7.740.28–3.584.25–11.32safer3.43–8.280.00–4.083.21–12.36
Corners
93%
homeawaytotalprediction8.493.1411.64safe6.28–10.711.14–5.147.42–15.85safer5.71–11.280.61–5.686.32–16.96
Possession %
96%
homeawayprediction65.2833.97safe58.49–72.0727.18–40.75safer56.82–73.7425.51–42.43
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction636331967safe569–703264–397833–1100safer551–721247–415797–1136
Pass accuracy %
93%
homeawayprediction79.1767.37safe75.14–83.2063.05–71.70safer73.85–84.4961.74–73.01
Fouls
32%
60%
homeawaytotalprediction9.7911.4121.20safe6.95–12.638.47–14.3615.42–26.99safer6.20–13.387.72–15.1113.92–28.49
Offsides
44%
21%
34%
homeawaytotalprediction2.011.753.75safe0.85–3.170.65–2.841.50–6.01safer0.54–3.470.37–3.130.91–6.60
Yellow cards
24%
26%
50%
homeawaytotalprediction0.931.482.41safe0.00–1.980.35–2.610.23–4.59safer0.00–2.240.06–2.900.00–5.15
Red cards
89%
homeawaytotalprediction0.040.080.12safe0.00–0.200.00–0.270.00–0.47safer0.00–0.350.00–0.400.00–0.75
GK saves
86%
homeawaytotalprediction2.045.467.50safe0.60–3.473.91–7.024.51–10.50safer0.21–3.863.48–7.453.70–11.31
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 3.16 2.19–4.13 1.94–4.38 | 0.67 0.00–1.52 0.00–1.75 | 3.83 2.01–5.65 1.53–6.13 | 85% |
| Shots on target | 8.57 6.70–10.43 6.21–10.92 | 2.65 0.90–4.39 0.44–4.85 | 11.21 7.61–14.82 6.65–15.77 | 95% |
| Total shots | 21.99 18.06–25.91 16.97–27.00 | 8.08 4.51–11.64 3.56–12.60 | 30.06 22.58–37.55 20.53–39.60 | 99% |
| Shots in box | 14.87 11.93–17.81 11.10–18.64 | 5.17 2.49–7.85 1.75–8.59 | 20.04 14.42–25.66 12.85–27.23 | 98% |
| Blocked shots | 5.85 3.97–7.74 3.43–8.28 | 1.93 0.28–3.58 0.00–4.08 | 7.78 4.25–11.32 3.21–12.36 | 90% |
| Corners | 8.49 6.28–10.71 5.71–11.28 | 3.14 1.14–5.14 0.61–5.68 | 11.64 7.42–15.85 6.32–16.96 | 93% |
| Possession % | 65.28 58.49–72.07 56.82–73.74 | 33.97 27.18–40.75 25.51–42.43 | — | 96% |
| Passes | 636 569–703 551–721 | 331 264–397 247–415 | 967 833–1100 797–1136 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 79.17 75.14–83.20 73.85–84.49 | 67.37 63.05–71.70 61.74–73.01 | — | 93% |
| Fouls | 9.79 6.95–12.63 6.20–13.38 | 11.41 8.47–14.36 7.72–15.11 | 21.20 15.42–26.99 13.92–28.49 | 32% 60% |
| Offsides | 2.01 0.85–3.17 0.54–3.47 | 1.75 0.65–2.84 0.37–3.13 | 3.75 1.50–6.01 0.91–6.60 | 44% 21% 34% |
| Yellow cards | 0.93 0.00–1.98 0.00–2.24 | 1.48 0.35–2.61 0.06–2.90 | 2.41 0.23–4.59 0.00–5.15 | 24% 26% 50% |
| Red cards | 0.04 0.00–0.20 0.00–0.35 | 0.08 0.00–0.27 0.00–0.40 | 0.12 0.00–0.47 0.00–0.75 | 89% |
| GK saves | 2.04 0.60–3.47 0.21–3.86 | 5.46 3.91–7.02 3.48–7.45 | 7.50 4.51–10.50 3.70–11.31 | 86% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.