UEFA Nations League·League C - 4·
UEFA Nations League·League C - 4·Predicted match statistics
Goals
70%
18%
homeawaytotalprediction2.190.752.94safe1.22–3.160.00–1.601.11–4.76safer0.97–3.410.00–1.830.63–5.24
Shots on target
89%
homeawaytotalprediction6.782.559.32safe4.92–8.640.80–4.295.72–12.93safer4.43–9.130.34–4.754.76–13.88
Total shots
98%
homeawaytotalprediction18.728.0926.81safe14.80–22.654.53–11.6619.33–34.30safer13.70–23.743.57–12.6117.28–36.35
Shots in box
94%
homeawaytotalprediction11.724.9116.63safe8.77–14.662.23–7.6011.01–22.25safer7.95–15.491.50–8.339.44–23.82
Blocked shots
71%
17%
homeawaytotalprediction4.442.496.93safe2.56–6.320.84–4.143.40–10.47safer2.02–6.870.35–4.642.36–11.50
Corners
86%
homeawaytotalprediction6.883.099.97safe4.67–9.091.09–5.095.75–14.18safer4.09–9.670.55–5.624.65–15.29
Possession %
95%
homeawayprediction64.6935.54safe57.90–71.4928.76–42.33safer56.23–73.1527.08–44.00
Passes
99%
homeawaytotalprediction611323934safe543–678257–389800–1067safer525–696239–407764–1103
Pass accuracy %
90%
homeawayprediction77.4166.76safe73.38–81.4462.43–71.08safer72.09–82.7361.13–72.39
Fouls
37%
55%
homeawaytotalprediction11.2212.3923.61safe8.39–14.069.44–15.3317.83–29.39safer7.63–14.828.69–16.0816.32–30.90
Offsides
52%
23%
25%
homeawaytotalprediction1.811.203.01safe0.65–2.970.11–2.300.75–5.26safer0.34–3.270.00–2.580.17–5.85
Yellow cards
23%
20%
56%
homeawaytotalprediction1.372.213.58safe0.32–2.421.08–3.341.40–5.76safer0.06–2.690.79–3.630.85–6.32
Red cards
85%
homeawaytotalprediction0.060.110.17safe0.00–0.220.00–0.300.00–0.52safer0.00–0.370.00–0.430.00–0.80
GK saves
80%
homeawaytotalprediction1.904.486.38safe0.47–3.342.92–6.043.39–9.38safer0.08–3.732.50–6.462.58–10.19
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 2.19 1.22–3.16 0.97–3.41 | 0.75 0.00–1.60 0.00–1.83 | 2.94 1.11–4.76 0.63–5.24 | 70% 18% |
| Shots on target | 6.78 4.92–8.64 4.43–9.13 | 2.55 0.80–4.29 0.34–4.75 | 9.32 5.72–12.93 4.76–13.88 | 89% |
| Total shots | 18.72 14.80–22.65 13.70–23.74 | 8.09 4.53–11.66 3.57–12.61 | 26.81 19.33–34.30 17.28–36.35 | 98% |
| Shots in box | 11.72 8.77–14.66 7.95–15.49 | 4.91 2.23–7.60 1.50–8.33 | 16.63 11.01–22.25 9.44–23.82 | 94% |
| Blocked shots | 4.44 2.56–6.32 2.02–6.87 | 2.49 0.84–4.14 0.35–4.64 | 6.93 3.40–10.47 2.36–11.50 | 71% 17% |
| Corners | 6.88 4.67–9.09 4.09–9.67 | 3.09 1.09–5.09 0.55–5.62 | 9.97 5.75–14.18 4.65–15.29 | 86% |
| Possession % | 64.69 57.90–71.49 56.23–73.15 | 35.54 28.76–42.33 27.08–44.00 | — | 95% |
| Passes | 611 543–678 525–696 | 323 257–389 239–407 | 934 800–1067 764–1103 | 99% |
| Pass accuracy % | 77.41 73.38–81.44 72.09–82.73 | 66.76 62.43–71.08 61.13–72.39 | — | 90% |
| Fouls | 11.22 8.39–14.06 7.63–14.82 | 12.39 9.44–15.33 8.69–16.08 | 23.61 17.83–29.39 16.32–30.90 | 37% 55% |
| Offsides | 1.81 0.65–2.97 0.34–3.27 | 1.20 0.11–2.30 0.00–2.58 | 3.01 0.75–5.26 0.17–5.85 | 52% 23% 25% |
| Yellow cards | 1.37 0.32–2.42 0.06–2.69 | 2.21 1.08–3.34 0.79–3.63 | 3.58 1.40–5.76 0.85–6.32 | 23% 20% 56% |
| Red cards | 0.06 0.00–0.22 0.00–0.37 | 0.11 0.00–0.30 0.00–0.43 | 0.17 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.80 | 85% |
| GK saves | 1.90 0.47–3.34 0.08–3.73 | 4.48 2.92–6.04 2.50–6.46 | 6.38 3.39–9.38 2.58–10.19 | 80% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.