Predicted match statistics
Goals
32%
27%
41%
homeawaytotalprediction1.151.322.47safe0.18–2.110.47–2.180.64–4.29safer0.00–2.360.24–2.400.16–4.77
Shots on target
46%
14%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction4.173.988.16safe2.31–6.032.24–5.734.55–11.76safer1.82–6.521.78–6.193.60–12.72
Total shots
52%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7211.9524.66safe8.79–16.648.38–15.5117.18–32.15safer7.70–17.737.43–16.4715.13–34.20
Shots in box
50%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction8.357.8316.19safe5.41–11.305.15–10.5210.57–21.81safer4.58–12.134.42–11.259.00–23.38
Blocked shots
51%
16%
33%
homeawaytotalprediction3.392.816.19safe1.51–5.271.15–4.462.66–9.73safer0.96–5.810.66–4.951.62–10.77
Corners
50%
13%
37%
homeawaytotalprediction4.954.419.36safe2.73–7.162.41–6.415.15–13.57safer2.16–7.731.88–6.954.04–14.68
Possession %
23%
73%
homeawayprediction44.6256.04safe37.83–51.4149.26–62.83safer36.16–53.0847.59–64.50
Passes
18%
82%
homeawaytotalprediction398507904safe330–465440–573771–1038safer312–483423–591735–1074
Pass accuracy %
89%
homeawayprediction66.1175.93safe62.09–70.1471.61–80.26safer60.79–71.4470.30–81.57
Fouls
54%
38%
homeawaytotalprediction12.7911.7724.57safe9.96–15.638.83–14.7218.78–30.35safer9.20–16.398.08–15.4617.28–31.85
Offsides
58%
20%
23%
homeawaytotalprediction2.281.393.67safe1.12–3.440.29–2.481.42–5.92safer0.82–3.750.00–2.770.83–6.51
Yellow cards
38%
22%
40%
homeawaytotalprediction1.801.843.64safe0.75–2.850.72–2.971.46–5.82safer0.48–3.110.42–3.260.90–6.38
Red cards
84%
homeawaytotalprediction0.080.100.18safe0.00–0.240.00–0.280.00–0.52safer0.00–0.390.00–0.420.00–0.81
GK saves
40%
17%
43%
homeawaytotalprediction2.702.815.52safe1.27–4.141.26–4.372.52–8.51safer0.88–4.530.83–4.791.71–9.32
| Stat | Homepred / safe / safer | Awaypred / safe / safer | Totalpred / safe / safer | Who wins |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Goals | 1.15 0.18–2.11 0.00–2.36 | 1.32 0.47–2.18 0.24–2.40 | 2.47 0.64–4.29 0.16–4.77 | 32% 27% 41% |
| Shots on target | 4.17 2.31–6.03 1.82–6.52 | 3.98 2.24–5.73 1.78–6.19 | 8.16 4.55–11.76 3.60–12.72 | 46% 14% 40% |
| Total shots | 12.72 8.79–16.64 7.70–17.73 | 11.95 8.38–15.51 7.43–16.47 | 24.66 17.18–32.15 15.13–34.20 | 52% 40% |
| Shots in box | 8.35 5.41–11.30 4.58–12.13 | 7.83 5.15–10.52 4.42–11.25 | 16.19 10.57–21.81 9.00–23.38 | 50% 40% |
| Blocked shots | 3.39 1.51–5.27 0.96–5.81 | 2.81 1.15–4.46 0.66–4.95 | 6.19 2.66–9.73 1.62–10.77 | 51% 16% 33% |
| Corners | 4.95 2.73–7.16 2.16–7.73 | 4.41 2.41–6.41 1.88–6.95 | 9.36 5.15–13.57 4.04–14.68 | 50% 13% 37% |
| Possession % | 44.62 37.83–51.41 36.16–53.08 | 56.04 49.26–62.83 47.59–64.50 | — | 23% 73% |
| Passes | 398 330–465 312–483 | 507 440–573 423–591 | 904 771–1038 735–1074 | 18% 82% |
| Pass accuracy % | 66.11 62.09–70.14 60.79–71.44 | 75.93 71.61–80.26 70.30–81.57 | — | 89% |
| Fouls | 12.79 9.96–15.63 9.20–16.39 | 11.77 8.83–14.72 8.08–15.46 | 24.57 18.78–30.35 17.28–31.85 | 54% 38% |
| Offsides | 2.28 1.12–3.44 0.82–3.75 | 1.39 0.29–2.48 0.00–2.77 | 3.67 1.42–5.92 0.83–6.51 | 58% 20% 23% |
| Yellow cards | 1.80 0.75–2.85 0.48–3.11 | 1.84 0.72–2.97 0.42–3.26 | 3.64 1.46–5.82 0.90–6.38 | 38% 22% 40% |
| Red cards | 0.08 0.00–0.24 0.00–0.39 | 0.10 0.00–0.28 0.00–0.42 | 0.18 0.00–0.52 0.00–0.81 | 84% |
| GK saves | 2.70 1.27–4.14 0.88–4.53 | 2.81 1.26–4.37 0.83–4.79 | 5.52 2.52–8.51 1.71–9.32 | 40% 17% 43% |
safe = prediction ± MAE · safer = ± RMSE of the serving model for that statistic. The bars show the model's own chance of each side recording more of that statistic — a Poisson approximation from the predicted rates, with the two teams treated as independent
Statistical estimates for information & entertainment only — not betting advice.